Friday, December 27, 2019

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Social  Media +.7% 2) Retail +.7% 3) Telecom +.5%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • RAD, FLXN, FBM, TXG, WCC, INMD, PGNY, KRG and AXE
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) XLB 2) XLK 3) XLP 4) TDOC 5) AMZN
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) PT 2) AQMS 3) FLXN 4) BW 5) AMRS
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

Thursday, December 26, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 53.0 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 32.0 +.75 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.45 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.18%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases 
  • None of note
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The UK House Price Index could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Tech/Financial Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.6 -.24%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.38 +.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 66.46 +.11%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.94 -.31%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 69.0 -24
  • Total Put/Call .80 -1.23%
  • NYSE Arms .82 -24.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 44.31 -.68%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 548.0 +.15%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.15 -.18%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 167.25 unch.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 52.90 -.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 179.73 -1.46%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.07 -.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 38.75 +2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.0 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.45 +.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.57% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .28 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.30 USD/Metric Tonne -.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.3 +1.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 27.50 +2.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.7 -.6 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 unch.
  • 6.1% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 13.2% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +21 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +28 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth -.1%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Homebuilding -.7% 2) Airlines -.5% 3) Medical Equipment -.5%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • SPCE
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) CTL 2) SPPI 3) RAD 4) IMMU 5) BBBY
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) SPPI 2) SBPH 3) QGEN 4) MMSI 5) NAV
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +.5%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Internet +.9% 2) Shipping +.9% 3) Gold & Silver +.9%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • RAD, KRTX, IMMU, OLED, ATNX, IIPR, MTEM, CRWD, CODI, AIMT, AMKR, NBLX, PPC, TTD, GNK, ECHO and AMZN
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) ALB 2) HPE 3) IBB 4) COG 5) XHB
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) RAD 2) GORO 3) BLIN 4) AMZN 5) OSG
Charts: