Monday Watch

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:          

• Brexit Clears EU. Leaders Tell May It's the Only Deal Possible. 

• Trump Links French Protests With U.S. Treatment by EU on Trade.  

• Asia Manager Who Called China Tech Peak Is Ready to Dive Back in.  

• Russia Fires on Ukraine's Navy Near Crimea as Tensions Reignite.

• Asia Stocks to Slip, Treasuries Inch Toward 3%. Caution looks set to prevail in financial markets at the start of the week as worries about a slowing global economy showed little sign of abating. Australian shares fell at the open, while stock futures in Asia indicated lower starts in Japan and Hong Kong after the S&P 500 Index fell into correction territory on Friday. U.S. equity futures advanced, which may keep declines in the region in check. Oil ticked higher following its slump below $51 a barrel Friday that weighed on energy producers. The yield on 10-year Treasuries is back down at 3.04 percent, the lowest since September. The pound edged up after European Union leaders agreed to the Brexit deal from U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 indicated losses of about 1 percent as markets reopen after Friday’s holiday. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid 0.1 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 0.6 percent. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3 percent.  

• Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day.  

• Asia's Fastest Spender, India Exports, Goldman on Hikes: Eco Day.

• Shale Boom Raises Specter of New Glut: Gulf Coast Oil Terminals.

• Oil's Sell-Off Below $60 Ripples All the Way Along the Curve.

• What Bond Gurus Are Saying About the Market Sell-Off.  

• Goldman Maps How Big Hawkish Rate Shock Would Affect Markets.

Wall Street Journal: 

• Brexit Deal Faces U.K. Parliament After EU Approval.

• Democrats Link Spending Bill, Mueller Probe.

• Borrowers Are Tapping Their Homes for Cash, Even as Rates Rise.

• Fraudsters Catch Venmo by Surprise.

• Store Traffic Falls Again on Black Friday but Not All News Is Bad.

• Relax, Falling Oil Prices Are Mostly a Good Thing.

MarketWatch.com:

• Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google: Which tech stocks to buy now.

• Bitcoin’s haven claim is destroyed amid broad pummeling of riskier assets.

• 10-year Treasury yield plumbs 10-week low to end Thanksgiving week.

Fox News:

• Mexico counters Trump claim, denies asylum deal with US as caravan migrants plan crossing today. 

• Harris, Booker 'basic income' plans could kill recipients' work ethic: think tank.

• Feds deliver tough warning after some caravan migrants rushing toward border try breaching fence.

CNBC: 

• Go to the mall or buy from your phone? More shoppers this holiday season are going mobile.

• Bitcoin extends losses, slides under $3500 to lowest since September 2017.

• Black Friday, Thanksgiving Day foot traffic dips as more shoppers flock to online deals.

• Black Friday shopping pulled in a record $6.22 billion in online sales: Adobe.

• US trade war with China won't be ending anytime soon, and concerns are growing: CNBC CFO survey.

• How to keep your kids safe from toys and apps that pry into their lives.

Zero Hedge:          

• San Ysidro Port Locked Down As Hundreds Of Migrants Rush US Border; Tear Gas Deployed.

• Visualizing What The Big Tech Companies Know About You.

• Ukraine To Impose Martial Law After Russia "Fires At Ukraine Ships", Seizes Three Vessels Off Crimea.

• Millennials Are Quickly Ditching City Life For Suburbs.

• Corporate Share Buybacks Looking Dumber By The Day.

• Luongo: Jumping The Global Warming Shark.

• EU, UK Approve Brexit Divorce Deal; Now Comes The Hard Part.

• MI6 Scrambling To Stop Trump From Releasing Classified Docs In Russia Probe.

• EU's TARGET2 Imbalances Are Rising Again. Goldman Fears Italy Capital Flight Looms.

• How A Fragile Euro May Not Survive The Next Crisis.

• Trump Strikes Deal With Mexico To End "Catch And Release", Make Asylum Seekers Wait In Mexico.

• Lawmakers Leak Plan For $3 Billion Pension-Fund Bailout.

• Cryptogeddon: Bitcoin Battered Below $4000 As Long Liquidations Continue.

• How Social Media Is Becoming An Arm Of The State.

• Has California's Green Ideology Left It Burning?

• Economic Turmoil Could Send Oil Even Lower.

• Five Colleges You're Probably Thankful Your Kids Don't Attend.

• Salvini Threatens To Collapse Italy's Government If Deficit Target Is Changed.

• "If He's So Good, Why Is This Happening?": Trump Reportedly Blames Mnuchin For Market Carnage.

Business Insider:

• Bitcoin crashes through $4,000.

Telegraph:

• The ailing eurozone is still hooked on quantitative easing.

Night Trading

• Asian indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.

• Asia Ex-Japan Inventment Grade CDS Index 97.75 -1.0 basis point.

• Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 10.75 unch.

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.10 -.01%.

• FTSE 100 futures -.19%.

• S&P 500 futures +.27%.

• NASDAQ 100 futures +.33%.

Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
Before the Open:

• (DSX)/.04

• (JKS)/.15

• (PDCO)/.37

After the Close:

• (BKE)/.46

Economic Releases
8:30 am EST

• The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October is estimated to rise to .18 versus .17 in September.

• The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for November is estimated to fall to 24.5 versus 29.4 in October.
  

Upcoming Splits

• None of note
  

Other Potential Market Movers

• The German Economic Survey, $39B 2Y T-Note auction, Citi Basic Materials Conference and the CSFB Tech/Media/Telecom Conference could also impact trading today.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.