Wednesday, January 04, 2023

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 119.25 -10.5 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 68.5 -2.75 basis points. 
  • China Iron Ore Spot 114.9 USD/Metric Tonne -.18%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 47.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index  54.4 +.68%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.34 +4.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 23.5 +.5%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.18%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.15%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.25%.  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (ANGO)/-.01
  • (CAG)/.66
  • (STZ)/2.90
  • (HELE)/2.60
  • (LW)/.74
  • (LNN)/1.18
  • (MSM)/1.47
  • (NEOG)/.14
  • (RPM)/1.10
  • (SCHN)/-.46
  • (WBA)/1.14
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for Dec.
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for Dec. is estimated to rise to 150K versus 127K in Nov.
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Balance for Nov. is estimated at -$63.1B versus -$78.2B in Oct.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated at 225K versus 225K the prior week. 
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1727K versus 1710K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Services PMI report, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, CES 2023 and the Goldman Energy/Clean Tech Conference could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by financial and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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