Thursday, January 23, 2020

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Diminished Coronavirus Fears, Earnings Optimism, Technical Buying, Tech/Transport Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.1 +1.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.63 -.66%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.06 +.66%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.24 -1.8%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 -22
  • Total Put/Call .76 -9.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.16 -16.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 45.72 +1.14%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 588.0 +2.49%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.06 +.96%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 156.25 -4.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 53.17 +2.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 188.48 +1.19%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 169.61 +.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.5 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.10 -.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55% unch.
  • Yield Curve .24 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 90.60 USD/Metric Tonne -2.22%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.2 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 42.80 -.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.1 +.1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72 unch.
  • 3.7% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 10.3% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +15 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +14 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +61 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

No comments: