Thursday, October 17, 2019

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Brexit Deal Optimism, Earnings Outlooks, Oil Gain, Retail/Healthcare Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.8 +.58%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.50 +.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.86 -.76%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 33.40 +2.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 56.0 -52.1%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +1.08%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 -13.45%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 55.79 -.55%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 482.0 -.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 61.0 +4.19%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 129.75 -1.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 71.79 -1.43%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 201.75 -1.28%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 166.68 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 4.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.75 -3.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.76 +.37%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.66% unch.
  • Yield Curve .16 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 82.65 USD/Metric Tonne -.19%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 8.20 -5.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -68.8 +1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -19.60 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.58 +1.0 basis point
  • 87.8% chance of Fed rate cut at Dec. 11th meeting, 91.7% chance of cut at Jan. 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +102 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +29 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: