Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

- The three largest U.S. banks are preparing for a comeback in the market for collateralized debt obligations backed by high-yield, high-risk loans, two years after issuance tumbled when credit markets seized up. JPMorgan Chase & Co.(JPM), Bank of America Corp.(BAC) and Citigroup Inc.(C) are approaching managers of leveraged loans to offer terms for new collateralized loan obligations following a record rally this year in the debt, according to people familiar with the discussions who declined to be identified because the talks are private. “Market conditions have improved dramatically over the course of this year, which we see carrying on into 2010,” said Philippe Roger, JPMorgan’s global head of structured credit trading. “We are actively discussing the market environment with our clients, and think that they are going to be increasingly attracted both to the leveraged-loan asset class and securitization technology and applications related to the high-yield space.”

- Wells Fargo & Co.(WFC), seeking to wipe away the tarnish of U.S. government bailout funds, kept pace with rival banks by selling $10.65 billion of common stock to help repay the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The bank priced 426 million common shares at $25 each, the San Francisco company said in a statement today, raising more than the $10.4 billion target.

- The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. gave banks including Citigroup Inc.(C), Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co.(JPM) a reprieve of at least six months from raising capital to support billions of dollars of securities the firms will be adding to their balance sheets.

- Genworth Financial Inc.(GNW), the life insurer and mortgage guarantor, said its unit that backs U.S. home loans may return to operating profit in the middle of 2011.

- US auto sales will rise 20% in 2010, buoyed by pent-up demand and stronger credit markets, as the industry starts recovering from its worst year in almost three decades, a researcher said. Deliveries will climb to 12.4 million from 10.3 million in 2008, the Ann Arbor, Michigan-based Center for Automotive Research said today. US sales were 13.2 million last year, after averaging 16.8 million this decade through 2007. The forecast exceeded four projections by consultants and analysts for domestic industry deliveries in a range of 11.3 million to 11.8 million light vehicles. Cars on US roads now average a record 10.5 years old, and the sales rate has fallen to 42 autos for each 1,000 adults, McAlinden said. In the 1992 recession, the rate was 66 autos per 1,000 adults, he said. “It’s unbelievable how people have stopped buying cars,” McAlinden told reporters after a speech. “There’s enormous pent-up demand.”

- Paul A. Volcker visited nine cities in five countries in the past eight weeks to warn that bankers and regulators “have not come anywhere close to responding with necessary vigor” to the worst economic crisis in 70 years. “There is a lot of evidence that financial weaknesses brought us to the brink of a great depression,” Volcker, 82, said Dec. 8. at a conference in West Sussex, England. He told executives there that the changes they’ve proposed are “like a dimple.” Two years after the start of the deepest recession since the 1930s, no U.S. or European authority has put in force a single measure that would transform the financial system, based on data compiled by Bloomberg. No rule- or law-making body is actively considering the automatic dismantling of banks that Volcker told Congress are sheltered by access to an implicit safety net. There’s little evidence that policy makers are heeding Volcker, the former chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

- Crude oil prices will probably continue to decline even after a short-term rise, according to technical analysis by Newedge Group. West Texas Intermediate oil futures for February delivery are in “an underlying downtrend” that wouldn’t be affected by a small, short-term rise in prices, Veronique Lashinski, a senior research analyst at Newedge USA LLC, said in a note to clients. “As long as prices remain under $74.50, the overall picture will remain bearish.”

- Exxon Mobil Corp.’s(XOM) $30 billion purchase of XTO Energy Inc., the largest U.S. petroleum takeover since 2006, may signal a wave of acquisitions as major producers seek to tap growing gas and oil output from shale formations.

- U.S. retail sales rose for the 14th straight week as holiday promotions spurred spending. Sales at stores open at least a year climbed 2.4 percent in the week ended Dec. 12 from a year ago, the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said today in a statement. Sales in December will rise about 2 percent, Michael Niemira, chief economist of the New York-based ICSC, reiterated today. With one Saturday left before Christmas after last weekend, procrastinating consumers were motivated to start their holiday shopping, according to Amy Noblin, an analyst at Pali Capital Inc. in San Francisco. Retailers offered more promotions than they did a week ago, Noblin said. Retailers’ fourth-quarter gross profit margins may be more robust than they were a year ago, Jaffe said.

- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s federal regulator is renegotiating the companies’ financing plan with the U.S. Treasury Department and may seek an increase to their $400 billion federal lifeline before the end of the year, according to people familiar with the talks.

- Chrysler LLC, now known as Old Carco LLC, filed a reorganization plan, giving nothing back to the U.S. for its loans under the Troubled Asset Relief Program while repaying some secured lenders in full. The rough outline of a Chapter 11 plan, filed in Manhattan bankruptcy court today, says the U.S. won’t recover anything from its $4 billion TARP loan. Creditors classified as “other secured claims” of $20.6 million will get an estimated 100 percent recovery and a recovery for unsecured claims is “undetermined” according to the plan.

- Southern California house and condominium prices halted their slide for the first time in more than two years last month as federal tax credits and low mortgage rates increased sales, MDA DataQuick said. The median price was $285,000 in November, little changed from a year earlier and up 1.8 percent from $280,000 in October, the San Diego-based research company said today in a statement.

- Boeing Co.’s(BA) 787 Dreamliner took off on its maiden flight today, more than two years late, starting a testing process that will last at least nine months before the new plane enters service.

- Best Buy Co.(BBY), the largest electronics retailer, said its fourth-quarter gross margin will be lower than it anticipated as the chain relies on less profitable notebook computers and televisions to drive sales.

- CME Group Inc.(CME), the world’s largest futures market, guaranteed its first credit-default swap with its clearinghouse as a Federal Reserve deadline to improve the $27 trillion market expires. The trades cleared today were between a bank and a client, spokesman Michael Shore said in an e-mail. The Chicago-based exchange has struggled to attract bank business to process trades as competitor Intercontinental Exchange Inc.(ICE) has guaranteed more than $4.3 trillion of the contracts with its two clearinghouses since March.


Wall Street Journal:

- The United Nations' effort to muster global action against climate change appeared to move backward Tuesday, as the world's leading economies traded barbs over the most basic questions about how to divide responsibility for curbing greenhouse-gas emissions.

Even as world leaders began arriving for the climax of the two-week U.N. climate conference in the Danish capital, disagreements deepened among negotiators for the U.S., the European Union and a bloc of developing nations led by China.

- Support for the euro has turned very soggy very quickly, with sovereign credit risk in Greece, banking stress in Austria and weak economic data all suddenly proving a major drag. The currency has plunged from over $1.51 against the dollar at the start of this month to trade under $1.4550 Tuesday for the first time since early October. Now it seems that traders are latching onto every available sliver of negative news on the euro and using it as a trigger to punish the currency, particularly against the resurgent dollar.

- CardioNet Inc. (BEAT) executives said during a conference call Tuesday it has hired an investment bank to evaluate its options, an indication the medical-device company is considering a sale.


NY Times:

- Paramount Pictures, looking for new ways to turn its old movies into cash, especially as DVD sales continue to decline, is creating an online video clip service that will allow users to search hundreds of feature films on a frame-by-frame basis.

NYPost:
- The Two Faces of O by Charles Gasparino.
Prez’s lovefest with Wall St. ‘fat cats’ In public, President Obama is on a tear against Wall Street. In private, not so much Over the weekend, Obama attacked fat-cat investment bankers, telling "60 Minutes" he didn't become president to aid and abet Wall Street -- which, only a year after the financial meltdown and taxpayer bailout, is now scheduled to hand out tens of billions of dollars in bonuses to its bankers and traders. But the president's meeting yesterday with the CEOs of the largest banks was nearly a lovefest, I'm told by attendees. The White House last week sent the CEOs the president's talking points: bonuses (too high), lending (more loans to small businesses), the need for more regulation of the financial business (support the bill now before Congress), etc. So there were no surprises for the likes of Jaime Dimon of JP Morgan, Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs, John Mack of Morgan Stanley or Citigroup's Richard Parsons. Said one CEO who attended: "I expected to be taken to the woodshed, but the tone was quite the opposite." Said another senior exec with knowledge of the meeting: "The whole thing was so telegraphed that not much was accomplished, other than giving Obama a PR stunt . . . He might have sounded mean on '60 Minutes,' but during the meeting he was a hell of a lot nicer." Maybe Obama's softened tone was recognition of Wall Street's election help. Campaign-finance filings show that firms like Goldman -- now getting ready to dish out $20 billion in bonuses after nearly imploding last year -- favored Obama over John McCain by a fairly wide margin. Nearly all the major Wall Street CEOs -- including Dimon, Blankfein and Mack -- have told people that they voted for Obama.

Washington Times

- A new report shows that lean economic times didn't stop members of Congress from splurging taxpayer dollars on food and drink, including a $6,090 meal tab racked up in a single day by Guam Delegate Madeleine Z. Bordallo during a visit home with members of the House Natural Resources Committee. The meal bill that Mrs. Bordallo, a Democrat, charged to taxpayers Aug. 11 was the largest expenditure by a House member on food and beverages during the third quarter, according to an analysis of the members' $145 million in disbursements for the quarter conducted by watchdog.org. House Majority Leader Steny H. Hoyer, Maryland Democrat, had the second most expensive meal: $5,380 on Aug. 28 at the Middleton Hall, a posh banquet facility in Mr. Hoyer's Southern Maryland district. Mr. Hoyer did not immediately respond to inquiries about the expensive meals. The 3,400 pages of expenditure information culled by the group was made available for the first time on the Web, in keeping with a promise House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, California Democrat, made in June. The information previously was available only by visiting government offices.


The Business Insider:

- Jim Chanos: We’re Shorting Autos, China, And Commodities But Not Financials. Kynikos Associates founder Jim Chanos stopped by the Fast Money set for an interview with CNBC's Melissa Lee this afternoon. A few highlights from the video:

- 12 Huge Takeover Deals That Will Happen In 2010.

- 10 American Industries That Will Boom In The Next Decade.


Institutional Investor:

- To help make sense of the shifting landscape of Wall Street, we introduce our first ranking of the 25 most powerful people in the world of investment banking. Our list includes bank CEOs, star traders and high-priced rainmakers, and ranges from New York to London to Beijing. Subjective to be sure, our ranking nonetheless highlights some incontestable features about the industry during a time of historic transformation.
Click on the names below to read the executive profiles.


The Philadelphia Inquirer:

- Comcast Corp.(CMCSA) today is launching its "TV Everywhere" service for 8 million to 10 million Comcast customers in the United States who subscribe to the company's cable-TV and broadband Internet services. Subscribers will be able to go a Web site to view Comcast entertainment and news not previously available on the Internet. The service is free for Comcast subscribers and can't be viewed by those who don't subscribe to Comcast.


Rassmussen:

- Compared to the average government worker, most Americans think they work harder, have less job security and make less money. In fact, 59% of Americans say the average government worker earns more annually than the average taxpayer, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Just 15% don’t believe that to be true.


Politico:

- In a provocative argument designed to rescue his foundering health care plan, President Barack Obama will warn Senate Democrats in a White House meeting Tuesday that this is the "last chance" to pass comprehensive reform. Obama will contend that if it fails now, no other president will attempt it, aides said. White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer told POLITICO: "If President Obama doesn't pass health reform, it’s hard to imagine another president ever taking on this Herculean task. For those whose life's work is reforming health care, this may be the last train leaving the station." Previewing the message, Vice President Joe Biden said on MSNBC's "Morning Joe": "If health care does not pass in this Congress ... it's going to be kicked back for a generation." The new argument comes as the Senate races to pass the measure by Christmas, in the face of a costly setback this week. Senate Democrats say they are prepared to drop a plan to expand Medicare coverage after Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) said he could not support it. That could keep the bill alive but would infuriate the party's liberals, who feel the moderate Lieberman has thwarted them once again.

- It’s not been the year that labor had hoped for when it helped Democrats seize control of both Congress and the White House in 2008. The top labor legislative priority, a measure easing union organizing rules, hasn’t seen so much as a committee vote after negotiations over modified language took a back seat to passage of health care reform. Some members have grown frustrated with President Barack Obama’s decision to push health care as his first domestic priority, rather than focusing on economic recovery. And those feelings only intensified as the unemployment rate rose and automakers and other labor-dominated industries took debilitating blows during the economic downturn. Now, labor leaders are trying to defeat a Senate proposal to raise money for health care reform by taxing so-called Cadillac health insurance packages, which could apply to some union members.


USAToday:

- A push to spread the gospel about the 2010 Census this Christmas is stoking controversy with a campaign that links the government count to events surrounding the birth of Jesus. The National Association of Latino Elected Officials is leading the distribution to churches and clergy of thousands of posters that depict the arrival of Joseph and a pregnant Mary in Bethlehem more than 2,000 years ago. As chronicled in the Gospel of Luke, Joseph returned to be counted in a Roman census, but he and Mary found no room at an inn, and Jesus was born in a manger. "This is how Jesus was born," the poster states. "Joseph and Mary participated in the Census."


Reuters:

- Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) will likely make more acquisitions in 2010, focusing on areas such as cybersecurity, energy security, logistics support and intelligence surveillance, the company's chief executive said on Monday. Speaking at the Reuters Aerospace and Defense Summit in Washington, Robert Stevens said: "When we look to the future of cybersecurity, we are all just scratching the surface of the demands that will be placed on all of us to secure the databases, the networks, the information technology environment that we have." Stevens also said the company remained interested in healthcare information technology. "We all recognize the cost of healthcare continues to escalate," he said. "We understand large database management, we understand the security in databases, whether that's personal privacy protection or whether it's classified information protection ... so we'll continue to explore that horizon."


TimesOnline:

- There are many kinds of truth. Al Gore was poleaxed by an inconvenient one yesterday. he former US Vice-President, who became an unlikely figurehead for the green movement after narrating the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth, became entangled in a new climate change “spin” row. r Gore, speaking at the Copenhagen climate change summit, stated the latest research showed that the Arctic could be completely ice-free in five years. In his speech, Mr Gore told the conference: “These figures are fresh. Some of the models suggest to Dr [Wieslav] Maslowski that there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven years.” However, the climatologist whose work Mr Gore was relying upon dropped the former Vice-President in the water with an icy blast. It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at,” Dr Maslowski said. “I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.” The embarrassing error cast another shadow over the conference after the controversy over the hacked e-mails from the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit, which appeared to suggest that scientists had manipulated data to strengthen their argument that human activities were causing global warming. Gore is not the only titan of the world stage finding Copenhagen to be a tricky deal. Perhaps Mr Gore had felt the need to gild the lily to buttress resolve. But his speech was roundly criticized by members of the climate science community. “This is an exaggeration that opens the science up to criticism from skeptics,” Professor Jim Overland, a leading oceanographer at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said. Richard Lindzen, a climate scientist at the Massachusets Institute of Technology who does not believe that global warming is largely caused by man, said: “He’s just extrapolated from 2007, when there was a big retreat, and got zero.”

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
Large-Cap Value (-.68%)

Sector Underperformers:
Banks (-2.67%), Airlines (-1.99%) and Gold (-1.21%)

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

STI, DECK, GILD, BBY and FDS


Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) AET 2) BBY 3) AMED 4) GILD 5) WY

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
Small-Cap Growth (+.44%)

Sector Outperformers:
Hospitals (+2.43%), Oil Service (+1.93%) and Construction (+1.43%)

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
BEXP, SWSI, AET, HUM, ASBC, WFC, FFBC, NIHD, XRTX, SHLM, MGLN, MDCI, PZZA, CSIQ, CAGC, AMED, FWLT, TSTC, NTRI, ACXM, STRA, SPWRA, CPLA, SPWRB, FSLR, KONG, LEAP, WY, PAY, SNS and BCR


Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) BSX 2) HOT 3) FRE 4) BBY 5) M

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Monday, December 14, 2009

Tuesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:

- The decision to hold trials for several alleged members of Al Qaeda in Manhattan federal court isn’t final, a U.S. spokesman said, leaving open the possibility that the cases will be heard in another jurisdiction. U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder announced Nov. 13 that Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the self-proclaimed mastermind of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on New York and Washington, and four others accused of conspiring with him will be tried in federal court in Manhattan, just blocks from the site of the World Trade Center.

- Ford Motor Co.(F), which failed to win additional concessions from union members last month, told salaried employees it is reinstating raises, 401(k) matches and tuition assistance next year as business improves. Ford has set aside funding for merit raises and will resume matching 401(k) retirement savings for as much as 5 percent of base pay in 2010, Mark Fields, the automaker’s president of the Americas, told employees in a Dec. 10 memo. The Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker also is reinstating tuition assistance for its 17,000 U.S. salaried employees. “Clearly our One Ford transformation plan is not complete, but our plan is working,” Fields told employees in his e-mailed memo, which was reported earlier in the Detroit Free Press. “In this challenging business environment, it is more important than ever that we remain focused.”

- Bank of America Corp.(BAC) is more likely to promote someone from its own ranks to be chief executive officer after the leading outside candidate withdrew, according to a person familiar with the matter. No other outsider is actively engaged in talks with the company now that Bank of New York Mellon Corp. CEO Robert Kelly has dropped out, said the person, who declined to be identified because the search is confidential.

- The Obama administration will announce tomorrow that it has picked the Thomson Correctional Center in western Illinois to house some detainees now held in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, an administration official said. President Barack Obama has directed the federal government to proceed with the acquisition of the prison 150 miles west of Chicago to house federal inmates and a limited number of Guantanamo Bay prisoners, the official said.


Wall Street Journal:

- Senate Democrats on Monday evening dropped a plan to expand Medicare, winning the support of moderates and the reluctant acquiescence of liberals, in another major step toward building enough support to pass a health-care overhaul. The idea of letting people ages 55 to 64 buy into Medicare, announced just last week, had threatened to explode the Democrats' hopes of getting a bill through the Senate when Sen. Joseph Lieberman came out against it. At an evening caucus of all 58 Democrats and the two independents who sit with the party, including Sen. Lieberman, Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) and other party leaders made clear they wanted to head off the dispute.

- The Tehran-Caracas Nuclear Axis. Here's one from the Department of We Are The World: Hugo Chávez and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will address the U.N.'s climate summit in Copenhagen. Say what you will about these two gentlemen—the support for terrorists, the Holocaust denial, the suppression of civil liberties—at least nobody can accuse them of being global warming "deniers." On the contrary, the two leaders, who met in Caracas last month for at least the 11th time, have been nothing if not cooperative when it comes to environmentally friendly and carbon-neutral technologies. Bicycles, for instance: In 2005, Chávez directed his government to "follow seriously the project of manufacturing Iranian bicycles in Venezuela." An Iranian dairy products plant (no doubt ecologically sensitive) also set up shop hard on the Colombian border, in territory controlled by Colombia's terrorist FARC.

- AIG(AIG), in its current form, is also too large and needs to shrink, Mr. Benmosche said in an interview Monday. "I feel strongly that AIG is too big today--it is extremely complex to manage and we need to make sure it's more transparent, that it's smaller, and that we can make it on our own," he said, in his first public comments to the media in months.


CNBC.com:

- Citigroup(C) and Wells Fargo(WFC) said they were paying back funds to the U.S. government, in transactions that will end taxpayers' capital support of the biggest U.S. banks much sooner than had been expected.

- A bipartisan group of former lawmakers and budget officials called on Congress and President Barack Obama Monday to commit to reining in trillion-dollar plus budget deficits to avoid dragging down the economy. Policymakers must take steps next year to enact policies to stabilize the debt at 60 percent of the size of the economy to avoid higher interest rates or crisis in global markets with disastrous implications for the U.S. economy, according to a report by the Peterson-Pew Commission on Budget Reform, a bipartisan group of deficit hawks. The bipartisan group includes former lawmakers and directors of both the Congressional Budget Office and the White House budget office.


New York Times:

- With only a few weeks left to go, this year has turned out far better for the global hedge fund industry than the debacle of 2008. But assets under management, the key measurement of hedge fund growth, are still on average 32 percent below their peak levels, according to a new study from Barclays Capital.

- China and the United States were at an impasse on Monday at the United Nations climate change conference here over how compliance with any treaty could be monitored and verified. China, which last month for the first time publicly announced a target for reducing the rate of growth of its greenhouse gas emissions, is refusing to accept any kind of international monitoring of its emissions levels, according to negotiators and observers here. The United States is insisting that without stringent verification of China’s actions, it cannot support any deal. The stalemate came on a day of public and private brinkmanship as the talks moved into their second and final week. Earlier Monday, a group of poor nations staged a brief walkout from the bargaining table, and a chaotic registration system left thousands of attendees freezing outside the conference hall and forced the temporary closing of the subway stop near the Bella Center, where the meetings are being held. The slow progress of the climate negotiations could pose problems later in the week, when the heads of government begin arriving.


CNNMoney.com:

- 4 tech trends to watch.


Seeking Alpha:

- Below is a chart of an investment grade CDS (credit default swap) index coupled with the S&P 500 Financial sector. While default risk just made a new low, the Financial sector has not made new 2009 highs. The bulls are hoping this drop in CDS prices is a leading indicator that means financial stocks are on the verge of a resurgence. (Click to enlarge)


Forbes:

- Online display advertising, viewed as inefficient and time-consuming for many marketers, has been a tough sell in recent years. Google(GOOG) aims to change that.


Politico:

- One-hundred-and-seventy-four House Republicans warned House Speaker Nancy Pelosi Monday that they won’t vote for the Defense Department’s spending bill if a hike of the debt ceiling is tacked on. “Unfortunately, there seems to be pattern developing this year of using legislation that supports our men and women in uniform to pass other contentious proposals that are extraneous to our troops,” the Republicans said in a letter to Pelosi. "House Republicans stand ready to help the majority enact a defense bill that meets the need of our troops, but we will not assist your effort to use the troops to enact an increase in our national debt limit so as to finance the irresponsible spending of your party," they continued. It’s a stark threat from Republicans, who are generally supportive of funding the military and one that could throw passage of the massive spending bill into jeopardy.

- Video: Obama gives himself a B+.

- Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) is putting Capitol Hill on a "Code Red" alert Tuesday in an effort to stop the Senate's health care reform legislation. In a release from his office Monday, DeMint announced he will speak at what is being billed as an "emergency rally" coordinated by several groups, including the American Conservative Union and the Susan B. Anthony List. "The event has 'tea party' trimmings and plenty of muscle, including grass-roots support from six states," according to the GOP senator's Web site. Also on the bill for Tuesday afternoon's rally in Upper Senate Park are Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), radio talk show host Laura Ingraham and Rick Scott, chairman of Conservatives for Patients Rights. “We can expose them and confront them in the classic American spirit – a public gathering on their doorstep,” Ingraham told the Washington Times. “We will put every politician who supports this travesty on notice. Enjoy your remaining time in the U.S. Capitol because we’re coming for your seat.”


Rasmussen:

- The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 24% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18. That’s a one point improvement from yesterday when Obama’s Approval Index rating fell to the lowest level yet recorded. Prior to the past three days, the Approval Index had never fallen below -15 during Obama’s time in office (see trends).


Real Clear Politics:

- Rep. Ryan Denounces "Crony Capitalism." This morning, Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) discussed the Congressional agenda and says the Democrats' plan is to turn America into "a European welfare state." He called the financial regulatory bill "crony capitalism" and said it was "big business in bed with big government." (video)


The Business Insider:

- Matt Taibbi gave a very good interview on CNN this afternoon, discussing his recent Rolling Stone piece on Obama's sellout. One of the more interesting points came when Taibbi was asked about some criticism from Andrew Ross Sorkin. Taibbi's response, basically: sorry mainstream journalists, I don't have to be evenhanded. Good answer. (video)

- Congress Is Blowing It Again: Where Are The Limits On Leverage?!?


USA Today.com:

- Gasoline prices fell to their lowest level in eight weeks, the Energy Department said Monday, as cheaper crude oil costs pushed pump prices lower. The national price for regular unleaded gasoline dropped to $2.60 per gallon, which was still up 94 cents from a year ago, the department's Energy Information Administration said in its weekly survey of service stations. The latest lower motor fuel price reflects the drop in crude oil prices, which account for about half the cost for making gasoline.

- Toyota showed its new plug-in hybrid Monday, available for leasing this month in Japan, the U.S. and Europe, and promised the green vehicle for sale to regular consumers in 2011 at an "affordable" price.


Reuters:

- LUKOIL, the big Russian winner at Iraq's weekend oil auctions, expects a "revolution" in world oil markets when enough crude to add 20 percent to global supply starts to flow from the country's supergiant fields. Billionaire LUKOIL shareholder Leonid Fedun told Reuters on Monday he expected a fivefold rise in Iraqi production to cap oil price growth, while also deterring investors from pursuing more difficult and costly projects in other parts of the world. "A top manager at a leading Western firm said the modern history of the oil business will be split into the pre-Iraq and post-Iraq periods. I agree," Fedun said in an interview. "We're witnessing a revolution in oil production." Iraq, emerging from the shadows of war, has deals on the table to raise oil capacity to 12 million barrels per day from 2.5 million bpd today, a level that would eclipse second-ranked Russia and leave the country behind only Saudi Arabia. "Investment will be in the billions of dollars. The project is colossal," said Fedun, a vice-president of LUKOIL whom Forbes magazine this year ranked Russia's eighth-richest businessman. Fedun said the ministry's target of reaching 12 million bpd was realistic and that, as these plans are realized, the effects on the world market would be widespread. "World oil supplies will rise by a minimum 20 percent and demand won't increase at the same rate over the same period. This raises questions over the long-term oil price," he said. "Despite terrorist acts, the country is politically stable. Yes, there are risks, but the regions where the big companies are working are comparatively stable and located not far from the export infrastructure."

- Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) is being sued by an institutional investor who claims the firm is preparing to pay out improper bonuses. The lawsuit, filed with the New York Supreme Court by the Security Police and Fire Professionals of America Retirement Fund, names chief executive Lloyd Blankfein and other executives and board members as defendants.


Financial Times:

- Three Steps to a Safer Financial System by Phillip Purcell. Americans have grudgingly supported the use of their taxes to save the financial system and economy. Unfortunately, this required rescuing many companies considered “too big to fail” that individually did not deserve to be saved. Taxpayers resent their money being used to keep these companies out of bankruptcy and, in some cases, protect the multi-million dollar compensation packages of those who caused the crisis. In short, Americans understand the need to protect the financial system, but do not want the events of a year ago to happen again. So one would think that we would be putting in place changes to prevent future catastrophes or at least substantially reduce the cost to taxpayers. But to date, there have been only short-term, stop-gap measures. There are three areas where action could be taken right now: new capital requirements, profit-based compensation and greater board control over risk management and pay.

- Alistair Darling has warned banks that he will not water down his 50 per cent supertax on bonuses or offer special deals in a standoff in which brokers and banks have threatened to move key staff out of the UK. The chancellor has been deluged with claims by banks that the tax would raise far more than the £550m he predicted. They have demanded that he make the levy less onerous. But an aide to the chancellor said: “The solution to their problem is that they pay less in bonuses. The banks don’t seem to realize this tax is about changing their behavior, not raising revenue.”


Telegraph:

- Copenhagen: support for a global tax on shipping and aviation grows. Support for a global tax or emissions trading scheme for shipping and aviation is growing at the Copenhagen climate change talks, according to two sources close to European Union negotiators.

South China Morning Post:

- China banned the registering of personal Internet domain names and people who have their own Web sites could lose them, citing a government regulation that came into effect yesterday. Under the regulation, Internet service providers can no longer host individually owned Web sites and only businesses or government-authorized organizations can have them.


Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:

- Reiterated Buy on (CME), boosted target to $385.

- Reiterated Buy on (MOT).

- Reiterated Sell on (RIMM) and (PALM).

- Reiterated Buy on (AVT), target $33.

- Reiterated Buy on (IR) and (UTX).

- Reiterated Buy on (AA), target $17.

- Reiterated Buy on (NTRI), boosted estimates, raised target to $42.


JPMorgan:

- Raised (RTP) to Overweight.


Sanford Bernstein:

- Rated (LEAP) Outperform, target $23.

- Rated (PCS) Outperform, target $10.


Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.50% to +.50% on average.

Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 103.0 -3.0 basis point.
S&P 500 futures +.13%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.12%.


Morning Preview

BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Asian Financial News

European Financial News

Latin American Financial News

MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary

U.S. Equity Preview

TradeTheNews Morning Report

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

Briefing.com Bond Ticker

US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar

Conference Calendar

Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades

Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling


Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (FDS)/.74

- (ADBE)/.37

- (BBY)/.43

- (AIR)/.30


Economic Releases

8:30 am EST

- The Producer Price Index for November is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +.3% increase in October.

- The PPI Ex Food & Energy for November is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.6% decline in October.

- The Empire Manufacturing Index for December is estimated at 24.0 versus 23.51 in November.


9:00 am EST

- Net Long-term TIC Flows for October are estimated to fall to $37.1B versus $40.7B in September.


9:15 am EST

- Industrial Production for November is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.1% gain in October.

- Capacity Utilization for November is estimated to rise to 71.1% versus 70.7% in October.


1:00 pm EST

- The NAHB Housing Market Index for December is estimated to rise to 18 versus a reading of 17 in November.


Upcoming Splits
- None of note


Other Potential Market Movers
-
The weekly retail sales reports, weekly API energy inventories, Deutsche Bank Biotech Confab, Raymond James Supply Chain Conference, (PBI) guidance call, (BRCM) analyst day, (ABC) analyst meeting, (ARG) analyst meeting, (DAL) investor day, (GOOG) educational webcast, (GE) annual outlook, (HANS) analyst meeting, (GNW) investor day and the ABC consumer confidence reading could also impact trading today.


BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by mining and technology shares in the region. I expect US equities to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.