Monday, November 25, 2013

Monday Watch

Weekend Headlines 
Bloomberg: 
  • Obama Moves to Prevent Rift With Allies Over Iran Deal. Hours after announcing a nuclear deal with Iran, President Barack Obama moved to prevent the agreement from opening a rift with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and even with some Democrats in Congress. Obama called Netanyahu before departing on a trip to the U.S. West Coast. At an Israeli cabinet meeting today, the Israeli leader called the six-month accord with Iran “an historic mistake.” Some Democratic lawmakers with significant Jewish constituencies joined in the criticism, including Charles Schumer of New York, who said he was “disappointed” by a deal that “does not seem proportional.” Schumer, the Senate’s third-ranking Democrat, said that it’s now “more likely” that Democratic lawmakers will join Republicans in passing legislation to impose additional sanctions on Iran, a step that Obama warned in announcing the deal might either disrupt the agreement or distance the U.S. from allies needed to maintain remaining sanctions. 
  • Abe’s Stimulus Folly May Destroy Yen and JGBs, Doshisha’s Hama. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s reliance on fiscal and monetary easing to defeat deflation may precipitate a “plunge” in the yen and sovereign bonds, said Noriko Hama, an economics professor at Doshisha University’s Business School in Kyoto. “The Bank of Japan is no longer functioning as a proper central bank,” Hama said at a speech in Tokyo on Nov. 21, referring to the BOJ’s doubling of monthly bond purchases to more than 7 trillion yen ($68.8 billion) in April. “The scariest scenario, and the one we should be most wary of, is a bottomless crash in the yen,” as the global financial community loses faith in the currency, Hama said.
  • China Developers Owe 3.8 Trillion Yuan in Land Taxes, CCTV Says. Chinese property developers failed to pay at least 3.8 trillion yuan ($624 billion) in land taxes between 2005 and 2012, according to a China Central Television report. Agile Property Holdings Ltd. (3383), which owes the government 8.3 billion yuan in land appreciation taxes, and Soho China Ltd. (410), the biggest developer in Beijing’s central business district, owe the most among the 45 developers that failed to pay, CCTV reported yesterday, citing calculations by Li Jinsong, a Beijing-based lawyer. Other companies that owe the tax include China Vanke Co. (200002), the country’s biggest developer listed on mainland exchanges, the state television said. A gauge tracking property shares on the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.8 percent as of 10:20 a.m., the biggest decline among the five industry groups on the benchmark, which dropped 0.3 percent.
  • China Trades Barbs With U.S. Over China Sea Defense Zone. China traded barbs with the U.S. and Japan over its newly announced air defense zone in the East China Sea, as tensions escalated between Asia’s largest economies and risked damaging a resurgence in trade. China’s Defense Ministry filed protests to both nations’ embassies, calling Japan’s remarks “unreasonable” and the U.S. comments “wrong,” according to a statement posted on the ministry’s website today. Japan lodged a complaint as the U.S. and South Korea expressed concern about China’s creation of the zone Nov. 23. 
  • Oil Sinks on Iran Deal as Stocks Advance; Yen Slides. Crude oil headed for the biggest drop in three weeks after Iran agreed to limit its nuclear program in exchange for relief from some sanctions. Asian stocks climbed, while the yen fell to its weakest since May. Brent crude sank 2.2 percent to $108.62 a barrel by 12:32 p.m. in Tokyo. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, which capped a seventh weekly gain Nov. 22, rose 0.3 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.4 percent, while credit risk in the region fell. The yen dropped as much as 0.5 percent while Thailand’s currency and equities slid amid protests in Bangkok.
  • Rebar Advances as China’s Hebei Demolishes Old Steel Furnaces. Steel reinforcement-bar futures in Shanghai advanced as the government in Hebei province began demolishing old steel blast furnaces. Rebar for May delivery, the most-active contract by volume on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, rose as much as 0.8 percent to 3,642 yuan ($598) a metric ton and traded at 3,630 yuan at 10:49 a.m., local time.
  • Europe Twin Woes Fester in Draghi Job-to-Inflation Fight. Europe’s twin woes of too little inflation and too many unemployed will dominate data due this week just as officials prepare forecasts backing the rationale for Mario Draghi’s surprise interest-rate cut. Inflation stayed close to the lowest level in almost four years in November with a reading of 0.8 percent, according to the median prediction of 44 economists polled by Bloomberg News. Data published at the same time on Nov. 29 might also reveal the euro-area jobless rate remained at a record 12.2 percent.
  • Businesses Wary as Obama Picks Get Edge in Senate Rules. President Barack Obama will have more leverage to regulate the energy and financial-services industries under a Senate rule change that will let a simple majority confirm most presidential nominees. This week’s Senate vote means Obama won’t need Republican support to win approval of his nominees to run federal agencies and serve on U.S. trial and appeals courts. There are 231 Obama nominees pending in the Senate, including 53 judges, 81 candidates for cabinet-level agencies and 13 at independent regulatory agencies, according to the White House. Most important, in many ways, are Obama’s picks to serve on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, which handles challenges to federal regulations and is called the second-highest court in the country. “Under any administration, federal agencies seek to implement the president’s policies by developing regulations,” said Jeff Holmstead, a Washington lawyer at Bracewell & Giuliani LLP who has represented coal-heavy utilities. “But in most cases, the judges on the D.C. Circuit are the people who decide whether those regulations comply with federal law.” 
  • Obama Hitting Seven Democratic Fundraisers on West Coast. President Barack Obama, with a full plate of domestic and foreign policy issues before him, is undertaking a three-day fundraising trip that includes stops at the Seattle home of former Microsoft executive Jon Shirley and Magic Johnson’s Los Angeles house. Obama left Washington today after the U.S. and other world powers announced an agreement to limit Iran’s nuclear program and as his administration seeks to recover from the troubled rollout of his health-care law. 
  • Obamacare Fiasco Erodes Government as Problem-Solver Idea. When Barack Obama was elected president in 2008, voters were not merely choosing a candidate they found more compelling. They also were endorsing a renewal of the notion that government could be a force for good. The flawed rollout of Obamacare, his signature legislative achievement, is testing that premise, giving Republicans a chance to re-litigate the role of government and Democrats pause that the damage could lead to congressional losses.
  • For-Profit Colleges Face Consumer Bureau Probe on Lending Roles. The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is investigating at least two for-profit colleges over potentially abusive practices in marketing and originating student loans. The CFPB, which is studying and preparing to directly supervise the entire private student loan industry, is examining potential illegal practices by Corinthian Colleges Inc. (COCO) and ITT Educational Services Inc. (ESI), according a document posted on the agency’s website and securities filings.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • Iran Pact Faces Stiff Opposition. Israel and Some U.S. Lawmakers Blast Interim Deal to Curb Nuclear Program, Ease Sanctions. A groundbreaking deal to curb Iran's nuclear program faces towering obstacles at home and abroad to becoming a permanent agreement, starting with the U.S. Congress and two of America's closest allies. The leaders of both the Democratic and Republican parties are threatening to break with President Barack Obama's policy and enact new punitive sanctions on Iran, arguing that the interim deal reached in Geneva on Sunday yields too much to the Islamist regime while asking too little.
  • Capital Journal: Allies Fear a U.S. Pullback in Mideast. Some Say Negotiations with Iran Represent Latest Evidence War-Weary U.S. Seeks to Close Books on Region's Long-Term Problems. America's allies in Israel and Saudi Arabia view the new nuclear agreement with Iran with a mixture of unease and alarm. But for some in the skeptics' camp, the broader concern extends well beyond the preliminary nuclear deal. Their underlying worry is that the negotiations with Iran represent just the latest evidence that a war-weary U.S. is slowly seeking to close the books on a series of nettlesome long-term problems, allowing Washington to pull back from its longtime commitment to the Middle East.
  • Companies Prepare to Pass More Health Costs to Workers. Firms Brace for Influx of Participants in Insurance Plans Who Had Earlier Opted Out. Companies are bracing for an influx of participants in their insurance plans due to the health-care overhaul, adding to pressure to shift more of the cost of coverage to employees. Many employers are betting that the Affordable Care Act's requirement that all Americans have health insurance starting in 2014 will bring more people into their plans who have previously opted out. That, along with other rising expenses, is prompting companies to raise workers' premium contributions, steer them toward high-deductible plans and charge them more to cover family members.
  • Iran's Nuclear Triumph. Tehran can continue to enrich uranium at 10,000 working centrifuges. President Obama is hailing a weekend accord that he says has "halted the progress of the Iranian nuclear program," and we devoutly wish this were true. The reality is that the agreement in Geneva with five Western nations takes Iran a giant step closer to becoming a de facto nuclear power. Start with the fact that this "interim" accord fails to meet the terms of several United Nations resolutions, which specify no sanctions relief until Iran suspends all uranium enrichment. Under this deal Iran gets sanctions relief, but it does not have to give up its centrifuges that enrich uranium, does not have to stop enriching, does not have to transfer control of its enrichment stockpiles, and does not have to shut down its plutonium reactor at Arak.
Marketwatch.com: 
  • Holiday season ushers in retail stock jitters. Investors will be closely watching the holiday hysteria that’s soon to overtake the stores and shopping malls of America, especially as Wall Street fears the coming holiday season could be a dud for retailers. 
ValueWalk:
Business Insider:
New York Times:
LA Times:
  New York Post:
  • False Job Numbers: Did the White House Know? Let me be the first to ask: Did the White House know that employment reports were being falsified? Last week I reported exclusively that someone at the Census Bureau’s Philadelphia region had been screwing around with employment data. And that person, after he was caught in 2010, claimed he was told to do so by a supervisor two levels up the chain of command. On top of that, a reliable source whom I haven’t identified said the falsification of employment data by Census was widespread and ongoing, especially around the time of the 2012 election.
The Detroit News: 
  • Obamacare will kill middle class. Obamacare is the biggest assault ever on the middle class. If not radically altered or repealed, it will diminish lifestyles and increase the financial struggles of average individuals and families. Combined with other costly government meddling in the economy, it will destroy the concept of an American middle. Incomes that over the past decade have barely kept pace with inflation will not absorb the surging cost of health insurance that will come for many, if not most people, on Jan. 1. We’re painfully familiar with Obamacare’s impact on the individual insurance market. Those who buy their own insurance are seeing policies canceled and replaced with ones costing two to three times as much. President Barack Obama’s fake fix won’t provide much relief.
Telegraph: 
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 129.0 -4.5 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 101.75 -1.5 basis points.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.36%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.26%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.29%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (HI)/.52
  • (NUAN)/.29
  • (DY)/.46
  • (PANW)/.07
  • (CPRT)/.34
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales for October are estimated to rise +1.1% versus a -5.6% decline in September.
10:30 am EST
  • Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity for November is estimated to rise to 5.0 versus 3.6 in October.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Taruillo speaking, 2Y T-Note auction, BoJ Minutes and the (SNE) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by financial and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Weekly Outlook

Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.
Stocks to Watch Monday by MarketWatch.
Weekly Economic Calendar by Briefing.com.

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly lower on rising long-term rates, profit-taking, technical selling, increasing emerging markets debt angst and more shorting. My intermediate-term trading indicators are giving neutral signals and the Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Friday, November 22, 2013

Market Week in Review

S&P 500 1,804.76 +.37%*


 photo ila_zpsd8cb17ba.png

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.


*5-Day Change

Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices
  • S&P 500 1,804.76 +.37%
  • DJIA 16,o64.77 +.65%
  • NASDAQ 3,991.64 +.14%
  • Russell 2000 1,124.92 +.78%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 29.29 +.21%
  • Wilshire 5000 18,912.74 +.28%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 909.65 +.04%
  • Russell 1000 Value 909.65 +.45%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 443.99 -.46%
  • Morgan Stanley Cyclical 1,418.29 +.11%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 858.80 -.89%
  • Transports 7,199.37 -.16%
  • Utilities 495.31 -2.29%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 104.53 +.32%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.90 +.39%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,141.21 -.12%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 950.43 +.05%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 194,426 -.21%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 149 -359
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 31.03 -20.70%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 313,160 +2.49%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,620,640 -6.64%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +25.33%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.39 +183.67%
  • ISE Sentiment 144.0 -5.88%
  • NYSE Arms .81 +3.85%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.26 +.57%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.45 -4.86%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.07 +3.33%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.59 +.23%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,053.21 +.42%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.663 Trillion -.20%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow $5.407 Billion n/a
  • AAII % Bulls 34.4 -12.3%
  • AAII % Bears 29.5 +7.3%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 275.21 +.32%
  • Crude Oil 94.77 +1.16%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 272.05 +2.40%
  • Natural Gas 3.78 +3.84%
  • Heating Oil 303.43 +3.12%
  • Gold 1,242.10 -3.61%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 187.68 +.73%
  • Copper 322.05 +1.50%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 360.67 USD/Ton +5.81%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 136.50 USD/Ton -.22%
  • Lumber 359.60 -1.05%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,386.88 +.98%
Economy
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.40% +20 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0170 +203.5%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 119.60 +.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.70 -.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.30 -1.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 34.0% chance of no change, 66.0% chance of 25 basis point cut on 12/18
  • US Dollar Index 80.65 -.18%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.14 +1.52%
  • Yield Curve 246.0 +5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.74% +4 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $3.864 Trillion n/a
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.88 +18.88%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 191.0 -3.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 62.50 -1.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 101.73 -.68%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 230.0 +4.44%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 108.16 +.92%
  • Egypt Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 665.0 -2.92%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 353.0 -10 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20% +1 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.0 -.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 +1.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 69.64 -1.15%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 101.56 -5.11%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 288.70 +1.46%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 103.0 +1.0 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $2.587 Trillion -1.30%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,054.10 -1.20%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 338,500 -5,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.22% -13 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 451.10 -2.30%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort -34.60 -.7 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.40% +10 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.24/gallon +.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,499 -1.19%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,043.77 unch.
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 +7.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 266,643 +.52%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +1.0%
Worst Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Value -.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Biotech +4.0%
  • HMOs +3.7%
  • I-Banks +3.3%
  • Defense +2.3%
  • Banks +2.3%
Lagging Sectors
  • Utilities -2.3% 
  • Oil Service -2.4%
  • Alt Energy -4.3%
  • Coal -4.4%
  • Gold & Silver -6.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (16)
  • KIRK, UBNK, DAKT, TTS, LZB, CENJF, CYBX, AMWD, LMOS, ENTA, RCKB, CSII, BONT, MINI, AEC and TMUS
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (16)
  • JEC, DAR, SJM, GOOD, NHI, SGMS, ARUN, STAN, PDCO, CPB, FOR, DWRE, BBY, GME, AMRI and LQDT
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Lower Long-Term Rates, Biotech/Restaurant Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.41 -1.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.15 +.67%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.59 -1.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.90 -2.73%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 171.0 -17.79%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +13.92%
  • NYSE Arms .82 -17.90% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.12 -2.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 101.57 -4.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.50 unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 289.35 -2.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 247.0 -4 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $136.50/Metric Tonne +.15%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.70 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.30 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +205 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
  • France’s Economy Most Serious Threat for EU, Bankers Say. France’s economy poses the most serious threat to Europe’s recovery from a debt crisis that has crippled growth and driven unemployment to record highs, according to a survey of bankers and their regulators in Frankfurt. The outlook for France is more concerning than prospects for Italy, Spain or Germany, said 61 percent of respondents in the electronic survey held at a conference in the euro-area’s financial capital today. France “desperately needs leadership,” Timothy Adams, the Institute of International Finance Chief Executive Officer, said in a panel discussion at the conference. “There’s a lack of concern about competitiveness in France,” Andre Sapir, an economist and senior fellow at Bruegel, a Brussels-based think tank, said on the same panel. 
  • Italy, Spain Face Budget Scrutiny as Euro Ministers Meet. Italy and Spain will defend their 2014 spending plans at a meeting of euro-area finance ministers today, risking a clash over economic frailties that could undermine efforts to pull the currency bloc out of a debt crisis now in its fifth year. Fabrizio Saccomanni of Italy and Luis de Guindos of Spain will be called upon to justify their draft budgets at the meeting in Brussels, amid fears that complacency is setting in following the easing of bond-market pressure over the past 18 months. 
  • Most European Stocks Rise Amid German Confidence Report. Most European stocks advanced as German business confidence rose to the highest level since April 2012 and investors weighed comments by European Central Bank officials. Daily Mail & General Trust Plc (DMGT) gained 3.5 percent after Barclays Plc upgraded its recommendation on the newspaper publisher. Whitbread Plc climbed 3 percent after JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its rating of the company to overweight, similar to buy. Rhoen-Klinikum AG fell 3.3 percent after saying its second-biggest shareholder sued to block the sale of 43 clinics to Fresenius SE’s Helios unit. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.1 percent to 322.77 at the close, as almost three shares in the gauge increased for every two that fell.
  • Indian Banks’ Rising Bad Debt Is ‘Major Challenge,’ RBI Says. Rising bad loans at Indian lenders remain “a major challenge” amid a slowdown in Asia’s third-largest economy, the nation’s central bank said. Nonperforming loans rose to 986 billion rupees ($15.7 billion) at the end of March from 652 billion rupees a year earlier, the Reserve Bank of India said in a report yesterday on the country’s banking industry. The ratio of sour debt to total lending swelled to 3.6 percent from 3.1 percent. More debtors are finding it harder to pay off loans in a $1.8 trillion economy that is projected to grow in the year ending March 2014 at the weakest pace in more than a decade. Rising bad loans contributed to a 35 percent slump in State Bank of India (SBIN)’s net income for the quarter ended Sept. 30. “Macro stress tests indicate that if the current macroeconomic conditions persist, the credit quality of commercial banks could deteriorate further,” the Mumbai-based RBI said. “In the short term, the stress on banks’ asset quality remains a major challenge.”  
  • Pakistani Doctor Who Hunted Bin Laden Accused of Murder. A Pakistani doctor who helped the U.S. track down Osama bin Laden faces charges in a murder case after a woman accused him of causing the death of her son from an operation six years ago, a defense lawyer said. A court in the Khyber tribal region along the border with Afghanistan has registered a case based on the complaint by the woman against the doctor, Shakil Afridi, his lawyer Samiullah Afridi said by phone from the city of Peshawar. Doctor Afridi already is imprisoned after being sentenced to 33 years in jail in 2012 for providing funding and medical assistance to the militants of the now-defunct group Lashkar-e-Islami. He hasn’t been charged for covert ties to the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency that the Pakistani government denounced.
Wall Street Journal:
  • For Small Businesses, a Hidden Tax in Health Care? Smaller Companies Expected to Bear the Brunt of Little-Known Fee for Insurers. Starting next year, small businesses are among those poised to bear the brunt of a little known tax created by the Affordable Care Act that will impose an annual "fee" on health-insurance companies. The fee is expected to bring in a total of $8 billion next year and as much as $14.3 billion by 2018, according to the legislation, and will be spread out among insurers based on the percent of the market they cover.
Fox News:
CNBC: 
  • Cramer: 'There's bubbling everywhere'. (video) "In other words, there's bubbling everywhere, and it does worry me," Cramer said Friday on "Squawk on the Street." "We saw too much cloud. We saw too much organic food. And now I think we're getting too much of a whole set of areas."
Zero Hedge: 
ValueWalk:
CNN:
  • Obama approval rating sinks to new low in CNN poll. According to a CNN/ORC poll released Thursday, 41% of Americans approve of the job the President's doing in the White House, the lowest level for that crucial indicator in CNN polling. Fifty-six percent questioned say they disapprove of Obama's performance, an all-time high in CNN surveys.
Washington Post:
  • The Democrats’ naked power grab. “Congress is broken,” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Thursday before holding a party-line vote that disposed of rules that have guided and protected the chamber since 1789. If Congress wasn’t broken before, it certainly is now. What Reid (Nev.) and his fellow Democrats effectively did was take the chamber of Congress that still functioned at a modest level and turn it into a clone of the other chamber, which functions not at all. They turned the Senate into the House.
Reuters:
Telegraph:
  • Oil is both the lifeblood and the poison of the global economy. For all the talk of green power, it’s black gold that still drives the economic cycle - and the key to prices is Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest producer. According to research by the Centre for Global Energy Studies, the minimum price Saudi Arabia needs at the present level of production to sustain government expenditure is $86 per barrel. This compares with $64 just four years ago. Saudi has jacked up public spending substantially following the Arab Spring in an attempt to keep the locals quiescent. The survival of the sheikhs carries a very high price, and may in itself have come to dictate the level of the global oil price.
Handelsblatt:
  • Dijsselbloem Says France Must Do More to Reform. Eurogroup chairman Jeroen Dijsselbloem is in favor of deadlines for reforms, citing the Dutch finance minister.