Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Global Growth Optimism, Short-Covering, Tech/Medical Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.6 -2.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.47 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.0 -1.3%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.5 +1.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 126.0 -69
  • Total Put/Call .77 -7.2%
  • NYSE Arms 1.35 +7.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 45.06 -.71%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 574.0 +1.97%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.55 +.24%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 160.75 -1.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 52.15 +.75%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 185.65 +.71%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 169.48 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.27 +.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve .25 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.15 USD/Metric Tonne -.13%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 9.7 -.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 43.60 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.0 +4.8 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72 -2.0 basis points
  • .8% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 8.7% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -151 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -131 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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