Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Oil Weakness, Technical Selling, Bank/Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.4 +.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.19 +.15%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.31 -.63%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.26 -4.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 +8
  • Total Put/Call .72 -5.26%
  • NYSE Arms 1.25 +19.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 44.48 -.32%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 539.0 -1.19%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.52 +.8%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 160.0 +3.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 52.62 -.65%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 179.58 -1.32%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 168.88 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.53 -.1%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.56% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .24 -3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 94.82 USD/Metric Tonne +.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.4 +.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 40.50 -1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.30 -.7 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75 -1.0 basis point
  • .7% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 10.2% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +24 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +12 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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