Monday, December 30, 2019

Stocks Lower into Afternoon on Profit-Taking, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.3 +6.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.73 -.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.56 +.92%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.42 -4.84%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 82.0 -7
  • Total Put/Call 1.08 +25.6%
  • NYSE Arms .63 -60.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 44.45 +.95%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 542.0 -.70%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.72 -.89%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 159.75 -3.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 53.18 +.10%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 174.18 -.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.41 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.75 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 39.5 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 4.5 +5.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.69 +.19%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.54% -2.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .30 +3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.57 USD/Metric Tonne +.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -3.9 +4.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 29.10 +1.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.7 +3.2 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.77 +1.0 basis point
  • 5.9% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 12.7% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -131 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -11 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -94 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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