Monday, February 09, 2026

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value +.2%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Insurance -3.6% 2) Computer Services -1.5% 3) Healthcare Providers -.9%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • BNTC, BKNG, EXE, EPC, NWG, WDAY, DXC, ELF, AON, CBZ, WAT, CLF, HIMS, MNDY, PGY and KD
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) XLC 2) RIG 3) EXE 4) FISV 5) FND
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) CLF 2) HIMS 3) KD 4) HAIN 5) WDAY
Sector ETFs With Most Negative Money Flow:
  • 1) XLY 2) XLK 3) XLU 4) ITB 5) XOP

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Gold & Silver +5.2% 2) Networking +4.5% 3) Nuclear +4.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • VAL, SUPX, GOLD, AXTI, BLSH, WULF, APP, CIFR, LUNR, VRNS, RBLX, U, ORCL, IREN, XMTR, PLSE, CRDO, AAOI, OUST, STM, ALAB, PSLV, IAG, APLD, NXST, CORZ, LPTH, DT, TGNA, WGS, CIEN, FROG, AUGO, SCZM, AGI, ICHR, SBGI, PWP, NGD, TSEM, RBRK, CDE, ATEN, SHOP, COHR, SIMO, SBH, LASR, HTFL, ESE, GLW, CALX, GLXY, HOOD, PLTR, ASX, CEF, VNET, CTGO, GOOS, OTF, VTRS, VNET, CGAU, ATAT, AS, UCTT, VRT, SDRL, STVN, TTWO, LITE, IOT, KKR, CPNG, CMCL, AMKR, NVO, CYBR, COCN, WBI, PANW, SVM, CLBT, CGNX, PEGA, ROIV, AXON, CMI, IIIV, KR, FUTU, SNOW, INTA, SNEX, SKY, OSW, PAX, ERO, VALE, SNEX, KVYO, MSFT, WPM, DAVE, NVDA, SAP, NTGR,  
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) RUM 2) UPWK 3) SCCO 4) IEF 5) VZLA 
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) APP 2) NXST 3) IMPP 4) OUST 5) VSAT
Sector ETFs With Most Positive Money Flow:
  • 1) SMH 2) IGV 3) XLF 4) XBI 5) XLI
Charts:

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (AZN)/2.11
  • (KO)/.56
  • (DDOG)/.55
  • (DUK)/1.49
  • (DD)/.43
  • (RACE)/2.46
  • (FISV)/1.90
  • (HOG)/-1.07
  • (HAS)/.96
  • (INCY)/1.90
  • (MAR)/2.60
  • (MAS)/.79
  • (DGX)/2.36
  • (SAIA)/1.90
  • (SPOT)/2.74
  • (ZBH)/2.40 
After the Close: 
  • (AEIS)/1.78
  • (AIG)/1.90
  • (ALAB)/.52
  • (LEU)/1.41
  • (NET)/.27
  • (EW)/.62
  • (F)/.18
  • (FRSH)/.11
  • (GILD)/1.81
  • (HNGE)/.41
  • (LYFT)/.12
  • (MAT)/.54
  • (MIR)/.16
  • (PEGA)/.73 
  • (RRR)/.49
  • (HOOD)/.63
  • (UPST)/.46
  • (ZG)/.40 
Economic Release 

6:00 am EST

  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Jan. is estimated to rise to 99.8 versus 99.5 in Dec.  

8:30 am EST

  • The Import Price Index MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.1% versus unch. in Nov.
  • The Import Price Index Ex Petrol MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in Nov.
  • The Export Price Index MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.1%.
  • The Employment Cost Index for 4Q is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +.8% gain in 3Q.
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.4% gain in Nov.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.5% gain in Nov.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for Dec. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.4% gain in Nov.

10:00 am EST

  • Business Inventories for Nov. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.3% gain in Oct. 

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Logan speaking, Fed's Hammack speaking, Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q4 update, 3Y T-Note auction, weekly US retail sales reports, CB Employment Trends Index for Jan., EIA short-term energy outlook, API weekly crude oil stock report, ADP weekly employment change, TD Cowen Aerospace/Defense Conference, BofA Financials conference, (PCAR) analyst day, (ROK) annual meeting and the Stifel Transport/Logistics Conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Afternoon Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +9.4% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.0 +1.6
  • 3 Sectors Declining, 8 Sectors Rising
  • 57.5% of Issues Advancing, 40.5% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms 1.24 +25.3%
  • Non-Block Money Flow -$107.3M
  • 265 New 52-Week Highs, 56 New Lows
  • 69.0% (+.02%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 67.1 +2.1
Polymarket:
  • Supreme Court Rules in Favor of Trump's Tariffs? 28.0% -3.0 percentage points
  • Another US government shutdown by February 14th? 76.0% +9.0 percentage points 
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 12.0% unch.
  • US strikes Iran by June 30th 56.0% +6.0 percentage points 
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 106.3 +3.0%
  • US High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 479.25 +13.25 basis points
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 259.8 +.6%
  • Morgan Stanley Growth vs Value Index 138.7 +1.6%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 35.0 (moved to NEUTRAL from FEAR) +4.0
  • 1-Day Vix 9.6 -36.3%
  • Vix 17.1 -3.7%
  • Total Put/Call .73 -15.1%

Sunday, February 08, 2026

Monday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business   
  • @Zerohedge
  • @CNBC
  • @Barron's 
  • Had bullish commentary on (CAT) and (OKTA).
  • @TheTranscript
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are +1.25% to +3.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.0 -2.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 42.75 -1.75 basis points.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 99.6 USD/Metric Tonne +.6%.
  • Gold 5,039.4 USD/t oz. +1.2% 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.93 -.01%. 
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.26 -.07%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 102.5 +1.8%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.22% +1.0 basis point. 
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.56% -1.0 basis point. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 19.2 -2.7%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.28%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.12%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.24%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

Friday, February 06, 2026

Evening Headlines

Around X:

  • @Zerohedge 
  • @MarioNawfal
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • @TheSCIF
  • @merissahansen17
  • @DC_Draino
  • @EmeraldRobinson
  • @BGatesIsaPsycho
  • You saw the clips of the mass plane spraying operation in the lead up to the US winter storm, you saw the clips of people questioning their snowfall, you saw it turning black, refusing to melt, snow under a microscope and now Americans are getting their laboratory samples back. So many people are finally realizing….. (video)
  • @Hustle_Bitch
  • @AmyKremer
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @JimFergusonUK
  • @TeamOverhaulGA
  • @Dave_Longevity
  • @IanCarrollShow
  • @EricLDaugh
  • @ElonMusk
  • @BBMagaMom
  • @YaakovRenewed
  • @DiligentDenizen
  • @SamAntar
  • @DigiSwQll17
  • BREAKING: Catherine Herridge confirms the Intelligence Community is moving to dismantle DNI Gabbard’s investigative team. Why? It exposed “uncomfortable facts” the bureaucracy doesn’t want public. Directed Energy Attacks report? Finalized weeks ago. Blocked. Weaponization & politicization findings? Suppressed. When transparency becomes a threat, you’re watching a cover-up in real time. DNI Gabbard isn’t backing down. “The Director remains committed to rooting out politicization and revealing the truth to the American people.” The Deep State can resist. But the truth doesn’t need their permission.
  • @TonySeruga
  • The American people are now standing at the same moral and strategic crossroads that the Founders faced in the 1760s and 1770s — when law itself had been converted into an instrument of corruption and injustice. The question of how to fight back when the courts, bureaucracy, and even elections seem captured by hostile interests isn’t about violence — it’s about reclaiming legitimacy, parallel institutions, and moral courage. Here’s a clear framework for what an honest citizenry can actually do to retake their country:
  • @salis333
  • @Mia_Stretch
  • @ScottPresler
OpenVAERS:  
SKirsch.com: