Monday, October 07, 2019

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:        
  • Asia Stocks Look Mixed as China Trade Talks Near. Asian stocks look likely to trade mixed after a weak U.S. session as investors mulled the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks. Treasuries slipped and the dollar gained. Futures in Japan pointed higher and were little changed in South Korea. S&P 500 contracts were little changed in early Asian trading. Investor focus will be on Chinese markets, which reopen after a weeklong holiday, as well as those in Hong Kong after escalating violence in the city. U.S. stocks ended the day lower after bouncing between small gains and losses in light volume. After the close of New York markets, the U.S. placed eight Chinese technology companies on a blacklist because of alleged human-rights violations, a move that may add to tensions between the countries. Nikkei 225 futures fell 0.2% in Chicago. Australia’s S&P 200 Index contracts rose 0.4%. S&P 500 futures were flat as of 8:11 a.m. in Tokyo.
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 78.5 -.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 50.25 +1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.27 -.02%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.02%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.03%.
Morning Preview Links 

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (AZZ)/.56
  • (DPZ)/2.08
  • (HELE)/1.96
After the Close:
  • (LEVI)/.28
Economic Releases
6:00 am EST
  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Sept. is estimated to fall to 102.0 versus 103.1 in Aug.
8:30 am EST
  • The PPI Final Demand MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.1% gain in Aug.
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for Sept. is estimated to  rise +.2% versus a +.3% gain in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Powell speaking, China Loan Data report, $38B 3Y T-Note auction, weekly US retail sales reports, (FEYE) analyst day and the (STZ) investor presentation could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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