Monday, December 23, 2019

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Global Growth Optimism, Technical Buying, Oil Gain, Energy/Healthcare Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.7 +1.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.93 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.40 -1.23%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.7 -4.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 -7
  • Total Put/Call .79 +1.3%
  • NYSE Arms .86 -34%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 45.02 -.67%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 547.0 +1.11%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.29 +1.81%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 167.25 +1.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 53.49 -.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 182.35 +.10%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.33 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 37.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.26 -.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55%-1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .28 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 90.25 USD/Metric Tonne -.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -10.3 -2.7 basis points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.60 +8.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.4 +.8 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 -2.0 basis points
  • 6.1% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 13.2% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -16 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +26 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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