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| S&P 500 6,632.3 -1.7% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 46,388.4 -1.4%
- NASDAQ 22,401.6 -2.0%
- Russell 2000 2,378.1 -.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 15,888.4 -3.1%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 226.7 -3.1%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.6 -7.7%
- Wilshire 5000 65,319.6 -1.4%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,623.7 -2.6%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,000.2 -.7%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 869.7 +.9%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 249.0 -2.1%
- NYSE Technology 6,868.8 -5.6%
- Transports 16,063.4 -.3%
- Utilities 1,108.7 -.2%
- MSCI Europe Banks 101.2 -2.8%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 53.1 -3.1%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 248.0 -.1%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 127.7 +.9%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 575,785 -1.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.3 -45.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -650 -643
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -12.4 n/a
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 103,300 +.3%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,006,358 +3.6%
- Total Put/Call .86 -4.4%
- OEX Put/Call 1.63 -35.1%
- ISE Sentiment 115.0 -5.8%
- NYSE Arms .91 -5.71%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 84.7 -5.7%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .14 -35.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.16 -13.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 23.2 +18.5%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.65 -14.2%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 21.0 +20.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.47 +.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.5 -.8%
- Smart Money Flow Index 22,157.8 -5.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 86.6 -1.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.522 Trillion -.21%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$7.334 Million
- AAII % Bulls 32.6 +3.2%
- AAII % Bears 43.6 -11.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 10.0 (EXTREME FEAR) -14.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 297.6 -1.6%
- Crude Oil 57.9/bbl. -3.4%
- Reformulated Gasoline 187.7 -6.4%
- Natural Gas 4.59 +2.0%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 30.2 euros/megawatt-hour -2.8%
- Heating Oil 244.3 -2.9%
- Newcastle Coal 114.3 (1,000/metric ton) +2.5%
- Gold 4,087.7 +.01%
- Silver 50.4 -.4%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 498.4 -1.3%
- Copper 501.7 -.6%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 356.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 104.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.2
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 11,475.0 USD/metric tonne +5.0%
- CME Lumber 534.5 -4.5%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,338.0 -1.1%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 317.5 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +4.2% +.2 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 36.8 +.4 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.3 +18.0%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 423.1 -65.5%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.5 -5.3%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $214.0 Billion($1,329.19 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(474 of 500 reporting) +13.1% +1.6 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 303.04 +1.09: Growth Rate +12.7% -2.7 percentage points, P/E 21.6 -.7
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.51% +1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +17.6% +7.6 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 501.64 +3.79: Growth Rate +23.5% +1.0 percentage point, P/E 31.4 -1.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.0 +1.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.0 -12.8 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 29.7 +1.7 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 69.5%(+25.1 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.5-3.75%, 30.5%(-25.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.0-4.25% on 12/10/25
- US Dollar Index 100.2 +1.0%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,833.5 -.3%
- Bitcoin/USD 84,225.1 -9.6%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 203.9 +.3%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.80 -1.7%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 54.75 +1.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.06% -8.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.508 Trillion -.4%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.299 Billion -6.5%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.1 -.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 200.1 +3.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 76.0 +1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.2 +1.0%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 48.3 +9.7%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 146.0 +2.8%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.6 -2.7%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 23.8 +6.9%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.5 unch.
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 121.4 -.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.5% -10.0 basis points
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.3% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.85% unch.: CPI YoY +2.96% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.56 -9.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 -5.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -3.5 basis points +6.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -22.25 -.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 +.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.4 +1.7%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 193.0 +1.9%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 440.5 +2.9%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 242.0 +23.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 60.1 +2.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 139.2 +.7%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 131.0 +2.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 614.0 unch.
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .58 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.5% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,300.1B -1.2%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 224,250 -1.3%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.7 -.3%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.34% +5.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 316,900 -5.2%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.0% +.1 percentage point
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +9.0% +3.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $114.1M +40.8%
- Nationwide Gas $3.09/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,270.0 +6.8%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,851.8/40 ft Box -.4%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,122.8 +2.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 75.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 53.8 -10.5%
- Rail Freight Carloads 270,779 +.7%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,493,309 +31.1%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 47.0% +3.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value -1.2%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -2.6%
Leading Sectors
- Pharma +2.3%
- Biotech +2.0%
- Regional Banks +1.6%
- Medical Equipment +1.2%
- Homebuilding +1.1%
Lagging Sectors
- Software -5.9%
- Networking -6.0%
- Alt Energy -6.6%
- Electrification -7.8%
- Computer Hardware -11.6%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (81)
- NVRI, HLF, RXST, AZTA, QDEL, ADPT, MAGN, WSC, TXG, CAVA, DFH, CAL, RH, PRKS, TNDM, VFC, VAC, GRAL, ASGN, KYIV, NRIX, FA, W, PRCT, DNOW, DOCS, RVLV, DJCO, XPO, GAP, MBUU, VCYT, CNXC, WGS, MTH, ASTH, EMBC, DHI, ROST, LITE, OFIX, MBC, ODFL, SONO, NRDS, ALGN, LEN, GLIBK, CPRI, AXTA, BV, OC, ZD, IR, CNMD, TREE, CELC, ZG, INTU, ON, BFH, CSTL, GFF, CTSH, KLIC, TCMD, POOL, NSP, MHO, DAL, IDXX, PCAR, PPG, CLX, UGI, BCC, CSL, ACN, CUK, WMG and RUSHA
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (12)
- MNR, GLXY, POST, WIX, BBWI, ORCL, BE, PXED, NGVC, VEEV, ESTC and SUPX
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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