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Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Today's Headlines

Posted by Gary .....at 2:52 PM
Bloomberg:
  • Ukraine Says Russia Fuels Terror as NATO Boosts Defense. Ukraine accused Russia of fueling “terrorism” in its eastern regions as NATO bolstered the defense of nearby European nations. Government troops pressed on with an anti-separatist offensive that freed an airfield near Kramatorsk yesterday, sending armored vehicles into the Donetsk region town where pro-Russian forces have clashed with police. NATO pledged to hold more military drills in eastern Europe and step up air and naval policing on its flanks. “Russia has a new commodity for export in addition to oil and gas -- terrorism,” Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk told a government meeting today in Kiev. “It’s become clear our Russian neighbors have decided to build a new Berlin Wall and want a return to the Cold War.”
  • Russia Sees Euro, Dollar Investments at Risk in Ukraine Backlash. Sanctions over Ukraine may threaten Russia’s investments in assets denominated in euros and U.S. dollars, Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev said, urging the use of the nation’s wealth funds for domestic projects. “We should now very attentively study the risks of investing into dollar and euro securities, given the geopolitical situation we have right now,” Ulyukayev told lawmakers in Moscow today when questioned on whether returns on foreign securities are too low. 
  • China First-Quarter Home Sales Post Decline on Tight Credit. China’s home sales fell and new property construction declined 25 percent in the first quarter, as credit remained tight, adding to signs of a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.
  • ASML(ASML) Revenue Forecast Trails Estimates on Slowing Demand. ASML Holding NV (ASML), Europe’s largest semiconductor-equipment supplier, predicted sales trailing analysts’ estimates on slowing demand from makers of chips that process functions in devices. The stock fell the most in more than two years. Revenue this quarter will be about 1.6 billion euros ($2.2 billion), ASML, which supplies chipmakers including Samsung Electronics Co. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (2330), said today. Analysts predict 1.7 billion euros, the average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg. 
  • European Stocks Rise on Earnings as Tesco, Syngenta Gain. European stocks rose the most in six weeks as companies from Tesco Plc to Syngenta (SYNN) AG reported financial results and as data showed American housing and industrial activity increased. Tesco advanced 2.6 percent after reporting trading profit that exceeded projections. Syngenta gained 2.3 percent after posting first-quarter revenue that met estimates and confirming its full-year sales target. GEA Group AG rallied 6.2 percent after agreeing to sell its heat-exchanges unit to Triton Advisers Ltd. ASML Holding NV tumbled the most since August 2011 after forecasting second-quarter sales below projections. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.3 percent to 330.82 at the close of trading.
  • BofA(BAC) Slides After Posting Loss Tied to Mortgage Accords. Bank of America Corp. fell the most since June in New York after posting a surprise loss driven by $6 billion of costs tied to mortgage disputes. The stock slid 3.2 percent to $15.87 at 10:25 a.m. as investors assessed the latest in a line of legal expenses that have totaled more than $50 billion at the lender since the financial crisis. The drop was the worst in the 24-company KBW Bank Index today.
  • Technology Slump Fuels Concern Startup Values May Follow. The decline in publicly traded technology stocks is fueling concern that Silicon Valley startups will follow with plummeting valuations. In the past month, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN:US), Facebook Inc., TripAdvisor Inc. and Netflix Inc. have plunged at least 13 percent each. The trading days of April 10 and 11 marked the Nasdaq Composite Index (CCMP)’s biggest two-day drop since 2011 and the index is off more than 7 percent since early March. If the stock declines continue, young entrepreneurs may have to accept more realistic valuations for their companies, said George Zachary, a partner at Charles River Ventures in Menlo Park, California. 
  • GM(GM) Vetoed Better Ignition Part to Save Money, Advocates Say. General Motors Co. chose not to use a more robust ignition-switch part in Chevrolet Cobalts and other small cars while they were being designed, a decision that may have led to deaths, safety advocates said. GM engineers in 2001 designed an alternative to the spring used in an ignition switch for the 2003 Saturn Ion before it was rejected, according to a letter sent to Chief Executive Officer Mary Barra today by Joan Claybrook, a former head of the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, and Clarence Ditlow, executive director of the Center for Auto Safety.
  • Stumbling S&P 500 Reaches Worst Stretch of Election Cycle. The political calendar is working against investors. Already hit by concerns valuations are too high just as the Federal Reserve withdraws stimulus, the equity market is entering what has historically been the worst period of the presidential cycle, the stretch before midterm elections. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has lost 2.5 percent and 0.3 percent on average in the second and third quarters of years like this one, according to data compiled by S&P Capital IQ and Bloomberg. Stocks in the benchmark gauge are about one percentage point away from matching such a loss after posting the biggest weekly slide since 2012.
Barron's:
  • Hedge Funds’ Worst Start Since 2008: Preqin. Hedge funds are coming off their worst first-quarter performance since the dark days of 2008. That’s the contention this morning from data supplier Preqin, whose all hedge-fund strategies benchmark gained a meager 1.23% for the period. It’s a shift from the last two years, when the early part of the year was strong. The same Preqin index gained 6.07% and 3.76% in the first quarter of 2012 and 2013, respectively.
Wall Street Journal:
  • Ukraine's Efforts to Regain Control of East Sputter. Ukraine Defense Ministry Says Armored Vehicles Were Seized by Militants.
  • Crisis in Ukraine. Streaming Coverage:
CNBC: 
  • Beige Book: Economy sees rebound from weather-related declines.
ZeroHedge:
  • Is The Fed Fabricating Loan Creation Data?
  • European Investors Rush To Safe-Havens - Italy/Spain Bond Yields At New Record Low. (graph)
  • Nigel Farage Blasts "There Is No Consent For A United States Of Europe". (video)
  • The "Housing Recovery" Is Complete: Major US Banks' Mortgage Originations Tumble To Record Low. (graph)
  • De Blasio Releases Tax Returns; Paid Effective 8.3% Rate.
  • Industrial Production Growth Slows As Manufacturing Misses, Capacity Utilization Highest Since 2008. (graph)
  • Housing Starts, Permits Miss As Rental Euphoria Fizzles. (graph)
  • Tanks Flying Russian Flag Enter East Ukraine City. (video)
Business Insider:
  • By Changing This One Word, Janet Yellen Now Sounds A Little More Hawkish.
  • Pro-Russia Separatists Take Armored Vehicles, Humiliating Kiev Forces.
  • Al Qaeda's Second-In-Command Vows To Strike America In New Video.
  • Housing Alone Will Return Inflation To The Fed's Target By Next Year.
  • Casual Pot Use Shown To Cause Brain Abnormalities In Youth.
Reuters: 
  • Fed's Fisher: U.S. firms still in 'defensive crouch'.
  • Fed's Fisher unworried by current low inflation.
Telegraph:
  • This is nuts, inflation does not justify zero interest rates. Emergency monetary measures should be dialled back to stop a repeat of past mistakes.

Xinhua:
  • Shanghai Won't Ease Property Control Policies. Shanghai will continue its "strict" property control policies, citing Liu Haisheng, head of the city's housing authority. The city will keep increasing housing land supply this year, the report said.
0 comments

Bear Radar

Posted by Gary .....at 1:16 PM
Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.48%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) HMOs -1.36% 2) Hospitals -1.31% 3) Semis -1.01%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • BAC, BIS, ASML, CNSI, ADTN, LLTC, CSX, STJ, AEM, NTRS, USB, CS, TXN, PFPT, MKSI, VIIX, BLUE, KLAC, LRCX, CSH, ADI, UNH, NGL, ESV and INFY
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) FSL 2) BX 3) GOOG 4) BHI 5) WYNN
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) BAC 2) WFM 3) UNH 4) TWTR 5) NTAP
Charts:
  • ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
  • Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume
0 comments

Bull Radar

Posted by Gary .....at 11:33 AM
Style Outperformer:
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.47%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Gaming +1.79% 2) Biotech +1.59% 3) Internet +1.28%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • PDS, IBKR, YHOO, SODA, IMGN, ARWR, SFUN, ATHL, NPSP, RGEN, LPI and AWAY
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) END 2) DNR 3) NOW 4) SWKS 5) WY
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) YHOO 2) INTC 3) YELP 4) CAR 5) SODA
Charts:
  • ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume 
  • Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume
0 comments

Wednesday Watch

Posted by Gary .....at 1:00 AM
Evening Headlines 
Bloomberg: 
  • Ukraine Conflict Escalation May Yield Stronger NATO Moves. Ukraine’s offensive against pro-Russian separatists may have escalated the conflict to the point where NATO could be compelled to mount a stronger show of force to deter any Russian moves beyond eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian troops retook an airfield and government buildings from armed pro-Russia separatists in the restive east yesterday. White House spokesman Jay Carney said that while the U.S. administration is considering military assistance to Ukraine, lethal aid isn’t an option. The two Ukrainian operations in the eastern Donetsk region have rattled eastern European members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and that will require the 28-member military alliance to deploy defensive forces to member countries such as Poland, said Steven Pifer, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine. 
  • Chinese Police Confront Trust Investors Demanding Repayment. Chinese investors demanding their money back from a troubled 973 million-yuan ($156 million) high-yield product in Shanxi province were confronted by police in front of a China Construction Bank Corp. (939) branch. People wearing white masks with the words “despicable bank” and “pay back our money” were among at least 30 investors facing special-forces officers in dark uniforms in Taiyuan city, about 521 kilometers (324 miles) southwest of Beijing. The nation’s second-largest bank is the custodian of the Songhuajiang River No. 77 trust, which missed six payments as of last month, according to the Economic Observer. “We have been cheated by CCB,” said Wang Fengying, 60, a Shanxi resident who said her husband had invested 1 million yuan in the product. “Our parents are very old. We need the money for their medical bills and to buy a home for my child. We are so miserable and they won’t even let us demand our money back.”
  • Australian Buyers' Dreams Deferred as Housing Prices Rise. Mortgage rates at their lowest in four-and-a-half years are helping drive household debt to record levels in Australia. The average home-loan size jumped to an all-time high of A$322,900 in January, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics data. As cheap money and a shortage of housing in Australia’s biggest cities spurs home values to new heights, first-time buyers face a choice of taking on more debt or dropping out of the market. Australia’s housing debt equaled a record 134.6 percent of disposable income at the end of 2013, up from 130.9 percent a year earlier, according to the central bank. The ratio was 119.9 percent in the U.K., 104.5 percent in Canada, and 78.5 percent in the U.S. at the end of 2012, the most recent data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development showed. “Spiraling house prices will probably lead to trouble later, either because they in turn fall, or households will extend themselves too far,” Martin North, principal at data firm Digital Finance Analytics, wrote on the firm’s website this month.
  • Asian Stocks Climb on U.S. Rally; Kiwi Drops Before Data. Asian stocks climbed, with Japan’s Topix index heading for its biggest gain in seven weeks, after U.S. equities rallied on earnings. The currencies of Australia, New Zealand and Malaysia weakened before economic-growth data from China, the countries’ biggest trading partner. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.4 percent as of 9:56 a.m. 
  • Scottish Independence Gains Momentum as Poll Shows Gap Narrowing. A survey by TNS published today found the gap narrowed to 12 percentage points from 14 points a month earlier and 19 points in September when the company started monthly polling. The results showed 41 percent of voters in Scotland plan to reject independence, a drop of one point, with 29 percent in favor, an increase of one point. Thirty percent of voters said they were undecided, unchanged from a month before.
  • Buyout Loans Eclipse '07 Record in Deal Frenzy: Credit Markets. The U.S. junk-loan market has never fueled so much dealmaking. A total of $85 billion of loans have been raises this year to finance acquisitions, topping 2007's record pace, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Issuance is set to accelerate as Avago Technologies Ltd. locks in the year's second-biggest loan for its takeover of chipmaker LSI Corp as soon as today and Men's Wearhouse Inc. borrows $1.1 billion to fund its deal for Jos. A. Bank Clothiers Inc. Leveraged loans are booming as the value of takeovers in the U.S. reaches levels last seen in 2008. While regulators have warned excesses may be emerging in riskier parts of the market as the Federal Reserve's zero-interest rate policy extends into a sixth year, the loan surge underscores renewed confidence in the ability of the least-creditworthy companies to expand as the world's largest economy strengthens. First-lien borrowings at speculative-grade companies equaled 4.2 times their earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in the first quarter, the highest since the 4.6 ratio in the last three months of 2007, according to S&P Capital IQ Leveraged Commentary & Data.
Wall Street Journal:  
  • Ukraine Uses Military Force for First Time. Ukraine Sends Armored Units Into Restive East; U.S. Praises 'Measured Response'. Ukraine's military fired its first shots Tuesday in the fight to regain control of the restive east from pro-Russian separatists, as soldiers repelled an armed mob from a military air base. Soldiers riding aboard armored personnel carriers took up positions around the region, setting up checkpoints along key roads, as transport helicopters ferried in dozens of paratroopers and elite security-service officers. 
  • Crisis in Ukraine. Streaming Coverage:
  • Housing Market Slow to Hit Its Spring Stride. Expected Growth Remains Sluggish as Supply Issues Persist. A flurry of recent housing data suggests that the market's spring selling season is getting off to a slow start, a worrisome sign after a winter of expectations that warmer weather would rekindle growth. Reports from local real-estate agent groups in some of the markets that were the first to rebound, including Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Diego, show year-over-year declines in March home sales.
  • Goldman(GS) Moves to Energize Stock Trading. 
  • Stockbroker Records to Receive More Scrutiny. Regulators Expected to Propose Plan for Background Checks, Measures to Identify Red Flags. 
  • Coalition of the Disappointed. Obama fires up racial and gender resentments to get out the vote. You can tell it's an election year because so many noncrises are suddenly urgent priorities. Real median household income is still lower than it was in 2007, the smallest share of Americans is working since 1978, and the Russians are marching west, but Democrats are training fire on race, gender and the grievances of identity politics.
Fox News:
  • Administration reportedly holding back on non-lethal aid to Ukraine. The Obama administration reportedly is withholding even non-lethal military aid to Ukraine for fear it could further inflame tensions -- despite already intensifying clashes between the country's government and pro-Russia militiamen. A critical report detailing the requests was sent to Congress and the White House by retired Gen. Wesley Clark and former Defense Department official Phillip Karber, according to The Washington Free Beacon.
CNBC: 
  • Intel(INTC) earnings: 38 cents per share on sales of $12.8 billion. Intel posted quarterly earnings Tuesday that edged past expectations, while revenue was slightly below estimates. Shares rose in extended-hours trading.
Zero Hedge: 
  • Putin Tells Merkel "Ukraine On The Verge Of A Civil War" As Germany Agrees To Re-Sell Russian Gas To Ukraine.
  • Soaring Food Inflation Full Frontal: Beef, Pork And Shrimp Prices Soar To Record Highs. (graph)
  • Over 40% Of The S&P 500 Is In Correction Mode. (graph)
  • Prince Bandar bin Sultan, Head Of Saudi Intelligence, Has Been Sacked.
  • Ukraine Reality Ignored As Stocks Close At Highs On Hopes of More Japan Easing.
  • Equity Rallies Are Corrective, Downside Risks Remain, BofAML Says. (graph)
  • Tuesday Humor: Biggest Fed Dove Concerned About "Real Erosion Of People's Purchasing Power".
  • Baffle With Fake BS: Chinese Q1 GDP Beats And Misses At The Same Time. (graph)
Business Insider:
  • Yahoo(YHOO) Soars On Earnings Even Though Its Underlying Business Is Still Stagnant.
  • PUTIN: Ukraine Is 'On The Verge Of Civil War'.
c/net: 
  • Tax dodgers beware: Keep social media to a minimum. The IRS is said to be data mining Facebook(FB), Instagram, Twitter, and other social media for info that could come handy in audits.
Reuters:
  • BHP Billiton(BHP) lifts annual iron ore production guidance. BHP Billiton is lifting its iron ore production this year to capture more of the Chinese market for the steelmaking ingredient, amid strong competition from rivals in Australia and Brazil.
Obama takes on coal with first-ever carbon limits
Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/20130919_ap_0f857b20e0c144a5a1e1b9dddc9f9d72.html#YRThyDOhArykUeYy.99
Evening Recommendations
  • None of note
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 123.50 -.5 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 87.5 -.75 basis point.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.80%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.32%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures  +.43%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (PNC)/1.65
  • (USB)/.73
  • (ABT)/.36
  • (BAC)/.27
  • (STJ)/.95
  • (GWW)/2.96
  • (COF)/1.70
  • (IBM)/2.54
  • (KMP)/.73
  • (AXP)/1.30
  • (SNDK)/1.27
  • (URI)/.71
  • (KSU)/.99
  • (STLD)/.16
  • (GOOG)/6.36
  • (HTLD)/.20
  • (BMI)/.41
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Housing Starts for March are estimated to rise to 970K versus 907K in February.
  • Building Permits for March are estimated to fall to 1010K versus 1018K in February.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production for March is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.6% gain in February.
  • Capacity Utilization for March is estimated to fall to 78.7% versus 78.8% in February
  • Manufacturing Production for March is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.8% gain in February. 
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory build of +1,235,000 barrels versus a +4,030,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -1,560,000 barrels versus a -5,188,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by 30,000 barrels versus a 239,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise +.01% versus a -.2% decline the prior week.
2:00 pm EST
  • U.S. Fed's Beige Book release.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Yellen speaking, Fed's Stein speaking, Fed's Lockhart speaking, Fed's Fisher speaking, German inflation data, Bank of Canada decision, Eurozone CPI, UK unemployment rate, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, (GPS) investor meeting, (RHT) analyst day and the BofA Auto Conference could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.
1 comments

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Yen Weakness, Oil Service/REIT Sector Strength

Posted by Gary .....at 3:26 PM
Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.94 -1.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.73 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.54 +1.55%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.06 -1.30%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 -2.11%
  • Total Put/Call .97 +31.08% 
  • NYSE Arms .99 +64.01% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.24 +1.25%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 83.33 +2.90%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 36.10 -.84%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 88.08 -.11%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 285.09 +1.57%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 359.51 -.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 226.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $117.10/Metric Tonne +.09%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.70 +4.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.10 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +79 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
0 comments

Today's Headlines

Posted by Gary .....at 2:58 PM
Bloomberg: 
  • Ukraine Deploys Military as Russia Evokes Specter of Civil War. Ukraine unleashed an offensive to dislodge militants from towns in its eastern Donetsk region as the authorities in Kiev said elements of Russian special forces were identified among the anti-government forces. Four militants were killed and two wounded when Ukrainian troops stormed an airport in Kramatorsk, taking it under control, Russia’s state-run RIA Novosti news service reported. Ukrainian units backed by armored personnel carriers blocked all approaches to the town of Slovyansk, RIA said, citing a pro-Russian activist, Sergey Tsyplakov. Part of Russia’s 45th Airborne Regiment was spotted in both of the towns, Ukrainian First Deputy Prime Minister Vitali Yarema said on Channel 5.
  • U.S. Mulls Ukraine With EU as Putin Warns on Intervention. The U.S. and European Union deliberated deepening sanctions against Russia for stoking unrest in eastern Ukraine, while President Vladimir Putin said he’s being called on to intervene in the former Soviet republic. The Kiev-based government started an “anti-terrorist” operation in the eastern Donetsk region after fighting between its forces and pro-Russian separatists who seized police and security buildings there turned deadly this week.
  • Spain Anxiety on Euro Leaves Rajoy With Two-Front Battle. Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy is counting on Mario Draghi’s help in a battle on two fronts against the strength of the euro. With the currency reaching a level high enough to provoke the European Central Bank president to threaten action, data today showed slowing euro-area export growth and figures tomorrow will confirm the damage caused to inflation. For Spain, the effect has already been double-edged, depressing consumer prices enough to cause annual declines in an economy beset with unemployment, while also threatening its export-based recovery. 
  • German Investor Confidence Falls for Fourth Month in April. German investor confidence fell for a fourth month in April, highlighting the risks to the recovery in Europe’s largest economy. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic developments six months in advance, slid to 43.2 from 46.6 in March. Economists forecast a decline to 45, according to the median of 37 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. The gauge reached a seven-year high of 62 in December.
  • Japan’s Population Shrinks for Third Year as Ranks of Aged Grow. Japan’s population slid for a third year with the proportion of people over the age of 65 rising to a record, underscoring the challenge the world’s most-indebted economy faces in financing its aging society.  The population declined by 0.17 percent to 127.3 million as of Oct. 1, as the country maintains one of the world’s lowest birth rate. People age 65 or older made up one fourth of the total, the highest-ever percentage, as postwar baby boomers head into retirement, the Internal Affairs Ministry said on its website yesterday. 
  • India’s Consumer Inflation Quickens, Adding Rate Pressure. India’s consumer-price inflation quickened in March for the first time in four months, keeping pressure on the central bank to keep interest rates elevated. The consumer-price index rose 8.31 percent from a year earlier, compared with a revised 8.03 percent in February, the Central Statistics Office said in New Delhi today. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 39 analysts was for an 8.25 percent increase. 
  • Wynn Resorts(WYNN) Leads Casinos Lower on Drop in China Credit. Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) fell as much as 7.5 percent, the most in 17 months, after an analyst said less borrowing in China may lead to a drop in betting by high rollers in Macau, the casino company’s biggest market. Wynn, based in Las Vegas, slid 5.6 percent to $198.67 at 1:40 p.m. in New York after tumbling as low as $194.64 to mark the biggest intraday decline since November 2012. Other U.S. casino companies with operations in Macau also dropped.
  • Worst Attack in Nigeria Capital Kills 75 in Rush Hour. The worst-ever bomb attack on Nigeria’s capital which killed at least 75 people has sparked concern Islamists are shifting their targets from the northeast to the center and south of Africa’s biggest oil producer. President Goodluck Jonathan, who visited the scene, blamed the Islamist militant group Boko Haram for the car bomb.
  • Lawmakers Back High-Frequency Trade Curbs in EU Markets Law.
  • Biggest Banks Face Tougher Basel Rule on Risk Concentration. Banks identified as systemically important to the global economy face tighter rules on how much business they can do with each other as part of a push to limit the chance a single failure would drag down multiple lenders.
  • Emerging-Market Stocks Fall Most in Month Amid Chinese Slowdown. Emerging-market stocks dropped the most in a month after data showed a decline in Chinese lending and the weakest money-supply expansion on record, adding to concern about a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1.2 percent to 1,000.13 at 10:44 a.m. in New York. The Shanghai Composite Index sank 1.4 percent while the one-year interest-rate swap slipped to a month low. Vale SA (VALE:US), which ships half of its ore and pellets to China, drove a slump in Brazil’s Ibovespa. The Micex Index (INDEXCF) slid to the most in five weeks and a debt sale was canceled as talks between U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Vladimir Putin failed to end a deadlock over Ukraine. China’s broadest measure of new credit plunged 19 percent in March from a year earlier and growth in M2 money supply slowed to 12.1 percent from 13.3 percent, the central bank reported today.
  • European Stocks Fall Amid Ukraine Violence, German Data. European stocks declined, erasing their gains for the year, after a report that Russian troops entered towns in eastern Ukraine, and as German confidence data missed economists’ forecasts. SABMiller Plc lost 2.3 percent after saying it is considering options for the sale of its $1.04 billion stake in Tsogo Sun Holdings Ltd. Rio Tinto (RIO) Group fell 3.1 percent after reporting first-quarter iron-ore output that missed forecasts. L’Oreal SA gained 1.1 percent after posting higher first-quarter European revenue. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 1 percent to 326.58 at the close of trading.
  • Gold Futures Drop Most This Year on Stimulus Concerns. Gold headed for the biggest drop this year on concern that a pickup in U.S. consumer prices will give the Federal Reserve leeway to further scale back stimulus. Palladium fell for the first time in six sessions.
Wall Street Journal:
  • Crisis in Ukraine. Streaming Coverage.
  • Russian forces spotted on ground in eastern Ukraine.
  • Boston Pays Tribute a Year After the Marathon Bombing. Citywide Moment of Silence at 2:49 p.m. Is One of Many Ways City Marks the Anniversary.
  • Yellen Says More Capital Would Help Biggest, Most-Complex Banks. U.S. Central Bank Considering Additional Measures Against Risks in Short-Term Credit Markets. 
  • Housing Trouble Grows in China. Overbuilding by Real-Estate Developers Leaves Smaller Cities With Glut of Apartments.
MarketWatch:
  • Hedge funds helped fuel financial crisis: SF Fed. Research argues link with housing selloff. Hedge funds helped fuel the global financial crisis just like banks and insurance firms, according to new research published by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco that goes against conventional wisdom on the meltdown of 2007-2009.
CNBC: 
  • Prepare for deeper selloff if this happens: Cashin. (video)
  • Dozens of top Nasdaq names in bear market territory.
  • Outlook for pensions is pretty awful: Bridgewater. (video)
  • Why Japanese bonds look 'terrible': Kyle Bass. (video) Hayman Capital's Kyle Bass believes Wall Street's recent declines in the biotech and social media sector, which spread to global stock markets last week, shows cracks in the Japanese economy.
ZeroHedge: 
  • "Ukraine In Very Dangerous Situation", No Lethal Assistance Coming Says White House.
  • Japan To Downgrade Economic Assessment In April, So More BOJ QE Right? (Spoiler Alert: No).
  • "Growth" Stocks Tumble To 7-Month Lows To "Value" As Bond Yields Collapse. (graph)
  • Two Very Different Views On Soaring Food Inflation. (graph)
  • European Stocks Tumble As Investors Rush Into "Safe Haven" Italian Bonds!?
  • Russell 2000 Breaks Below Key Technical Level. (graph)
  • Homebuilder Confidence Misses For 4th Month In A Row. (graph)
BaseMetals.com:
  • Base metals prices drift lower, risk-off weighs. Base metals other than the tin price were lower in Tuesday's LME premarket on growing risk aversion, while forecast-missing data from China also dampened optimism.
Reuters:
  • Suspected Islamist rebels abduct over 100 Nigerian schoolgirls: teacher. Suspected Islamist insurgents have abducted more than 100 female students in a night raid on a government secondary school in Nigeria's northeast Borno state, a teacher said on Tuesday. He said gunmen, believed to be members of the Boko Haram Islamist group which has attacked schools in the northeast before as part of their anti-government rebellion, carried off the students from the school in Chibok late on Monday. "Over 100 female students in our government secondary school at Chibok have been abducted," said Audu Musa, who teaches in another public school in the area, around 140 km (90 miles) south of the Borno state capital Maiduguri. Musa said he saw eight bodies in the area on Tuesday morning, but did not give the identity of the victims. "Things are very bad here and everybody is sad," he said.
  • Zebra Tech to buy Motorola Solutions' enterprise business. Barcode printer maker Zebra Technologies Corp said it would buy Motorola Solutions Inc's enterprise business, which makes rugged mobile computers, tablets and barcode scanners, for $3.45 billion in its biggest deal ever.
Telegraph:
  • France is the new cauldron of Eurosceptic revolution. Britain is marginal to the great debate on Europe. France is the linchpin, fast becoming a cauldron of Eurosceptic/Poujadist views on the Right, anti-EMU reflationary Keynesian views on the Left, mixed with soul-searching over the wisdom of monetary union across the French establishment. Marine Le Pen’s Front National leads the latest IFOP poll for the European elections next month at 24pc. Her platform calls for immediate steps to ditch the euro and restore the franc (“franc des Anglais” in origin, rid of the English oppressors), and to hold a referendum on withdrawal from the EU.
LondonEveningStandard:
  • London living through biggest house price bubble ever. 'Unreal' property market in capital soars by 13.8% in a year.
Die Zeit:
  • Russia Must Back Off Ukraine, Germany's Steinmeier Says. Russia must distance itself from involvement with pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine., German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier says in an interview.
RIA Novosti:
  • Russia Says UN Peacekeepers in East Ukraine Unacceptable. Use of fore in eastern Ukraine is unacceptable, would halt Geneva talks, citing comments by Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to reporters in Beijing. Russia calls on Ukraine to stop quashing protests.
  • Russia Deeply Concerned by Deaths in Ukraine Operation. Events in Ukraine developing along worst possible lines, citing Konstantin Dolgov, Russian Foreign Ministry's special representative for democracy and human rights. Ukrainian govt appears to have chosen to use fore to put down protests in southeastern Ukraine. Ukraine's actions risk civil war, destabilization of situation across country.
  • Russia Calls on U.S. to Restrain Ukraine Crackdown. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov says military crackdown on pro-Russian militants in eastern Ukraine risks "total collapse of the state," citing an interview.
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