Monday, December 09, 2019

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Concerns, Oil Decline, Profit-Taking, Medical/Healthcare Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.2 +11.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.72 +.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.75 -.15%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.2 +3.72%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 111.0 -10
  • Total Put/Call .91 +3.41%
  • NYSE Arms .94 +28.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.97 +.96%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 643.0 -1.2%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 55.35 -.27%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 158.25 -5.5 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.71 -.8%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 199.46 -.35%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.48 -.24%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 1.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 38.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 -2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.71 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.53% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .21 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 92.25 USD/Metric Tonne +.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 4.9 -2.6 basis points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index .3 +6.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.6 -.6 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 unch.
  • 8.3% chance of Fed rate cut at Jan. 29th meeting, 19.5% chance of cut at March 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -35 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -33 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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