Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 82.0 -2.25 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 10.75 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.22 -.14%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.21%
  • S&P 500 futures -.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.01%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (M)/.50
After the Close:
  • (BGG)/.41
  • (CACI)/1.75
  • (CSCO)/.69
  • (NTAP)/.80
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Empire Manufacturing for August is estimated to fall to 20.0 versus 22.6 in July. 
  • Preliminary 2Q Non-Farm Productivity is estimated to rise +2.4% versus a +.4% gain in 1Q.
  • Preliminary 2Q Unit Labor Costs are estimated unch. versus a +2.9% gain in 1Q.
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for July are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.5% gain in June.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for July are estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.4% gain in June.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.6% gain in June.
  • Capacity Utilization for July is estimated to rise to 78.2% versus 78.0% in June.
  • Manufacturing Production for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.8% gain in June.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for June are estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.4% gain in May. 
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for August is estimated to fall to 67.0 versus 68.0 in July.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,885,820 barrels versus a -1,351,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -76,000 barrels versus a +2,900,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +1,038,600 barrels versus a +1,230,000 barrel build the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.36% versus a +.5% gain prior.
4:00 pm EST
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows for June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China New Home Price report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, Citi MLP Infrastructure Conference and the (IDXX) Investor Day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are slightly lower, weighed down by industrial and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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