Monday, August 15, 2016

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Value +1.0%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Steel +2.5% 2) Oil Service +2.4% 3) Disk Drives +2.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • PPS, ACIA, MOMO, REN, PRAH, TWTR, VIPS, TIME, YRD, GPRO, TWLO, AVXS, SCSS, AERI, SSP, ALRM and JCP
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) LMT 2) TJX 3) TWLO 4) SWHC 5) CORN
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) PPS 2) CHK 3) TIME 4) SORL 5) TASR
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Monday Watch

Today's Headlines
Bloomberg: 
Wall Street Journal:
Fox News:
  • Milwaukee officials plead for calm after police shooting sparks violence. (video) Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker activated the National Guard on Sunday afternoon, hours after a gas station was set on fire and other businesses were torched by demonstrators protesting a controversial shooting by police. Walker said he took the step after receiving a request from Milwaukee County Sheriff David Clarke and talking with Mayor Tom Barrett and the Guard's leader. The Guard will be in position to help "upon request," according to Walker's announcement. Walker also praised citizens who showed up Sunday to clean up the north-side neighborhood where the violence took place. He called for "continued peace and prayer." The clashes and rioting erupted after a Milwaukee police officer shot and killed an armed suspect Saturday night during a foot chase on the city’s north side.
  • Pence urges federal probe into whether Clinton granted political favors to foundation donors. (video) Republican vice-presidential nominee Gov. Mike Pence on Sunday suggested a federal investigation into whether Hillary Clinton, during her tenure as secretary of state, provided political favors to foreign donors to her family’s Clinton Foundation, saying “the American people have a right to know.” The Indiana governor argued that emails made public last week suggested such a connection between State Department officials and major foreign donors to the foundation but acknowledged that Clinton’s involvement remains unclear.
  • Congress could get record of FBI's Clinton interview over emails by this week. (videoSome of the FBI files on the agency’s investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of a private server system while secretary of state could be given to a House oversight committee as early as this week, a congressional source confirmed with Fox News on Sunday.
Zero Hedge: 
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to unch. on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 115.0 +.25 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 43.75 +.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.37 -.05%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.05%.

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (SYY)/.61 
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Empire Manufacturing for August is estimated to rise to 2.0 versus .55 in July.
10:00 am EST
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for August is estimated to rise to 60 versus 59 in July.
4:00 pm EST
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows for June.   
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia minutes could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Weekly Outlook

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week mixed as yen strength, global growth worries and profit-taking offset investor performance angst, short covering and central bank hopes. My intermediate-term trading indicators are giving neutral signals and the Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
  • S&P 500 Resists Bearish Tug to Post Sixth Advance in Seven Weeks. The steady march higher for U.S. stocks may have slowed to a crawl, but the S&P 500 Index’s sixth advance in seven weeks still managed to defy a chorus of bears warning valuations have become too rich. The benchmark for American equity edged higher by 1.2 points to 2,184.05, two points shy of a record. Energy shares paced gains as crude notched its best week since April, while results from the largest department stores bolstered confidence in the retailing industry. Mixed economic data lowered the odds of an interest-rate hike this year, sending bank shares lower. The rally in U.S. stocks amid a fifth consecutive quarter of declining earnings has inflated valuations to levels last seen in the dot-com era, a warning for some. For bulls, fresh evidence of the American economy’s steady expansion at a pace that isn’t forcing the Federal Reserve to tighten can keep pushing equity prices higher.
  • World Powers Call for Calm as Putin Bolsters Crimea Defense. World powers urged Russia and Ukraine to refrain from ratcheting up a confrontation over Crimea as President Vladimir Putin bolstered the disputed peninsula’s military with some of his army’s most advanced air-defense missile systems. The European Union said there was no independent confirmation of claims that Ukrainian agents had killed two Russian servicemen in Crimea. Putin pledged a “very serious” response as he blamed Kiev for pursuing “terror” activities. The 28-member bloc called on both sides to refrain from intensifying what has led to the worst diplomatic standoff between the two countries since a 2015 truce eased hostilities in Ukraine’s separatist conflict. Germany said that Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier will meet his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, next week in Russia.
  • High-Risk ‘Shadow’ Credit in China Put at $2.9 Trillion by IMF. International Monetary Fund staff said that 19 trillion yuan ($2.9 trillion) of Chinese “shadow” credit products are high-risk compared with corporate loans and highlighted the danger that defaults could lead to liquidity shocks. The investment products are structured by the likes of trust and securities companies and based on equities or on debt -- typically loans -- that isn’t traded, staff members John Caparusso and Kai Yan said in a report released Friday. The commentary highlighted the potential for risks bigger to the nation’s financial stability than from companies’ loan defaults. While loan losses can be realized gradually, defaults on the shadow products could trigger risk aversion that’s harder to manage, the report said.
  • Fear of Military Rule Grows in Benghazi as Elected Mayor Ousted. The army in eastern Libyan replaced the mayor of the North African country’s second-biggest city with a senior intelligence chief, a move criticized by activists as illegal and a prelude to military rule in the region. Colonel Ahmed Laraibi was named mayor of Benghazi on Thursday, the Albayda-based news agency LANA reported. The appointment was made without consulting local legislators, while Benghazi’s municipal council was also suspended, LANA said.
  • A Number of Companies Are Warning About High Consumer Uncertainty. A lot of uncertainty. Consumer balance sheets have strengthened since the financial crisis, but their confidence is still lagging far, far behind. There are a number of things for U.S. consumers to worry about, even if personal finances are fairly strong. An upcoming election in the U.S. and unrest overseas has started to show up in economic data measuring consumer sentiment, which hasn't seen much of an uptick over the past two years despite the stock market's march higher.
Wall Street Journal:
Barron's:
  • Had bullish commentary on (MON), (TJX), (SSP), (BKD), (GE) and (DE).
  • Had bearish commentary on (IBM).
Zero Hedge:

Friday, August 12, 2016

Market Week in Review

  • S&P 500 2,182.08 -.03%*
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The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.

*5-Day Change