Friday, March 04, 2016

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on ECB/China Stimulus Hopes, Short-Covering, Oil Bounce, Commodity/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.28 -2.51%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.23 +.8%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.65 +2.1%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.44 -1.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 -9.47%
  • Total Put/Call .87 +14.47%
  • NYSE Arms .47 -35.85
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 94.18 -2.79%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 2,036.0 -6.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 99.0 -1.43%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.96 +4.34%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.25 -2.37%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 337.74 -2.32%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 124.40 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 4.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 36.5 +4.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.22 +.85%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .27% unch.
  • Yield Curve 102.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.75/Metric Tonne +4.98%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.90 -.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -62.50 +.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.80 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53% -1.0 basis point
  • 20.9% chance of Fed rate hike at April 27 meeting, 41.5% chance at June 15 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +145 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +72 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +31 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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