Style Underperformer:
Small-Cap Value (-2.32%)
Sector Underperformers:
I-Banks (-4.0%), Hospitals (-3.35%) and Alt Energy (-3.0%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
CKP, IOC, CCJ, MICC, VIP, SU, AA, BCS, IMO, BAC, CPRT, IPSU, PSEC, ATPG, DDRX, DNDN, PAYX, CHNG, TTEK, CFSG, SAIA, AGNC, BBBY, FELE, SWIR, ODFL, AMSC, SCHL, VOLC, RIMM, GET, HGR, PHH, ARE, WR, PPS, PXN, ELV, EXI and HNP
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) MHK 2) MCO 3) EXM 4) NLY 5) M
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Bear Radar
Bull Radar
Style Outperformer:
Large-Cap Value (-.75%)
Sector Outperformers:
Software (+.02%), Utilities (-.04%) and Telecom (-.04%)
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
CTAS, CTXS, VPRT and AM
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) RHT 2) CTXS 3) PAYX 4) BBBY 5) NLY
Trading Links
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Thursday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
Wall Street Journal:
- When it comes to the U.N. and Israel, our thoughts often turn to those East German Olympic judges during the Cold War: Their bias was so transparent it could almost pass without notice. But a new report from a U.N. "fact finding mission" about January's war in the Gaza Strip marks a new low, employing logic and arguments that will be felt wherever the West confronts terrorism. The Goldstone report—named after principal author, South African jurist Richard Goldstone—is a creature of the U.N.'s Human Rights Council, which in its three short years has condemned Israel more often than the U.N.'s other 191 member states combined, according to Hudson Institute scholar Anne Bayefsky. Mr. Goldstone's report devotes the bulk of its 575 pages to denouncing Israel for what it calls "a deliberately disproportionate attack designed to punish, humiliate and terrorize a civilian population." For this, it adds, Israeli soldiers could be individually liable for criminal prosecution in international courts, while Israel itself is held guilty of "a crime against humanity."
- It sounded to White House advisers like a good idea. Put President Barack Obama on five Sunday morning talk shows. This would focus attention on health care, re-establish momentum, and show off Mr. Obama's passion, intelligence, and persuasive abilities. It didn't work. Mr. Obama made a classic mistake of politicians on a downward-bending arc. He jumps out in front of the cameras without having something fresh to offer. As a result, he was on the defensive and failed to win over the slice of America that opposes his plans. His refusal to sit down with Fox News's Chris Wallace made him look petulant if not fearful, and his answers weakened his credibility.
NY Times:
IBD:
Business Week:
- Why losses at GE(GE) Capital Real Estate could continue even after the property market stabilizes.
The Business Insider:
Politico:
Rasmussen:
Reuters:
Financial Times:
Guardian:
The Economic Times:
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Now is not the time to buy homebuilders. Reiterated Sell on (DHI).
- Reiterated Buy on (HAL), raised target to $34.
- Upgraded (CPN) to Buy, target $16.50.
- Reiterated Buy on (BBBY), raised estimates, boosted target to $45.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are -1.50% to +.25% on average.
S&P 500 futures -.25%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.17%.
Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note
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Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (MKC)/.54
- (COMS)/.05
- (AM)/.06
- (OHB)/-.52
- (TXI)/-.06
- (SCS)/.01
- (MTN)/-1.09
- (SCHL)/-.83
- (RAD)/-.16
- (NEOG)/.26
- (ALOG)/.26
- (CBK)/-.14
- (FINL)/.20
- (PSEM)/.03
- (RIMM)/1.00
- (TSCM)/-.08
- (TIBX)/.11
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- Initial Jobless Claims are estimated to rise to 550K versus 545K the prior week.
- Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 6183K versus 6230K prior.
10:00 am EST
- Existing Home Sales for August are estimated to rise to 5.35M versus 5.24M in July.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Evans speaking, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, Treasury’s 7-year Note Auction, G-20 Meeting, BOJ Minutes, (HPQ) analyst meeting, (DNDN) analyst day, (CDE) analyst day, Stern Agee Ag Conference and the (DD) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by financial and commodity shares in the region. I expect US equities to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.
Stocks Finish at Session Lows, Weighed Down by Commodity, REIT, Financial, Airline and Homebuilding Shares
Evening Review
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