Friday, December 06, 2019

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on US Economic Optimism, China Trade Deal Hopes, Oil Gain, Retail/Energy Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.4 -7.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.65 -.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.78 -1.45%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.6 -2.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 121.0 +43
  • Total Put/Call .88 -20.0%
  • NYSE Arms .79 -18.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.31 -2.18%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 651.0 +3.89%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 55.52 -1.78%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 163.75 -2.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.21 -1.18%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 200.18 -1.88%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.88 -.29%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 1.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.25 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.25 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.62 +.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.52% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .22 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 87.97 USD/Metric Tonne +.81%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.5 +9.8 basis points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -5.8 -5.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.0 -.1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 +2.0 basis points
  • 8.3% chance of Fed rate cut at Jan. 29th meeting, 21.6% chance of cut at March 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +206 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +33 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my industrial/tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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