Friday, January 13, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*


Indices
  • S&P 500 2,274.56 -.21%
  • DJIA 19,873.34 -.48%
  • NASDAQ 5,572.91 +.89%
  • Russell 2000 1,370.53 +.21%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 37.44 -.60%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 122.27 +.20%
  • Wilshire 5000 23,658.30 -.08%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,081.82 +.26%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,109.82 -.55%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 528.78 -1.19%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.2955 +1.88%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 1,269.02 +.54%
  • Transports 9,182.51 +.80%
  • Utilities 655.45 -.98%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 94.69 -.77%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 36.58 +1.88%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,168.11 +.43%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 992.18 +.88%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 276,878 +.10%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 286 -87
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 28.21 -45.24%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 440,074 -1.09%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,089,324 +2.53%
  • Total Put/Call .91 -5.21%
  • OEX Put/Call .40 -66.67%
  • ISE Sentiment 110.0 +63.08%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 +42.34%
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.46 +1.67%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.76 -4.84%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.66 +.85%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.24 +1.44%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,341.36 +.68%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.691 Trillion -.83%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$10.919 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 43.6 -5.5%
  • AAII % Bears 27.0 +6.9%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 195.54 +.51%
  • Crude Oil 52.40 -2.46%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 160.89 -.95%
  • Natural Gas 3.42 +4.78%
  • Heating Oil 165.11 -2.79%
  • Gold 1,198.10 +2.14%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 175.18 +4.17%
  • Copper 268.95 +5.68%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 248.33 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 80.54 USD/Ton +5.63%
  • Lumber 332.70 +1.56%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,180.05 +2.18%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.8% -10.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +12.2% +20.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.1014 +3.24%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 131.91 +.3%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.0 +11.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 74.8 +3.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 37.60 +11.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 87.6% chance of no change 12.4% chance of 25 basis point hike on 2/1
  • US Dollar Index 101.29 -.92%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,522.73 +.51%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.34 -1.04%
  • Yield Curve 120.0 unch.
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.40% -2.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.414 Trillion -.01%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.18 +2.05%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 357.0 -.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 20.15 -3.05%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 33.69 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.55 +8.83%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 69.25 +.57%
  • Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 703.42 unch.
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 180.81 +6.57%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.84 -.05%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.0% +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.0 +1.25 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.25 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -41.25 +5.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 65.62 +1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 427.0 +1.32%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 86.90 -.20%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 235.74 +2.38%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 133.50 -.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.318 Trillion -.26%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 959.30 +1.0%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 256,500 -250
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.5% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.12% -8.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 379.20 +5.77%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 45.1 -.4 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +.9% -60.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.35/gallon -.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 892.0 -7.37%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 840.35 +4.23%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 52.50 -8.7%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 220,271 +4.88%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Worst Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Value -.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Hospitals +5.8%
  • Medical Equipment +2.9%
  • Social Media +2.38%
  • Airlines +2.3%
  • Road & Rail +1.6%
Lagging Sectors
  • Drugs -1.0% 
  • Gaming -1.0%
  • Utilities -1.3%
  • REITs -1.8%
  • Oil Service -2.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (21)
  • WRMT, AXIM, ARIA, AAOI, WOOF, EXAS, SRPT, PCBK, ILMN, SCAI, GBX, MYCC, STML, UCTT, STRP, AXGN, IT, DDD, ATW, CUDA and WGL
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (16)
  • COLB, ABAX, VECO, ICUI, AZZ, CLNS, WMB, AYI, ESPR, CMC, ATRC, WDFC, NSTG, EGRX, VSTO and AMAG
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Earnings Optimism, Economic Data, Short-Covering, Hospital/Construction Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.35 -1.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.17 +.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.24 -.88%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.57 +1.65%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 92.0 +46.03%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -15.53%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 -.30%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.62 -1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 427.0 +.45%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.90 -3.14%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.15 +3.41%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.49 -1.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 235.74 -.76%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.83 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 51.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -41.0 +1.0 basis piont
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.1 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .52% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 120.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.54/Metric Tonne -.56%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.0 -3.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 74.80 -.8 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 37.60 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.0 unch.
  • 31.3% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 45.0% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -7 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +43 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my in my retail/tech/medical/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.2%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Oil Service -.5% 2) Utilities -.5% 3) Restaurants -.5%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • GME, INFY, AAOI, GNRC, HMST, PVH, RYI and RBA
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) AIG 2) FEYE 3) YUM 4) EXEL 5) EA
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) GNRC 2) SNAK 3) ABCO 4) GME 5) TNP
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +1.2%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Hospitals +1.7% 2) Alt Energy +1.4% 3) Disk Drives +1.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • SN, DXCM, STRP, WATT, SSNI, P, WMS, CHKP, HTLD, EVH, CLVS, ARRY, ANGO, SSW, GRUB, PTLA, DERM, MNST and TIF
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) TMUS 2) ARNC 3) AIG 4) RF 5) SPLK
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) GRUB 2) THRM 3) P 4) CFX 5) MBLY
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index: