Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:  
  • Asia Stocks Edge Up After Virus-Triggered Sell-Off. Asian stocks rallied, recovering a fraction of Tuesday’s sell-off triggered by evidence of the contagiousness of China’s coronavirus and concern with the potential economic implications. Haven assets steadied after gains and U.S. equity futures ticked higher. Shares from Sydney to Hong Kong edged up after heavy losses in the prior session, though Chinese shares dropped for a second day. Treasuries and the yen were flat after gaining Tuesday on news of the contagion, which also hit luxury stocks on concern about disruption to spending during China’s weeklong Lunar New Year holiday. The yuan was steady in offshore trading after tumbling Tuesday. Futures on the S&P 500 Index rose 0.2% as of 9:30 a.m. in Tokyo. The underlying gauge fell 0.3% on Tuesday. Japan’s Topix index rose 0.2%. Hang Seng gained 0.5%. Shanghai Composite fell 0.5%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index advanced 0.7%. South Korea’s Kospi index added 0.%.  
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 52.0 +1.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 32.75  +3.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.11 unch.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.01%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.15%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.22%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (ABT)/.95
  • (ASML)/2.71
  • (FITB)/.73
  • (HTLD)/.23
  • (JNJ)/1.87
  • (NTRS)/1.74
After the Close:
  • (BXS)/.60
  • (CTXS)/1.68
  • (KMI)/.27
  • (LVS)/.79
  • (RJF)/1.93
  • (SLM)/.33
  • (SLG)/1.75
  • (STLD)/.58
  • (TER)/.79
  • (TXN)/1.05
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for Dec. is estimated to fall to .13 versus .56 in Nov.
9:00 am EST
  • The FHFA House Price Index MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.2% decline in Nov.
10:00 am EST
  • Existing Home Sales for Dec. is estimated to rise to 5.43M versus 5.35M in Nov.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Japan Trade Balance report, weekly US retail sales reports, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the TD Securities Mining Conference could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly higher, boosted by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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