Friday, July 06, 2018

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 2,760.96 +1.63%





















The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 24,493.0 +1.13%
  • NASDAQ 7,681.67 +2.38%
  • Russell 2000 1,693.42 +2.95%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 43.67 +1.82%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 166.70 +3.25%
  • Wilshire 5000 28,799.0 +1.78%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,467.96 +2.02%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,203.37 +1.34%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 537.88 +1.47%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.58 -.55%
  • NYSE Technology 1,924.89 +1.97%
  • Transports 10,495.50 +2.0%
  • Utilities 729.01 +2.33%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 88.03 +.69%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 43.25 +1.38%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,277.79 +.79%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,004.41 -.14%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 325,889 +1.03%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -87 +493
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 60.0 +15.4%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 625,091 +7.6%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,423,829 -1.41%
  • Total Put/Call .94 -23.58%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.45 -7.92%
  • ISE Sentiment 104.0 +23.66%
  • NYSE Arms .62 unch.
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.58 -18.93%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.33 -1.60%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.04 -1.87% 
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.46 -2.67%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 15,561.84 -.91%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.825 Trillion +.81%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$3.865 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 27.9 -2.1%
  • AAII % Bears 39.3 -3.7%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 197.84 -.65%
  • Crude Oil 73.78 +.66%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 211.37 +.56%
  • Natural Gas 2.86 -3.29%
  • Heating Oil 217.26 -.14%
  • Gold 1,255.60 +.55%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 193.21 -4.76%
  • Copper 282.15 -4.05%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 333.33 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 62.62 USD/Metric Tonne -2.40%
  • Lumber 539.70 -3.26%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 948.89 -.37%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.8% unch.
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 2.2% -60.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.0026 +10.3% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 452.98 +222.3%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 168.03 +.20%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.60 +17.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -36.10 +24.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.40 +6.3 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 81.4% chance of no change, 18.6% chance of 25 basis point hike on 8/1
  • US Dollar Index 94.03 -1.35%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,626.30 -.14%
  • Bitcoin/USD 6,564.33 +11.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.04 +.29%
  • Yield Curve 28.25 -2.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.83% -3.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.250 Trillion -.36%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.13 +2.12%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 205.39 -.03%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 242.5 +4.75 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 15.10 +.97%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.39 -7.24%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 68.77 -1.77%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 49.44 +.58%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 135.17 -4.57%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 148.29 -.31%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14% +2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 39.5 -2.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.75 +.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.76 -2.29%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 398.0 -2.08%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 83.59 -8.07%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 176.65 -7.84%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.638 Trillion -.13%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,065.0 -1.9%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 224,500 +2,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.52% -3.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 363.60 -.47%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 57.60 +.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.10% +10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.87/gallon +.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,612.0 +16.4%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 808.55 -.90%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 -11.11%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 293,327 +1.54%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth +3.4%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +1.3%
Leading Sectors
  • Biotechnology +7.0%
  • Gold & Silver +5.0%
  • Networking +3.4%
  • Airlines +3.4%
  • Software +3.3%
Lagging Sectors
  • Banks +.6% 
  • Agriculture -.2%
  • I-Banking -.4%
  • Oil Service -.5%
  • Gaming -3.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (10)
  • BIIB, ITCI, ACAD, SFIX, EGAN, FNKO, ATUS, WOW, QNST and OUT
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (1)
  • COLL
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Stable Long-Term Rates, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.64 -8.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.99 +.24%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.46 -.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.58 -1.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 +23.81%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +3.30%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -22.10%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.55 -2.66%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 397.0 -.10%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 83.23 -2.15%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 242.50 -.5 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 14.99 +.40%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 176.16 -1.60%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 148.28 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 39.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.97 +.44%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.94% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 28.5 +.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 62.62 USD/Metric Tonne -.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.60 +2.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -36.10 +9.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.40 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
  • 81.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 26th meeting, 82.6% chance at November 8th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +77 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -36 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +1.2%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Biotech +3.2% 2) Social Media +2.0% 3) Oil Service +1.7%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • BIIB, MOTS, AMSWA, ACWI, BIB, MTOR, IBUY, IRS, VC, ANIP, CHEF, ELVT, FNKO, UBIO, ODT, KB, SFIX, EGAN, QNST, CHKP, MANT, ANGO, NVO, ATUS and KOF
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) EWW 2) EMB 3) JWN 4) PRU 5) IBB
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) BIIB 2) MANT 3) CHKP 4) BA 5) MA
Charts: