Thursday, August 02, 2018

Friday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:   
  • Asian Stocks Nudge Higher; Japanese Yields Steady: Markets Wrap. Asian stocks edged higher at the end of a volatile week, after optimism for technology shares lifted U.S. equities and overshadowed ongoing trade tensions. Japanese bond yields steadied ahead of a closely watched Bank of Japan bond purchase operation. Shares in Japan, South Korea and Australia opened with modest gains, while equity futures signaled Hong Kong and China will recoup some of Thursday slide. The S&P 500 rallied as Apple Inc.’s market value reached $1 trillion. The dollar maintained gains and the yield on 10-year Treasuries ticked back below 3 percent. The yuan steadied after its recent slide. Japan’s Topix index rose 0.1 percent as of 9:10 a.m. in Tokyo. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.5 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index rose 0.2 percent. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.4 percent.
Business Insider:  
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 82.25 +1.5 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 11.0 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.30 -.09%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.52%
  • S&P 500 futures -.03%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.01%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (AXL)/1.09
  • (CBOE)/1.03
  • (DISH)/.70
  • (ITT)/.78
  • (LYB)/2.90
  • (TM)/216.13
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Balance for June is estimated to widen to -$46.5B versus -$43.1B in May.
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for July is estimated to fall to 192K versus 213K in June.
  • The Unemployment Rate for July is estimated to fall to 3.9% versus 4.0% in June.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.2% gain in June.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite for July is estimated to fall to 58.6 versus 59.1 in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Services PMI report and the Eurozone Services PMI report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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