Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Monday, June 11, 2007
Tuesday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- The Senate unanimously voted to take up energy legislation that would raise US car fuel economy standards and increase the use of alternative fuels in an effort to reduce oil consumption.
- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is losing support with Americans who don’t see Congress producing any real change. A 39% plurality of Americans disapprove of the California Democrat’s performance, according the latest Bloomberg/LA Times national survey; 36% approve. In January, the new speaker scored a 34% to 21% favorable rating.
- Texas Instruments(TXN) said second-quarter sales and profit will miss its highest estimates as demand for handsets and calculators declines. The stock fell $.70/share to $35.10 in after-hours trading.
- An index of energy and raw materials prices paid by companies in
- The yuan had the biggest gain in a month before the US Treasury Dept. is scheduled to name currency manipulators in a semiannual foreign-exchange report.
- The US dollar may strengthen for a fifth day against the euro as reports this week will probably show US economic growth is recovering, making an interest-rate cut this year less likely.
- Inflation in China accelerated in May, increasing the likelihood that interest rates will be raised. Consumer prices gained 3.4% from a year earlier versus a 3.0% rise in April and estimates of a 3.3% gain.
Wall Street Journal:
- Dow Jones’(DJ) controlling Bancroft family is expected to send News Corp.(NWS/A) a new list of proposals for creating a board that would ensure editorial independence at the Wall Street Journal.
DigiTimes:
- United Microelectronics and Texas Instruments(TXN) are jointly developing 45-nanometer and 32-nanometer chipmaking technology, citing Jackson Hu, the
Financial Times:
- The growth of cities in China has “devastated” the country’s historical buildings and cultural heritage, citing Qiu Baoxing, vice-minister for construction.
Daily Telegraph:
- Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Bank of America Corp.(BAC) are understood to be approaching agreement over how to split ABN Amro Holding NV’s
- About 60% of cities in
-
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Reiterated Buy on (SNDK), target $52.
Morgan Stanley:
- Reiterated Overweight on (AAPL), target $150.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.25% to +.50% on average.
S&P 500 indicated -.12%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated -.12%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Conference Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
CNBC Guest Schedule
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (FNSR)/.02
- (LEH)/1.87
- (SAPE)/.03
- (STEI)/.12
- (ROLL)/.41
Upcoming Splits
- (CROX) 2-for-1
- (WMS) 3-for-2
- (ADVNA) 3-for-2
- (BNHN) 3-for-2
- (BWLD) 2-for-1
- (MIDD) 2-for-1
- (PEBK) 3-for-2
Economic Releases
2:00 pm EST
- The Monthly Budget Statement for May is estimated to widen to -$70.0 billion versus -$42.9 billion in April.
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Moskow speaking, Fed’s Lockhart speaking, former Fed head Greenspan speaking, weekly retail sales reports, JPMorgan Basics/Industrials Conference, Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference and Bear Stearns Tech/Communications/Internet Conference could also impact trading today.
Stocks Finish Mixed as Rise in Rates, Oil Offsets Short-covering, Bargain-hunting
Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Bargain-hunting, Short-covering
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- The FAA, which plans to replace the existing air-traffic-control system, will receive three bids this month for the first stage of a new system.
- Senator Clinton’s opposition to an agreement to tighten US economic ties to
- Bank of America(BAC) and Citigroup(C) are preparing new black credit cards with American Express’s(AXP) logo to try to get affluent customers to make more purchases.
- Henry McVey resigned as chief
- Corn prices are set for a “disaster” and may fall as much as a fifth in the next year because investors over-estimated the risk to
- Nucor Corp.(NUE), the second-largest US-based steel company, said second-quarter profit will fall more than analysts estimated as demand from automakers and homebuilders slowed.
- Antitrust officials may demand that Microsoft Corp.(MSFT) change its Windows Vista operating system to address a complaint that the program’s design hurts competing software, said Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal.
- The New York Stocks Exchange, seeking to bolster trading after losing business to all-electronic rivals, relaxed long-standing rules that limited floor brokers to handling only Big Board listed shares.
- Bill Gross, manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, is sticking with his forecast for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in a “schizophrenic” market.
- Google Inc.(GOOG) will work with Sina Corp.(SINA) to gain share in the world’s second-largest online market.
- Apple’s(AAPL) Steve Jobs, who built two of the world’s top consumer brands with the Macintosh and iPod, may let developers write programs for the iPhone to broaden the appeal of the company’s first mobile phone.
Wall Street Journal:
- General Electric(GE) and Microsoft(MSFT) discussed buying Dow Jones(DJ) to merge it with parts of GE’s NBC Universal unit, though they failed to reach an agreement.
- Institutional Shareholder Services is asking shareholders of Yahoo! Inc.(YHOO) to withhold votes from three directors on the Internet company’s compensation committee because they’re paying managers too much money.
- The World Bank plans to start a $250 million pilot project to help
CNBC:
- Billionaire investor Edward Lampert has hired Goldman Sachs Group(GS) to raise as much as $5 billion for his ESL Investments hedge fund.
NY Times:
- More than 40 American states have budget surpluses and are looking to use the cash to fund tax cuts or new public projects. Governors in 23 states have proposed tax cuts and many others are putting money toward roads, schools or into savings funds. The surpluses are the result of higher tax collections than expected, with corporate tax revenue having increased 11% more than estimated.
- Medivation Inc.(MDVN) is expected to release results of a mid-stage clinical trial saying its Dimebon drug shows promise in the treatment of Alzheimer’s disease.
- Microsoft Corp,(MSFT) and other Internet companies are working to develop better software to keep automated spammers from infiltrating their Web sites.
- Lessons from the Vietnam War should be applied to the conflict in
NY Post:
- Sony Corp.(SNE) has filed for a patent to add a cellphone to the next generation of the company’s PSP game system.
- Tens of thousands of US motorists are now able to report fellow drivers’ bad and dangerous habits to police tip lines.
Financial Times:
- The
CityAM:
- Alchemy Partners LLP is preparing a $6 billion bid for Ford Motor’s(F) luxury car brands Land Rover and Jaguar, citing Jon Moulton, managing partner of the private equity firm.
London-based Times:
- Boeing Co.(BA) forecasts it will sell more than 162 versions of its 787 Dreamliner in the next year in addition to the 568 orders for the plane it already has.
- European Central Bank council member Nout Wellink said the bank hasn’t finished raising interest rates.