Sunday, January 12, 2020

Monday Watch

Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
  • Asian Stocks Look Set for Mixed Start to Week: Markets Wrap. Asian stocks looked set for a mixed session Monday after a decline in U.S. shares following Friday’s lackluster employment report. Australian shares slipped along with futures in South Korea, while contracts in Hong Kong pointed higher. Japanese markets are closed for a holiday. U.S. futures inched higher after the S&P 500 dropped from record levels Friday with the latest jobs report delivering mixed signals on the strength of the economy. The yen ticked lower. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 0.7% as of 8:12 a.m. in Tokyo. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index futures rose 0.4%. S&P 500 Index futures gained 0.1%. The benchmark fell 0.3% Friday.  
Wall Street Journal:
MarketWatch.com:
CNBC:
Zero Hedge:   
Seeking Alpha:
  • It's 2013 All Over Again. Fast forward to January 2020 and we can see there are no signs of the type of excessive enthusiasm that always accompany the final stages of a blow-off rally. Quite the opposite, in fact, for the latest AAII survey showed that bullish sentiment among its members had fallen by 4% for the week ending January 8 to 33%. This is well below the long-term bullish average of 38%. And it’s certainly well under the types of readings we should be seeing right now if the market was truly vulnerable to a collapse.
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 54.0 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 32.0 +1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.56 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.12%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.14%.

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (SJR)/.34
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
2:00 pm EST
  • The Monthly Budget Statement for Dec. is estimated at $0.0B versus $208.8B in Nov.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The UK Trade Balance report, China Trade Balance report, UBS Midstream/MLP/Utilities Conference and the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly lower, weighed down by commodity and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

No comments: