- Hynix Semiconductor Inc., the world’s second-largest computer-memory chipmaker, was raised to “buy” from “hold” by Daewoo Securities Co., which cited a high-than-expected gain in spot prices.
- China’s domestic vegetable oil market faces “supply pressures” because of high levels of stockpiles, Wang Yinji, deputy general manager at Cofco Oils & Grains Co., said at a conference today.“We can’t be too pessimistic on the market outside of China because of the unprecedented liquidity,” Wang said.“But there are supply pressures inside China, because of high stockpiles.”
- China’s imports of refined copper will “sharply decline” in 2010 from this year as demand growth slows amid high stockpiles, said an analyst at Beijing Antaike Information Development Co. Imports are likely to fall from an estimated 3 million metric tons this year, Yang Changhua, from Antaike, said at a conference in Wuhan, China. Copper use in the world’s largest consumer will grow 8 percent to 5.8 million tons, slowing from this year’s 10 percent gain, Yang said. Copper, used in pipes and power cables, has doubled in London this year as China’s 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion) stimulus spending and state stockpiling boosted imports to a record. Inventories of copper at warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange are almost six times the level at the beginning of the year. “China has over-imported this year as can be seen from current high stocks, partly due to a sharp decline of scrap copper” availability, Yang said. “Imports of scrap will recover due to improved availability and prices.” Inventories of copper at Shanghai warehouses stand at 104,275 tons, the highest in more than five years and up from 17,822 tons at the start of the year.
- The unemployment rate in the U.S. jumped to 10.2 percent in October, the highest level since 1983, threatening the emerging economic recovery and giving President Barack Obama and Democrats a bigger hurdle to overcome before next year’s Congressional elections. Payrolls fell by 190,000 last month, more than forecast by economists, a Labor Department report showed yesterday in Washington. The jobless rate rose from 9.8 percent in September. Factory payrolls dropped by the most in four months, and the average workweek held at a record low. Treasury two-year notes rallied on bets the Federal Reserve is more likely to maintain its pledge to keep interest rates near zero. The figures prompted Obama, who signed a bill yesterday extending jobless benefits, to promise new measures to find jobs for some of the 15.7 million unemployed Americans. “This will have a chilling effect on consumer confidence and business confidence,” said Joseph Brusuelas, a director at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania. “It does look like unemployment will creep much higher.”
- A senior U.S. senator on Sunday said the shootings at Fort Hood could have been a terrorist attack, and that he would launch a congressional investigation into whether the U.S. military could have prevented it. Sen. Joe Lieberman, an independent from Connecticut who heads the Senate's Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee, said initial evidence suggested that the alleged shooter, Army Major Nidal Hasan, was a "self-radicalized, home-grown terrorist" who had turned to Islamic extremism while under personal stress. Mr. Hasan, an Army psychiatrist, had opened fire Thursday at a soldier processing center at Fort Hood, Tex., killing 13 and wounding 29 in the worst mass shooting on a military facility in the U.S. Mr. Lieberman, appearing on "Fox News Sunday," cautioned that it remained too early to draw any definitive conclusions. He said his comments were based on "reports that we are receiving" about Mr. Hasan's actions and comments.
- The new tax break for businesses signed into law on Friday will result in a windfall valued at hundreds of millions of dollars for the biggest home builders, boosting the cash hoard the companies are tapping as they limp toward recovery. The tax break would give companies big refunds to help make up for recent losses. Specifically, it would let large firms claim cash refunds on taxes they paid going back five years, to offset current losses. Previously, the carry-back period for large firms was two years. Although the new tax break would apply to a variety of companies, it will be of particular benefit to home builders, whose earnings have gyrated more widely than companies in some other industries.
- The new Verizon Droid, like many a high-profile smartphone just coming onto the market, has been hailed by some as a potential--you know what's coming--iPhone killer. (Chronicling the very first Droid sales in ManhattanUnited States. (In some other countries, Apple has deals with multiple carriers.) The latest posting to suggest an imminent rapprochement between Verizon and the iPhone comes from the AppleInsider blog, which on Friday said that it's gotten wind of Apple having contracted to build a Verizon iPhone that would debut in the third quarter of 2010. More broadly, according to AppleInsider, the new "hybrid iPhone" will work on both the GSM/UMTS and the CDMA systems, meaning that Apple will be able "to sell a single global handset to all carriers, and specifically to Verizon Wireless in the US.” the other day, CNET's Maggie Reardon observed that the gadget may actually turn out to be more of a BlackBerry killer.) But does Verizon Wireless want to deliver a knockout to the iPhone? There's long been speculation that the carrier would sooner or later be offering the Apple smartphone, which since its launch has been solely in the hands of AT&T in the
San Diego Union-Tribune:
- Mexican soldiers detained six suspects Saturday at the site of a tunnel near the U.S. border fence west of A.L.RodriguezInternationalAirport. The entrance dropped more than 30 feet beneath the floor of a vacant house and was about 400 feet long, according to a statement from Baja California's Second Military Zone. The builders still had about 471 feet to go to the border. The tunnel apparently was being built to smuggle drugs into the United States.
Reuters:
- China hopes that the United States will keep its deficit to an appropriate size to ensure basic stability in the U.S. dollar exchange rate, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said on Sunday. "We have seen some signs of recovery in the U.S. economy ... I hope that as the largest economy in the world and an issuing country of a major reserve currency, the United States will effectively discharge its responsibilities," Wen told a news conference in Egypt. "Most importantly, we hope the United States will keep an appropriate size to its deficit so that there will be basic stability in the exchange rate, and that is conducive to stability and the recovery of the global economy," he added. The Chinese premier had expressed concern in March that massive U.S. deficit spending and near-zero interest rates would erode the value of China's huge U.S. bond holdings. China is the biggest holder of U.S. government debt and has invested an estimated 70 percent of its more than $2 trillion stockpile of foreign exchange reserves, the world's largest, in dollar assets. "I follow very closely Chinese holdings of U.S. assets because that constitutes a very important part of our national wealth. Our consistent principle when it comes to foreign exchange reserves is to ensure the safety, liquidity and good value of the reserves," Wen said.
- Hedge funds will have a weaker hand during a crucial week for regulatory reform, according to people in Congress and the industry, as the alleged insider trading case involving Galleon Group’s founder dents their image. “I think that this is just one more bit of bad PR for the hedge fund industry,” said Brad Sherman, a Democrat congressman who sits on the House financial services committee. “For one thing, I think it definitely enhances the already certain prospect that hedge funds will be regulated by the federal government,” said Harvey Pitt, a former chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission and head of Kalorama Partners, a consulting firm. “I think this will encourage the SEC to require hedge funds to adopt the same kind of insider trading policies and procedures that the law already requires for mutual funds and registered investment advisers,” he added. Before the Galleon probe came to public attention on Friday, hedge funds looked likely to escape the most onerous effects of financial regulatory reform. They had made the case – through the Managed Funds Association, the industry trade group, and sometimes via individual lobbyists – that they had not caused the crisis, had not taken government bail-out money and did not deserve to be constrained by tighter oversight. On Wednesday, the House financial services committee is due to mark up a bill that forces all but the smallest hedge funds to register with the SEC, subjecting themselves to examination and providing information to assess whether they are systemically significant.
-CongoRepublic plans to increase oil production by 20% by the end of this year, citing officials.Output may rise to 300,000 barrels per day from the current 250,000 barrels per day.
Korea Central News Agency:
- North Korea’s Minju Josun newspaper called contingency measures reportedly planned by South Korea and the US an unforgivable insult and an explicit provocation. Such plans promote confrontation and war, KCNA said.
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Treasury’s 3-year Note Auction, Fed’s Tarullo speaking, (UNM) analyst meeting, (KCI) analyst day, (NTGR) analyst day and the (QSII) analyst day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and financial stocks in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.