Thursday, October 31, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.0% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 67.25 +.5 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 41.0 +1.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.18 unch.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.05%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ABBV)/2.30
  • (BABA)/10.68
  • (AIG)/1.01
  • (BAH)/.71
  • (BGG)/-.72
  • (CBOE)/1.15
  • (CVX)/1.46
  • (CL)/.70
  • (D)/1.14
  • (XOM)/.66
  • (ITT)/.90
  • (LYB)/2.76 
  • (NWL)/.55
  • (RUTH)/.10
  • (STX)/1.00
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for Oct. is estimated to fall to 85K versus 136K in Sept.
  • The Unemployment Rate for Oct. is estimated to rise to 3.6% versus 3.5% in Sept.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.3% versus unch. in Sept.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Manufacturing Index for Oct. is estimated to rise to 49.0 versus 47.8 in Sept.
  • The ISM Prices Paid Index for Oct. is estimated to rise to 50.0 versus 49.7 in Sept.
  • Construction Spending MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.1% gain in Aug.
Afternoon:
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Oct. is estimated to fall to 17.0M versus 17.19M in Sept.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Vice Chair Clarida speaking, Fed's Quarles speaking, China Manufacturing PMI report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by commodity and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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