Bloomberg:
- Natural-gas futures in New York may resume their downtrend as mild weather cuts heating demand, leaving supplies near record levels, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts.
- Optimism that the US economy and earnings will growth without fueling inflation sent US stocks toward their biggest first-quarter advance in seven years.
- Alcatel’s(ALA) potential takeover of Lucent Technologies(LU) may spark a wave of takeovers among networking-equipment companies.
- Globalization may end up being the saving grace for Ben S. Bernanke’s Federal Reserve that productivity was for Alan Greenspan’s.
- US Treasuries are falling before Federal Reserve officials start a two-day meeting where they’re expected to raise interest rates for the 15th straight time and in advance of an auction today of two-year notes.
- Nigerian militants releases three oil workers, two US citizens and a Briton, who were kidnapped more than a month ago in the Niger River delta.
Wall Street Journal:
- Alcatel’s(ALA) plan to merge with Lucent Technologies(LU) is part of an effort to meet competition from Chinese telephone-equipment makers such as Huawei Technologies and ZTE Corp.
- Total SA, Europe’s third-largest oil company, is leading the development of oil extraction from sand in Canada as oil prices rise.
- Major League Baseball’s Web site has agreements with 25 clients, including CBS Corp., to help provide live streaming video to large audiences on the Internet.
- Regulators of the Federal Home Loan Banks may cut a subsidy granted to thousands of lenders including Washington Mutual(WM) and Citigroup(C).
- The SEC has subpoenaed Gradient Analytics, an Arizona-based securities research firm, about its dealings with journalists and hedge-fund advisers, citing a March 10 document.
- The change in US bankruptcy law introduced last year hasn’t significantly affected corporate insolvencies, citing talks with attorneys.
- Revised US Labor Dept. disclosure rules for unions with annual revenue of at least $250,000 offer members and government auditors added details about their spending patterns.
LA Times:
- Tenet Healthcare(THC) is revamping its hospitals to doctors’ orders in an effort to win back their favor and fill more beds following nationally reported legal problems.
NY Times:
- Rallies in the US in support of immigrants have drawn so many people that even the organizers have been surprised.
Asharq Al-Awsat
- Saudi Arabian brokerages received few requests from foreign residents in the kingdom to buy stocks after they were allowed to trade in a market previously limited to nationals.
Reuters:
- Time Warner’s(TWX) studio division plans to open at least 200 stores in China as demand increases for its trademark characters.
Monday, March 27, 2006
Sunday, March 26, 2006
Monday Watch
Weekend Headlines
Bloomberg:
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said it is “entirely likely” that more US troops will be withdrawn from Iraq in 2006 as the country’s own forces continue taking on more responsibility for security.
- BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the biggest producers of iron ore, may be forced by China to limit price increases.
- Hamas, the Islamic movement that won Palestinian elections in January, wants to end the crisis with Israel, incoming Palestinian Prime Minister Ismael Hania said.
Economist.com:
- China hopes to use the 2008 Olympics in Beijing to market its emergence on the world stage.
NY Times:
- New York state leaders are negotiating a set of tax cuts funded by a budget surplus of $2 billion to $4.5 billion
- US families are taking advantage of hundreds of time-saving stores with already peeled and sliced ingredients to prepare home-cooked meals to avoid to take-out food and to make ready meals faster.
- Vinod Khosla, a founder of Sun Microsystems(SUNW), as well as Richard Branson and Bill Gates are among executives investing in ethanol, a fuel made from corn or other organic matter.
Washington Post:
- The US Federal Election Commission yesterday proposed treating political Web logs and Internet news sites similarly to newspapers, leaving speech other than campaign advertisements largely unregulated.
Financial Times:
- Alcatel SA(ALA) and Lucent Technologies’(LU) plan to combine will spark a review from the US government and Congress on national security grounds.
Business:
- Exxon Mobil(XOM) and Chevron Corp.(CVX) have discovered oil and natural-gas in fields in western Africa.
Die Welt:
- Continental AG CEO Wennemer said the German tiremaker is interested in buying parts of US auto-parts makers Delphi Corp. and Dana Corp.
Le Figaro:
- France was the only country of 20 polled where most people reject free markets, citing a survey by GlobeScan.
London-based Times:
- Apple Corps, owned by the former Beatles and their heirs, is going to court this week demanding multimillion-pound damages against iPod-maker Apple Computer(AAPL)
Weekend Recommendations
Barron's:
- Had positive comments on (WEN), (XOM), (CVX), (APC), (DVN), (CHK), (KMG), (PPP), (XEC), (THX), (WLL), (LAUR) and (COP).
- Had negative comments on (THI).
Night Trading
Asian indices are unch. to +.75% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.03%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.03%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (WAG)/.52
- (PHH)/.52
Economic Releases
- None of note
Bloomberg:
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said it is “entirely likely” that more US troops will be withdrawn from Iraq in 2006 as the country’s own forces continue taking on more responsibility for security.
- BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the biggest producers of iron ore, may be forced by China to limit price increases.
- Hamas, the Islamic movement that won Palestinian elections in January, wants to end the crisis with Israel, incoming Palestinian Prime Minister Ismael Hania said.
Economist.com:
- China hopes to use the 2008 Olympics in Beijing to market its emergence on the world stage.
NY Times:
- New York state leaders are negotiating a set of tax cuts funded by a budget surplus of $2 billion to $4.5 billion
- US families are taking advantage of hundreds of time-saving stores with already peeled and sliced ingredients to prepare home-cooked meals to avoid to take-out food and to make ready meals faster.
- Vinod Khosla, a founder of Sun Microsystems(SUNW), as well as Richard Branson and Bill Gates are among executives investing in ethanol, a fuel made from corn or other organic matter.
Washington Post:
- The US Federal Election Commission yesterday proposed treating political Web logs and Internet news sites similarly to newspapers, leaving speech other than campaign advertisements largely unregulated.
Financial Times:
- Alcatel SA(ALA) and Lucent Technologies’(LU) plan to combine will spark a review from the US government and Congress on national security grounds.
Business:
- Exxon Mobil(XOM) and Chevron Corp.(CVX) have discovered oil and natural-gas in fields in western Africa.
Die Welt:
- Continental AG CEO Wennemer said the German tiremaker is interested in buying parts of US auto-parts makers Delphi Corp. and Dana Corp.
Le Figaro:
- France was the only country of 20 polled where most people reject free markets, citing a survey by GlobeScan.
London-based Times:
- Apple Corps, owned by the former Beatles and their heirs, is going to court this week demanding multimillion-pound damages against iPod-maker Apple Computer(AAPL)
Weekend Recommendations
Barron's:
- Had positive comments on (WEN), (XOM), (CVX), (APC), (DVN), (CHK), (KMG), (PPP), (XEC), (THX), (WLL), (LAUR) and (COP).
- Had negative comments on (THI).
Night Trading
Asian indices are unch. to +.75% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.03%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.03%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- (WAG)/.52
- (PHH)/.52
Economic Releases
- None of note
BOTTOM LINE: Asian Indices are higher, boosted by exporting shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.
Wednesday, March 22, 2006
Stocks Finish at Session Highs on Above-average Volume
Indices
S&P 500 1,305.04 +.60%
DJIA 11,317.43 +.73%
NASDAQ 2,303.35 +.40%
Russell 2000 744.85 +1.19%
Wilshire 5000 13,131.13 +.64%
S&P Barra Growth 615.68 +.49%
S&P Barra Value 685.99 +.72%
Morgan Stanley Consumer 617.31 +.64%
Morgan Stanley Cyclical 810.97 +.96%
Morgan Stanley Technology 537.21 +.07%
Transports 4,614.94 +1.18%
Utilities 401.30 +.56%
Put/Call .97 +2.11%
NYSE Arms .83 -14.33%
Volatility(VIX) 11.21 -3.53%
ISE Sentiment 157.00 -7.10%
US Dollar 89.73 +.12%
CRB 320.27 -.77%
Futures Spot Prices
Crude Oil 62.12 +.57%
Unleaded Gasoline 174.15 +.29%
Natural Gas 7.0 +.75%
Heating Oil 174.67 +.09%
Gold 550.90 -.15%
Base Metals 172.29 -.26%
Copper 233.90 unch.
10-year US Treasury Yield 4.69% -.38%
Leading Sectors
Airlines +2.83%
Drugs +2.01%
I-Banks +1.03%
Lagging Sectors
Gold & Silver -.01%
Broadcasting -.14%
Computer Hardware -.24%
Evening Review
Detailed Market Summary
Market Gauges
Daily ETF Performance
Style Performance
Market Wrap CNBC Video(bottom right)
S&P 500 Gallery View
Economic Calendar
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Movers
Real-time/After-hours Stock Quote
In Play
Afternoon Recommendations
Oppenheimer:
- Rated QCOM Buy, target $60.
Afternoon/Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice expressed confidence that American diplomats will settle differences with China and Russia on a UN statement intended to persuade Iran to rein in its nuclear program.
- The American Civil Liberties Union(ACLU) filed suit seeking to overturn a US law that makes students ineligible for federally backed college loans once they have been convicted on a drug charge.
- Chinese President Hu Jintao and President Bush will discuss the fight against terrorism and halting the spread of nuclear weapons when they meet April 20 in Washington.
- Humans with H5N1 avian influenza evidently can’t spread the virus easily through coughing and sneezing, scientists said.
S&P 500 1,305.04 +.60%
DJIA 11,317.43 +.73%
NASDAQ 2,303.35 +.40%
Russell 2000 744.85 +1.19%
Wilshire 5000 13,131.13 +.64%
S&P Barra Growth 615.68 +.49%
S&P Barra Value 685.99 +.72%
Morgan Stanley Consumer 617.31 +.64%
Morgan Stanley Cyclical 810.97 +.96%
Morgan Stanley Technology 537.21 +.07%
Transports 4,614.94 +1.18%
Utilities 401.30 +.56%
Put/Call .97 +2.11%
NYSE Arms .83 -14.33%
Volatility(VIX) 11.21 -3.53%
ISE Sentiment 157.00 -7.10%
US Dollar 89.73 +.12%
CRB 320.27 -.77%
Futures Spot Prices
Crude Oil 62.12 +.57%
Unleaded Gasoline 174.15 +.29%
Natural Gas 7.0 +.75%
Heating Oil 174.67 +.09%
Gold 550.90 -.15%
Base Metals 172.29 -.26%
Copper 233.90 unch.
10-year US Treasury Yield 4.69% -.38%
Leading Sectors
Airlines +2.83%
Drugs +2.01%
I-Banks +1.03%
Lagging Sectors
Gold & Silver -.01%
Broadcasting -.14%
Computer Hardware -.24%
Evening Review
Detailed Market Summary
Market Gauges
Daily ETF Performance
Style Performance
Market Wrap CNBC Video(bottom right)
S&P 500 Gallery View
Economic Calendar
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Movers
Real-time/After-hours Stock Quote
In Play
Afternoon Recommendations
Oppenheimer:
- Rated QCOM Buy, target $60.
Afternoon/Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice expressed confidence that American diplomats will settle differences with China and Russia on a UN statement intended to persuade Iran to rein in its nuclear program.
- The American Civil Liberties Union(ACLU) filed suit seeking to overturn a US law that makes students ineligible for federally backed college loans once they have been convicted on a drug charge.
- Chinese President Hu Jintao and President Bush will discuss the fight against terrorism and halting the spread of nuclear weapons when they meet April 20 in Washington.
- Humans with H5N1 avian influenza evidently can’t spread the virus easily through coughing and sneezing, scientists said.
BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio finished slightly higher today on gains in my Internet longs, Networking longs, Airline longs and Semi longs. I did not trade in the final hour, thus leaving the Portfolio 75% net long. The tone of the market was positive today as the advance/decline line finished higher, almost every sector rose and volume was above-average. Measures of investor anxiety were mixed into the close. Overall, today's market performance was bullish. The major averages are up between 5%-10% for the year already and most of my positive catalysts haven't even occurred. Given the skepticism regarding this rally, I expect any pullbacks to be relatively muted on the way to substantial gains for the year. I still expect the S&P 500 to return around 15% for the year. I will be unable to post through Sunday due to a scheduling conflict. Sorry for the inconvenience.
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