Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices

• S&P 500 1,916.50 +4.78%

• DJIA 16,391.90 +4.67%

• NASDAQ 4,504.43 +5.57%

• Russell 2000 1,010.0 +5.87%

• S&P 500 High Beta 24.89 +7.56%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 85.92 +7.67% 

• Wilshire 5000 19,614.05 +5.10%

• Russell 1000 Growth 931.27 +4.96%

• Russell 1000 Value 902.11 +4.92%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 520.91 +2.97%

• Solactive US Cyclical 116.12 +3.50%

• Morgan Stanley Technology 954.33 +7.64%

• Transports 7,285.95%

• Utilities 618.61 +.75%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 76.60 +2.5%

• MSCI Emerging Markets 30.33 +3.87%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,080.31 +1.25%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,016.28 -.13%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 223,651 +2.70%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -105 +372

• Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 39.02 +64.78%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 187,877 -4.57%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,854,379 -.07%

• Total Put/Call 1.0 +11.11%

• OEX Put/Call .38 -84.55%

• ISE Sentiment 129.0 +13.27%

• NYSE Arms 1.70 +89.58%

• Volatility(VIX) 21.05 -25.48%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.75 -2.63%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 11.68 -1.77%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 12.53 -6.28%

• Smart Money Flow Index 17,802.02 +2.23%

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.763 Trillion +.27%

• ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$3.625 Billion

• AAII % Bulls 27.6 +43.2%

• AAII % Bears 37.8 -22.4%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 159.63 +2.98%

• Crude Oil 29.62 +8.54%

• Reformulated Gasoline 95.94 -.30%

• Natural Gas 1.81 -9.25%

• Heating Oil 102.74 +2.09%

• Gold 1,232.60 -1.11%

• Bloomberg Base Metals Index 138.37 +2.25%

• Copper 207.90 +3.28%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 167.33 USD/Ton unch.

• China Iron Ore Spot 48.52 USD/Ton +11.2%

• Lumber 261.20 +6.44%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,003.18 -.10%

Economy

• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -3.1% -90.0 basis points

• Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .2504 -3.91%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 123.19 -.3%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -37.0 +10.1 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -32.30 -7.2 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.0 -3.2 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 94.0% chance of no change, 6.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 3/16

• US Dollar Index 96.64 +.69%
• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,442.95 +.59%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.91 -1.71%

• Yield Curve 101.0 -3.0 basis points

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.75% +2.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.445 Trillion -.05%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.14 -5.71%

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 350.0 -4.51%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 32.66 -4.1%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 78.78 -4.84%
  

• Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 191.03 -2.34%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 83.63 -3.5%

• Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 1,203.90 -6.07%

• Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 340.38 -4.08%

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 123.28 +.46%

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.27% unch.

• TED Spread 33.0 -.75 basis point

• 2-Year Swap Spread 6.0 -1.75 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 -.75 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 119.11 -2.41%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 2,277.0 -4.16%

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 121.29 -5.75%
  

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 377.02 -5.27%
  

• CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread  to Swaps 170.0 unch.

• M1 Money Supply $3.042 Trillion -.32%

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,084.20 +.70%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 273,250 -9,750

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.7% +10.0 basis points

• Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.65% unch.

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 544.90 +8.2%

• Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 44.3 -.3 point

• Weekly Retail Sales +.70% +10.0 basis points

• Nationwide Gas $1.72/gallon +.02/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 313.0 +7.6%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 762.51 -1.3%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 unch.

• Rail Freight Carloads 260,814 -.77%

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Growth +6.4%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value +4.8%

Leading Sectors

• Gaming +14.0%

• Airlines +12.0%

• Computer Hardware +10.5%

• Computer Services +9.5%

• Disk Drives +9.1%

Lagging Sectors

• Drugs +2.9% 

• Papers +2.5%

• Utilities +.7%

• Tobacco +.7%

• Hospitals -2.6%

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (17)

• ADT, TRGP, FOSL, IM, RAX, AERI, PBPB, UIHC, VSAT, RUSHA, LOGM, ASGN, MB, NILE, MYL, CLW and FNB

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (10)

• LPNT, DVN, NUS, SWM, JACK, CYH, LPLA, SCSS, IVC and BCC

Weekly Charts

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Earnings Outlook Worries, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Energy/Healthcare Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:

• Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  

• Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  

• Volume: Slightly Below Average

• Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
  

Equity Investor Angst:

• Volatility(VIX) 20.92 -3.33%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.84 -.47%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.57 +.40%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.35 -.38%

• ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +3.60%

• Total Put/Call .98 -8.41%

• NYSE Arms 1.61 +4.35% 

Credit Investor Angst:

• North American Investment Grade CDS Index 118.82 +1.71%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 2,301.0 +1.44%

• European Financial Sector CDS Index 121.25 +3.63%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.66 +.76%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 78.67 +.47%

• Emerging Market CDS Index 376.27 -1.30%
  

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.28 +.03%

• 2-Year Swap Spread 6.0 -1.25 basis points
  

• TED Spread 33.0 -1.25 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 -.75 basis point
  

Economic Gauges:

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.47 -.09%
• 3-Month T-Bill Yield .29% -1.0 basis point

• Yield Curve 101.0 -4.0 basis points
  

• China Import Iron Ore Spot $48.52/Metric Tonne +2.93%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -37.0 +7.8 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -32.30 -.7 point

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.0 +.4 point

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.26% unch.
• 9.8% chance of Fed rate hike at April 27 meeting, 22.4% chance at June 15 meeting

Overseas Futures:

• Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -203 open in Japan 
• China A50 Futures: Indicating +1 open in China

• DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany

Portfolio: 

• Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech sector longs

• Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges

• Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

• Large-Cap Value -.4%

Sector Underperformers:

• 1) Coal -6.7% 2) Hospitals -1.9% 3) Gaming -1.6%

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

• TRN, AFOP, JWN, EQT, ARII, DVN, CST, TRGP, TDS, USM, CVRR, VFC, IMH, TYL, SWM, FLR, EGN, ATHM, CXO, SAM, ULTA, FLXN, DE, ATR, THRM, PKG, SPWR, WES and TRGP

Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:

• 1) FTR 2) HPQ 3) JWN 4) GPS 5) DE

Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:

• 1) DUK 2) BBY 3) DE 4) BHI 5) LVS

Charts:

• ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer: 

• Small-Cap Growth +.5%

Sector Outperformers:

• 1) Semis +.6% 2) Internet +.6% 3) Biotech +.5% 

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume: 

• ANET, AHS, WTW, AMAT, WDAY, PRTA, BRC, CCRN, AMBC, B, COMM, TEX, WAGE,  EQIX, YELP and BJRI

Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity: 

• 1) CA 2) TJX 3) MDLZ 4) UAL 5) GRPN

Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions: 

• 1) EQIX 2) AMAT 3) YELP 4) CHEF 5) CHH

Charts:

• ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

• Volume Running +4.9% Above 100-Day Average
• 2 Sectors Rising, 8 Sectors Declining
• 43.5% of Issues Advancing, 53.7% Declining
• 27 New 52-Week Highs, 36 New Lows
• 22.9% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
• Average 14-Day RSI 42.8%
• Vix 20.9 -3.4%
• Total Put/Call .98 -8.4%
• TRIN/Arms 1.7 +9.5%