Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Earnings Outlooks, Short-Covering, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.0 -2.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.42 +.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.28 +.59%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 28.33 -4.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 -5.9%
  • Total Put/Call .89 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .93 -19.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.98 -1.32%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 359.0 -.50%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.74 -3.18%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 246.0 -5.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 10.10 -6.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 173.10 +.60%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 150.30 -.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.75 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 30.25 -3.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.75 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.21 +.34%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.04% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 30.25 +1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 69.77 USD/Metric Tonne +.24%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -13.0 +.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -35.70 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.80 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13 +1.0 basis point
  • 92.5% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 8th meeting, 97.8% chance at Dec. 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +33 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +89 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/industrial/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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