Thursday, September 09, 2010

Today's Headlines


Bloomberg:

  • Deutsche Bank(DB) Said to Weigh Share Sale Up to $11.4 Billion. Deutsche Bank AG has approached investment banks to assess their interest in managing a stock sale to raise as much as 9 billion euros ($11.4 billion), said three people with knowledge of the discussions. Germany’s biggest bank has yet to decide on the sale, said the people, who declined to be identified because the plans are confidential. The proceeds may be used to increase the bank’s stake in Deutsche Postbank AG and to meet rising regulatory capital requirements, the people said.
  • Norway Buys Greek Debt as Sovereign Wealth Fund Sees No Default. Norway, which has amassed the world’s second-biggest sovereign wealth fund, says Greece won’t default on its debts. The Nordic nation’s $450 billion Government Pension Fund Global has stocked up on Greek debt, as well as bonds of Spain, Italy and Portugal. Finance Minister Sigbjoern Johnsen says he backs the strategy, which contributed to a 3.4 percent loss on European fixed income in the second quarter, compared with gains on bonds in Asia and the Americas. “The point is, do you expect these guys to default?” said Harvinder Sian, senior fixed-income strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, in an interview. “Norway has taken the view that they will not. The Greek holdings are particularly interesting because the consensus in the market is that they will at some point restructure or default.” Norway says its long-term perspective will protect it from losses. “One could say we are investing for infinity,” Johnsen said in an Aug. 27 interview.
  • Greece May Need to Extend Loans Six Years to Avoid Default, JPMorgan Says. Greece may need to extend a 110- billion-euro ($140 billion) bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund by an extra three to six years to avoid a default on its debt, JPMorgan Chase & Co said. “I don’t think they have a choice, really, given their deficit is so large,” said Pavan Wadhwa, head of European interest-rate strategy at JPMorgan in London. “Either other countries roll over the loans, effectively forgiving debt, or Greece restructures its debt and the market starts to freeze up again. They will need more help after the package expires if they were to avoid an outright default.”
  • Credit-Default Index Falls as Labor Department Says Jobless Claims Dropped. A gauge of corporate credit risk in the U.S. fell to the lowest in more than four weeks after a government report showed applications for jobless benefits fell more than forecast last week. The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index, a credit-default swaps benchmark that investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditworthiness, declined 2.2 basis points to a mid-price of 103.2 basis points as of 8:47 a.m. in New York, according to Markit Group Ltd. The index, which was trading at the lowest since Aug. 9, typically falls as investor confidence improves and rises as it deteriorates.
  • Calpers After Scandal Embraces Risk for Pensioners Facing $240 Billion Gap.
  • OPEC Trims 2011 Demand Forecast as Production Outside the Group Advances. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries trimmed the outlook for demand for its members’ crude in 2011 as production from outside the group grows. OPEC, responsible for about 40 percent of global supplies, predicted in a monthly report today that the world will need 28.8 million barrels of oil a day from its 12 members next year. That’s about 100,000 barrels a day less than in last month’s report. “Mexico, Oman and Equatorial Guinea encountered minor upward revisions,” OPEC’s Vienna-based secretariat said in the report. Global consumption may weaken during the rest of this year because of “the severity of the economic crisis and its prolonged impact on the world economy.” OPEC forecast that producers outside the organization will bolster supplies next year by 360,000 barrels a day to average 52.42 million a day. The forecast for Mexico was boosted as the country slows output declines at older fields, while the outlook for Equatorial Guinea was raised as its Aseng and Alen fields start.
  • Commodity Prices in China Dip on Investigation Talk, Securities Times Says. Commodity prices in China slumped after the Securities Times said regulators are investigating large positions in natural rubber futures, spurring concern that some traders may be forced to sell. Rubber prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange plunged by the most in three months, with declines spilling over into copper, zinc, soybeans and sugar after the Securities Times report, which cited people it didn’t identify. An official at the Beijing-based China Securities Regulatory Commission, who didn’t wish to be identified, declined to comment. The Securities Times is affiliated with the state-run People’s Daily. “The market was in turmoil on rumors that a brokerage based in Zhejiang province is under investigation by the securities regulator because of alleged manipulation of the natural rubber market,” said Tommy Xiao, analyst at Shanghai JC Intelligence Co., by phone from Shanghai.
  • SEC Says Prince, Rubin Knew of Losses on Assets at Suit's Focus. Charles O. “Chuck” Prince and Robert Rubin were among Citigroup Inc. officials who knew 2007 losses were mounting on mortgage assets that U.S. regulators have faulted the bank for not disclosing, a court filing shows. Prince, the bank’s chief executive officer at the time, and Rubin, who was then chairman, knew the highest-rated segments of subprime mortgage-backed securities were the source of about $200 million in new losses in October 2007, the Securities and Exchange Commission said yesterday in a filing at federal court in Washington.
  • Jobless Claims in U.S. Decreased 27,000 to 451,000 Last Week. Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits declined more than forecast last week, easing concern that employers will accelerate firings as the world’s largest economy cools. For the latest reporting week, nine states didn’t file claims data to the Labor Department in Washington because of the federal holiday earlier this week, a Labor Department official told reporters. As a result, California and Virginia estimated their figures and the U.S. government estimated the other seven, the official said.
  • McDonald's(MCD) August Sales Rise 4.9%, Missing Estimates. McDonald’s Corp., the world’s largest restaurant chain, said comparable-store sales climbed 4.9 percent last month from a year earlier, missing analyst estimates, as growth in demand came up short in Europe. Analysts projected global sales would advance 5 percent, the median of three estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales at restaurants open at least 13 months rose 2.2 percent in Europe. Analysts estimated a 4 percent increase. European sales were hurt by slow demand in France, the chain said. The region’s performance was the weakest since February 2009. McDonald’s posted a 4.6 percent increase in the U.S. and a 7.8 percent gain in Asia, Africa and the Middle East.
  • Global Housing Rebound Loses Momentum, OECD Says: Chart of the Day. The housing market’s recovery from its collapse two years ago is flagging worldwide, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
  • Iran is Developing Secret Uranium-Enrichment Site, Dissident Group Claims. Iran is developing a secret uranium enrichment site near Qazvin, 120 miles west of Tehran, a dissident group said today, citing satellite images of the area. The facility is called Behjatad-Abyek and is code-named 311, according to the Iran Policy Committee, which supports the anti-regime People’s Mujahedeen of Iran. “This is certainly part of the secret weapons program,” said Alireza Jafarzadeh, who presented the photos at a Washington press conference. “It’s just moved underground, in tunnels, hidden from the outside world.” The Iranian government has spent $100 million on the mountainous site, where the photos, taken as far back as 2008 and as recently as last month, show excavation and tunneling, the group said. Jafarzadeh said intelligence information the group obtained indicates the facility could accommodate thousands of enrichment centrifuges, and construction at the site will be finished this year.

Wall Street Journal:
  • Intel(INTC) Chief Chips Away at Plan Beyond PCs. Intel Corp. Chief Executive Paul Otellini is making acquisitions to compete beyond PCs. Mr. Otellini pulled off three deals this summer aimed at building Intel's business outside computing, where its microprocessor chips dominate. The urgency to do so became clearer late last month, when turbulent conditions in the personal computer market made Intel trim its third-quarter projections.
  • Health Outlays Still Seen Rising. The health-care overhaul enacted last spring won't significantly change national health spending over the next decade compared with projections before the law was passed, according to government figures released Thursday. The report by federal number-crunchers casts fresh doubt on Democrats' argument that the health-care law would curb the sharp increase in costs over the long term, the second setback this week for one of the party's biggest legislative achievements. The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday that insurance companies have proposed rate increases ranging from 1% to 9% nationwide that they attribute specifically to new health-law coverage mandates.
  • Some Investors Support Currency Split As Confidence In Euro-Zone Weakens. Weakening confidence in the euro zone economy has led to some stock market investors saying the euro should be split into two currencies representing the financially stronger and weaker nations, a survey shows Thursday.
  • iSuppli: Oversupply of LCD-TV Panels Worsened in 2Q. Shipments of large liquid-crystal display panels in the first half of the year vastly exceeded sales of televisions, monitors and notebook computers in which they are used, according to iSuppli Corp., adding to a glut of inventory that has hurt LCD-panel prices.
  • Apple(AAPL) Eases App-Development Restrictions. Apple Inc. relaxed restrictions on developers of applications for its iPhones and iPads, opening up its popular App Store to products written with Adobe Systems Inc.'s(ADBE) Flash or using Google Inc.'s advertising technology.
  • ECB: Lending Outlook Uncertain. Improved money-market conditions in the euro zone over the summer haven't made up for the disruption caused by the financial crisis and may prove short-lived, the European Central Bank said Thursday. "The coming months will clarify whether the resumption of [interbank] lending in July ... heralds a more sustained return to normality," the ECB said in its monthly report for September.
  • Tax Contradictions. Obama Says the Economy Needs a Tax Cut - and a Tax Increase.
CNBC:
MarketWatch:
Business Insider:
Zero Hedge:
  • Trichet's "Quantum Leap" About to Create Tremors in Europe. More fireworks out of Europe, following in the footsteps of the disclosure about Deutsche Bank's dramatic underfunding and need to raise capital, is JC Trichet's stunning announcement that Eurozone members that break the region's rules on public finances should be excluded temporarily from Europe’s political decision-making, according to the FT.
New York Times:
  • Union Accuses China of Illegal Clean Energy Subsidies. The United Steelworkers union filed a legal case with the Obama administration on Thursday morning, accusing China of violating World Trade Organization rules by subsidizing exports of clean energy equipment to the United States.
San Francisco Chronicle:
  • States Fight Obamacare. Opposition to the new health reform law is continuing to grow in the states - just as Congress prepares for its final pre-election legislative session. Colorado, for instance, just placed an initiative on the ballot that would, if passed, block many aspects of Obamacare - including the requirement that individuals purchase health insurance. A similar measure was overwhelmingly approved by voters in Missouri last month. And several states recently announced that they don't believe they have the authority to enforce the new law. With actions like these, the message to Washington is clear: If Congress doesn't repeal Obamacare, the states just might do it themselves. The health reform law remains unpopular. The August Kaiser Health Tracking poll found that 45 percent of Americans disapprove of the new law. Among likely voters, the numbers are even worse. The most recent Rasmussen Reports survey found that 56 percent favor repealing health care reform. State officials across the country have heard their constituents - and acted accordingly. This fall, voters in Arizona and Oklahoma will consider ballot initiatives similar to the ones in Colorado and Missouri. Lawmakers in Florida tried to put a measure invalidating the individual mandate on the ballot, but their effort was struck down by the state Supreme Court. These measures have an excellent chance of passing.
Real Clear Politics:
Rasmussen Reports:
  • Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-seven percent (47%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -24 (see trends). Today's Approval Index rating is the lowest yet recorded for this president. Overall Job Approval matches the lowest recorded number, and the number who Strongly Disapprove matches the highest yet recorded.
Politico:
  • Warren Delay Has Wall Street Wondering. What’s taking so long? That is what some on Wall Street are asking about the lack of a nominee from the White House for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the new financial watchdog agency created by the Wall Street reform bill. President Barack Obama signed the Dodd-Frank bill into law nearly two months ago, touting creation of the CFPB as one of its biggest provisions. The agency will have sweeping authority to oversee consumer financial products from mortgages to credit cards, putting it at the center of the entire banking industry.
Reuters:
Financial Times:
  • The ECB stepped up its bond-buying program, buying between 100 million euros and 300 million euros of Greek, Portuguese and Irish bonds this week, citing traders.
Telegraph:
Financial Times Deutschland:
  • European Central Bank Chief Economist Juergen Stark said that German banks need more capital, citing participants of a meeting in Berlin. Stark made the remarks to members of the parliamentary party of Chancellor Angela Merkel's Chritian Democrats. Savings banks and state-owned landesbanks are particularly at risk, Stark said.

Xinhua:
  • China's economic growth is expected to slow, citing central bank adviser Xia Bin.

Bear Radar


Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Growth (-.43%)
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Restaurants -1.92% 2) Coal -1.80% 3) Airlines -1.20%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • VIVO, AVAV, WBSN, DB, CBU, SLW, GR, THI, MCD, SCOK, CREE, SLAB, WBMD, CROX, RINO, TITN, CAGC, UAUA, CPLA, SNDA, RBCN, ISLN, DECK, ALTR, RADS and TPL
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) UUP 2) NTRS 3) RTP 4) CMA 5) AGO
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) DTE 2) BA 3) GS 4) AEP 5) NWSA

Bull Radar


Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value (+1.0%)
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Banks +2.42% 2) I-Banks +1.71% 3) Internet +1.48%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • CATY, BCS, VRUS, STI, DB, VIV, SU, JNJ, STO, HMY, FGP, WCRX, ADBE, DIOD, MPWR, IGTE, GMCR, SHPGY, PTRY, GOLD, NTAP, SOHU, RIMM, FTNT, AXR, NI, EZU, MW, KBE, KFY, CUK and VFH
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) XL 2) ADBE 3) HUM 4) ALTR 5) EMR
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) AAPL 2) MCD 3) GOOG 4) MMM 5) T

Thursday Watch


Evening Recommendations
Citigroup:
  • Reiterated Buy on (VECO), target $52.
  • Reiterated Buy on (GOOG), target $620.
  • Upgraded (CE) to Buy, target $620.
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 121.0 -4.0 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 117.50 +.5 basis point.
  • S&P 500 futures -.19%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.09%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Trade Balance for July is estimated at -$47.0 Billion versus -$49.9 Billion in June.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated at 470K versus 472K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated at 4450K versus 4456K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The $13 Billion 30-year Treasury Bond Auction, CSFB Transport Conference and (TXN) Mid-quarter update could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and automaker shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Economic Fear, Short-Covering, Bargain-Hunting, Tech Sector Optimism


Broad Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 23.16 -2.69%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 165.0 +36.36%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -33.08%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -62.77%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 105.66 bps -.51%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 122.50 bps +2.70%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 154.66 bps +3.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 255.53 bps +2.61%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.0 +1 bp
  • TED Spread 17.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .12% unch.
  • Yield Curve 214.0 +2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $141.80/Metric Tonne -.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -30.30 +3.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.67% +2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +111 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -2 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my Tech, Ag, Biotech and Medical long positions
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered all of my (IWM)/(QQQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long
BOTTOM LINE: Today's overall market action is bullish as the S&P 500 trades near session highs and above its 50-day moving average despite a weaker Beige Book and ongoing eurozone worries. On the positive side, Road&Rail, Education, Biotech, Bank, Disk Drive, Steel, Oil Service and Coal shares are especially strong, rising 1.75%+. (XLF) has outperformed throughout the day. Copper is rising +.56% and Lumber is jumping +4.6%. Moreover, the 10-year yield is rising +6 bps to 2.65%. Weekly retail sales rose +3.0% this week versus a +2.8% gain the prior week. The European Investment Grade CDS Index is dropping -2.35% to 100.91 bps. The Spain sovereign cds is down -2.35% to 234.72 bps. On the negative side, Medical Equipment, Utility and Gold shares are down slightly on the day. The ongoing rises in some key cds indices remain a negative. One of my longs, (AAPL), is beginning to gain upside traction which bodes well for the Nasdaq. I still see substantial upside in the shares from current levels. Another one of my longs, (GMCR), is poised to hit a new record high after announcing a price increase. I still see substantial upside in these shares, as well. I expect US stocks to trade mixed-to-higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, less economic fear, tech sector optimism, bargain-hunting and buyout speculation.

Today's Headlines


Bloomberg:

  • Fed Banks: 'Widespread Signs of a Deceleration' in Economy. The Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy maintained its expansion while showing “widespread signs of a deceleration” in mid-July through the end of August, according to a survey by 12 regional Fed banks. Five regional banks reported “economic growth at a moderate pace” and two pointed to “positive developments or net improvements.” The remaining five banks said conditions were mixed or decelerating. The report underscores the Fed’s view that while the recovery from the worst recession in seven decades has cooled, the economy isn’t relapsing into a contraction.
  • Anglo Irish Bank to Be Split, One Part to Be Sold or Would Down. Anglo Irish Bank Corp. will be broken in two as Ireland’s government seeks “finality” on the bailout of the nationalized bank and tries to calm investor concern that the cost will continue to mount. Anglo Irish will be split into a so-called good bank, which will retain the lender’s deposits, and an asset recovery bank which will run down its loans over time, the Finance Ministry in Dublin said in a statement today. The central bank will determine by October how much new capital will be needed.
  • The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of commodity-shipping costs, advanced for an eighth session as strengthening freight rates for iron ore carriers led gains. The gauge rose 2% to 2,975 points, the highest level in 12 weeks, according to the Baltic Exchange.
  • Paulson's Biggest Hedge Fund Said to Lose 11% in 2010. John Paulson, who became a billionaire by betting against U.S. mortgage markets, lost 11 percent this year in his New York-based firm’s biggest hedge fund, according to a person briefed on the returns.
  • Copper Futures Rise as Gains in U.S. Equities Boost Demand for Commodities. Copper rose the most in a week as U.S. stocks advanced, boosting demand for commodities. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed as much as 0.8 percent as improved demand for Portuguese and Polish bonds tempered speculation that Europe’s debt crisis will trigger another recession. Before today, copper jumped 21 percent since July 1 as inventories dropped. The S&P 500 gained 6.3 percent in the same period. LME copper stockpiles dropped for a fourth straight session to 394,500 tons, the lowest level since Nov. 10, according to daily exchange figures. Inventories have slid 21 percent this year, helping to boost the metal to a four-month high of $7,750 a ton on Sept. 3.
  • U.S. Retail Space Availability to Drop in 2011, CB Richard Says. Space available for lease at U.S. local retail centers will decline next year for the first time since 2005 as consumer spending rises, according to commercial broker CB Richard Ellis Group Inc. The availability rate, which refers to space being actively marketed and ready for tenant construction in a year, will fall to 12.8 percent for neighborhood and community shopping centers at the end of 2011 from a peak of 13.2 percent in the second half of this year, according to a forecast from CBRE Econometric Advisors, a unit of Los Angeles-based CB Richard Ellis.
  • China 'Tightening' Speculation Follows Property Surge. China’s attempts to cool the real-estate market may be faltering as sales surge, prompting speculation the government may issue more tightening measures. Real-estate stocks tumbled today after a newspaper reported that the government may introduce a second round of measures to cool the market and Citigroup Inc. said extra steps are “very likely.” The government is seeking to limit the risk of asset bubbles after flooding the economy with money to drive a recovery from the financial crisis. “The key drivers of the property bubble are excess liquidity and lack of investment alternatives, which are still largely in place,” said Ken Peng, a Beijing-based economist for Citigroup.
  • BofA(BAC), JPMorgan(JPM) Can Only Watch as U.S. Bancorp(USB), PNC(PNC) Seek Targets. U.S. Bancorp and PNC Financial Services Group Inc. may lead the biggest boom in bank takeovers since 2007, and this time, the largest lenders can only sit and watch. Bank loans outstanding have dropped 10 percent since October 2008, the deepest contraction in more than 35 years, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. That’s left banks with unused lending capacity, idle cash and depressed market values, making laggards ripe for consolidation, according to KBW Inc., Rochdale Securities LLC and CreditSights Inc. Potential targets include KeyCorp(KEY), SunTrust Banks Inc.(STI) and Regions Financial Corp(RF).
  • Record-Low Rates Should Prompt Debt Sales to Pay for Buybacks, Tilson Says. U.S. companies should use record low interest rates to issue debt and buy back stock to boost per- share earnings, according to hedge-fund manager Whitney Tilson. Those with high credit ratings and enough cash are ideal candidates to sell bonds and cut their dividends to raise money for repurchasing their own equities, said Tilson.
  • Norfolk Southern(NSC), CSX(CSX) Say Shipping Volumes Rising as Rail Demand Holds Up. Norfolk Southern Corp. and CSX Corp. said shipping volumes have risen more than 10 percent in the current quarter as demand remains strong in most markets. Volume increased 11 percent at CSX and 14 percent at Norfolk Southern in the third quarter through Aug. 20, executives said at the Dahlman Rose & Co. Global Transportation Conference today in New York. “The recovery may be choppy and uneven -- and that may be an understatement -- but it is a recovery,” Norfolk Southern Chief Executive Officer Charles “Wick” Moorman said in a presentation. “We don’t expect anything that looks like the much-discussed double-dip. We don’t see what precipitates it, don’t see it in our carloads and don’t hear it when we talk to our customers.”
  • Krugman, DeLong's Keynes Model Flawed, Harvard's Ferguson Says: Tom Keene. The economic assumptions of Paul Krugman and Bradford DeLong are based on “flawed” versions of John Maynard Keynes’s model, according to Niall Ferguson, a history professor at Harvard University. “They have a flawed Keynesian model in their minds about what fiscal stimulus can do when you already have a highly indebted economy,” Ferguson said in a radio interview today on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene. “We’ve seen this movie in Japan before where you end up with an explosion of public debt but a flatlining economy, and gradually that debt burden, even at low interest rates, begins to be more of a burden than a source of stimulus.”

Wall Street Journal:
Bloomberg Businessweek:
  • Dow May Rise From Election Day to Year-End: Technical Analysis. Investors who bought Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks on the November election day in the middle year of U.S. presidencies since 1918 generated profits through New Year’s Eve 70 percent of the time, according to Janney Montgomery Scott LLC’s Dan Wantrobski. The Dow jumped an average of 5 percent during the two months between the November congressional elections to Dec. 31 in the 16 winning Dow years over the past 23 midterm cycles. The average return for all midterm voting years is 2.3 percent, while the seven losing years had a negative return of 4 percent on average, Wantrobski said.
Business Insider:
RTT News:
  • Euro Snaps Back as Portugal Eases Sovereign Debt Fears. The euro battled back from early losses on Wednesday amid speculation that renewed fears about the European sovereign debt situation have been overblown. Portugal conducted an oversubscribed bond offering this morning, suggesting that demand for its public debt remains steady. Yields rose for the 661 million euro bonds due in 2013 and 378 million euro bonds due in 2021. "There was high demand in the sale, with a high level of participation of a wide base of investors, and a cost compatible with current market conditions," Portugal's Finance Ministry said.
CNET:
  • Google(GOOG) Launches 'Instant' Search. Google on Wednesday introduced a faster version of its search engine called Google Instant that begins displaying results as soon as users type in queries. The feature, which is being introduced to users in the U.S., most of Europe and Russia can be turned off, however the company says the new interface shaves off 2-5 seconds from user searches since it brings up results nearly as fast as it does for its auto-suggest feature. In fact, it will automatically do a search for the top auto-suggestion before a user has even selected it. Google estimates that if all its users switch over to the instant interface, it will amount to a savings of 11 hours of searching per second.
AppleInsider:
  • Apple(AAPL) Forecast to Sell 28M iPads in 2011, Chipping Away at PC Sales. Apple's competitively priced iPad is expected to reduce sales of low-end notebook PCs in 2011, when consumers are projected to buy at least 28 million of the touchscreen tablet, one analyst believes. Maynard Um with UBS Investment Research issued a note to investors this week, in which he increased his price target for AAPL stock to $350, up from $340. He said there is no evidence that the iPad is having a negative effect on Mac sales, but it is "adversely affecting the PC industry." "Sales of traditional notebooks appear to be feeling pressure from the iPad, causing a scramble by vendors to launch iPad-like tablets," Um wrote. "We believe that a majority of this impact is occurring on the lower end of PC sales as the iPad is priced close enough to this range that it becomes attractive to consumers looking to make purchases within this segment." He continued: "We are not sold that the iPad is purely cannibalizing PC sales, as the functionality of the iPad cannot yet deliver the functionality of notebook PCs. However, consumers who purchase iPads may be more willing to delay purchases and upgrades of existing PCs." Um sees Apple selling 28 million iPads in 2011, a number he cautioned could be "conservative."
Gigaom:
Real Clear Politics:
  • Can You Smell What Obama's Cooking? You may recall Barack Obama claiming that the original stimulus plan didn't need any more tax cuts or "piecemeal" measures. To suggest so was to engage in "politics as usual." And trust me; you don't want to be caught going there. And today? You know what, America? You look as if you're ready for some piecemeal measures and a fake tax cut!
Rasmussen Reports:
Politico:
  • GOP Notches Record Primary Turnout. Democrats are already expected to lose seats in the November midterm elections, but now there's even more bad news for the party that controls Congress and the White House. A study released Tuesday shows Republicans boast a voter turnout record so far this cycle that, compared with Democrats, is unprecedented for a midterm election in the past 80 years. A higher average percentage of Republicans than Democrats turned out for their respective statewide primaries this year for the first time in a midterm election since 1930, according to Curtis Gans, the director of American University's Center for the Study of the American Electorate. The study shows that Republican turnout averaged 10.5 percent in statewide primaries — the highest it has been in a midterm election since 1970. Meanwhile, Democratic turnout was about 8.3 percent in statewide primaries — the lowest percentage on record for an election year in which there was not a presidential contest.
Reuters:
  • Boeing(BA) Not Ruling Out Merger With Rival. Boeing is "actively" looking at potential acquisition opportunities in response to a changing security environment and will not rule out a merger with another large defense contractor, Boeing's head of defense said on Tuesday. Speaking at the Reuters Aerospace and Defense Summit in Washington, Dennis Muilenburg said Boeing continues to look at high-growth areas such as cybersecurity, intelligence and surveillance and unmanned systems for potential deals and will make targeted acquisitions in those areas.
  • OPEC Should Seek $100 Oil Price: Libya. OPEC needs a higher oil price of $100 a barrel because the rising costs of imports such as food have eroded OPEC members' income, Libya's top oil official told Reuters on Wednesday.
  • EADS CEO Says $1.3 Billion M&A Possible. EADS Chief Executive Louis Gallois said EADS is in talks with a few companies in defense, services and security areas for potential deals and could comfortably make an acquisition of around 1 billion euros ($1.3 billion).