Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 114.0 +2.0 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 59.0 +.5 basis point. 
  • China Iron Ore Spot 120.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.04%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.1 +.02%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index  57.7 +.15%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .05 unch.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 22.3 +.25%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.59%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.11%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.10%.  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (KBH)/2.85
Economic Releases
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -719,830 barrels versus a +1,694,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +703,670 barrels versus a -346,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -671,500 barrels versus a -1,427,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise +4.0% versus a -12.4% decline prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • The Monthly Budget Statement for Dec. is estimated at -$60.0B versus -$21.3B in Nov.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China CPI data report, 10Y T-Note auction and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by commodity and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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