Friday, January 10, 2020

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Economic Data, Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Financial/Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.2 -2.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.49 +.14%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.39 -2.4%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.57 +.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 -20
  • Total Put/Call .76 +16.9%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 +4.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 43.93 +.65%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 534.0 +2.77%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 50.45 -.21%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 152.0 -3.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 54.01 -1.64%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 180.67 +.75%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 168.63 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.5 unch.
  • TED Spread 31.25 -3.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.59 +.03%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.53% unch.
  • Yield Curve .25-3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 91.52 USD/Metric Tonne -.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index .5 -1.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 43.30 +.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.0 +2.4 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 unch.
  • 3.8% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 12.4% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -90 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +28 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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