Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Stocks Modestly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Yen Weakness, Energy/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.63 -.21%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.32 +.57%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.69 +.69%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.08 +.96%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .94 -4.08%
  • NYSE Arms 1.40 -21.63
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 96.91 -1.25%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,409.0 +.19%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 98.37 -3.32%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.32 -3.52%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.81 -3.90%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 336.26 -3.02%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 124.72 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.0 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.5 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.36 +.68%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .30% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 99.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.02/Metric Tonne -8.82%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.80 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -55.20 -2.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.30 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.51% +4.0 basis points
  • 19.4% chance of Fed rate hike at April 27 meeting, 46.8% chance at June 15 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +88 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -133 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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