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Thursday, May 29, 2014

Today's Headlines

Posted by Gary .....at 3:02 PM
Bloomberg:
  • Rebels Kill 14 Downing Ukraine Chopper as Russia Sees War. Pro-Russian rebels downed a military helicopter in eastern Ukraine, killing 13 troops and a general, as an adviser to President Vladimir Putin accused the U.S. of pushing the world toward war through proxies in Kiev. Insurgents shot down an Mi-8 transport chopper with a shoulder-fired missile amid heavy fighting in Slovyansk, 100 miles (160 kilometers) from the Russian border, Speaker Oleksandr Turchynov told parliament today. They also attacked a military base near Luhansk, according to the National Guard. Russia demanded Ukraine halt its “fratricidal war” and withdraw troops from the mainly Russian-speaking regions of the east after separatists suffered the heaviest casualties of their campaign. Western countries should use their influence to stop Ukraine from “sliding into a national catastrophe,” the Foreign Ministry in Moscow said on its website.
  • Russia Sanctions Threat Seen Abating Amid Recession Risk. Russia is less likely to face further sanctions from the U.S. and the European Union as the government is sending conciliatory signals toward Ukraine, a Bloomberg survey of economists showed. The U.S. will refrain from escalating punitive measures, according to 66 percent of respondents in a survey of 32 economists, compared with 28 percent last month. The EU will hold off on sanctions according to 84 percent, up from 78 percent in April. The probability of the Russian economy slipping into recession in the next 12 months remained at 50 percent, according to the median forecast in a separate survey. 
  • China Threatens Further Action Against U.S. Over Hacking Dispute. China said it will take further action against the U.S. for prosecuting five of its military officers for alleged hacking, saying it has evidence its companies have also been hacked. Online attacks from a “specific country” have targeted Chinese companies, its military and important websites, Ministry of National Defense spokesman Geng Yansheng said. Geng didn’t specify the country in remarks posted on the ministry’s website today in response to a question about the indictment. 
  • Bond Surge Worldwide Drives Index Yield to One-Year Low. A worldwide bond-market surge pushed yields to the lowest levels in a year on growing evidence central banks can keep stimulating economic growth without igniting inflation. Treasury 10-year note yields fell to the least since June. A rally yesterday drove the yield on the Bloomberg Global Developed Sovereign Bond Index to 1.28 percent, the lowest since May 2013. Australia’s (GACGB10) 10-year yield dropped to an 11-month low, Japan’s slid to the least in 12 months, while European bond yields were close to the lowest since the formation of the region’s shared currency. The U.S. sold $29 billion of seven-year notes at the lowest yield since October.
  • Copper Drops From 11-Week High AMid Demand Concerns. Copper fell from an 11-week high in London on signs of slowing economic growth in China and the U.S., the biggest users of the metal. U.S. gross domestic product fell at a 1 percent annualized rate in the first quarter, a bigger drop than economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected, government figures showed today. A purchasing managers index due later this week may show little acceleration this month in Chinese manufacturing after the gauge grew less than estimated in April. Copper has lost 6.4 percent this year amid signs of slowing economies.
  • Obama Seeks Climate Legacy as Coal-State Democrats Cringe. Obama now is set to release new limits on greenhouse gas emissions by power plants as early as next week. That comes atop the unveiling of a National Climate Assessment in May and executive actions including promoting renewable fuels and building better defenses against extreme weather. Liberated from re-election politics, he’s freer to speak about the challenges of a warming planet and is using his bully pulpit to create urgency on an issue that most Americans rank as a low priority, the aides said. The expansive action is alarming some in the business community, who say the administration’s policies will hurt the economy. “This administration is setting up the next energy crisis in this country,” said Laura Sheehan, a spokeswoman for the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity in Washington. “They’re not looking at the long-term consequences.” Obama also faces push-back from some within his own party, who warn that tighter regulations could hamper Democratic candidates in areas where coal is a major source of jobs. Democrats in Kentucky and West Virginia already are distancing themselves from the president’s energy policies, highlighting their opposition to a “war on coal” on the campaign trail. 
  • Consumer Comfort in U.S. Falls to Lowest Level Since November. Consumer confidence declined last week to the lowest level since November as Americans’ views of their finances and the buying climate weakened. The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell to 33.3 in the period ended May 25 from 34.1 the prior week. A measure of personal finances retreated for the third time in four weeks, and a gauge of whether this is a good time to buy goods and services dropped to the lowest point since mid-February.
  • Credit Trader’s Shift to Rates Shows Where Anxieties Lie. Rate derivatives have become more popular than ever for wagering on whether borrowing costs will rise or fall as the Federal Reserve scales back its unprecedented stimulus. The amount of over-the-counter interest-rate swaps has swelled 30 percent since the end of 2009, to a record notional $584.4 trillion as of December, according to a May 23 CME Group Inc. (CME) report. At the same time, the volume of privately negotiated credit-default swaps has plunged to a notional $21 trillion, 64 percent below the peak of $58.2 trillion in December 2007.
Wall Street Journal:
  • DOJ Opened At Least 10 Probes into Bank Processing Activities. 'Operation Choke Point' Disclosed in Government Memo. The U.S. Department of Justice has opened at least 10 civil and criminal investigations into whether banks and payment processing firms helped enable fraudulent activity, according to an internal Justice Department memo viewed by The Wall Street Journal. More than 850 pages of internal documents on the DOJ's probe of alleged fraud in the financial industry were obtained by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee. Ms. Frimpong, in her memo, wrote that the government had the opened civil investigations into 10 banks and payment processors and was in settlement talks with three of them.
  • Doctors' War Stories From VA Hospitals. Administrators limited operating time so that work stopped by 3 p.m. With the recent revelations about the disgraceful treatment of patients by the Veterans Affairs hospitals, the public is discovering what the majority of doctors in this country have long known: The VA health-care system is a disaster.
  • Justice Dept. Seeks More Than $10 Billion Penalty From BNP Paribas. French Bank Faces Criminal Probe of Alleged Sanctions Violations. 
  • Tyson(TSN) Enters Bidding for Hillshire Brands With $6.1 Billion Offer. Proposal Tops Offer Made by JBS's Pilgrim's Pride, Setting Up Meatpacker Slugfest.
MarketWatch.com:
  • Hedge fund assets to hit $5.8 trillion by 2018: Citi survey. The hedge fund industry will double its assets in the next four years to nearly $6 trillion by diversifying products and giving retail investors more access, according to a new survey. Traditional hedge fund clients are high-net-worth individuals, but more and more retail investors will have access to the asset class, according to the latest Citi Investor Services Survey.
Fox News: 
  • Obama under bipartisan pressure to oust Shinseki on heels of IG report. President Obama is coming under heavy pressure from both sides of the aisle following a scathing inspector general report to tackle the problems at the Department of Veterans Affairs head-on -- first, by relieving VA Secretary Eric Shinseki of his command. More than a half-dozen Democratic senators are now calling for Shinseki's resignation, since the Office of Inspector General released an interim report on Wednesday finding "systemic" problems with clinics lying about patient wait times.
CNBC:
  • Politicians fight back as hedge funders ramp up election spending. (video)
  • Fed's Lacker: Expect a positive GDP reversal in the second quarter. (video) Richmond Fed Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker has long called for a narrower and more restrained role for the central bank, arguing that it should shift back to a more traditional and less interventionist role.
  • Ford(F) recalls 915K Ford Escape, Mercury Mariner cars in North America.
ZeroHedge:
  • Meet Directive 3025.18 Granting Obama Authority To Use Military Force Against Civilians.
  • Over A Thousand Soldiers Killed As Ukraine Fighting Escalates, Russian Media Reports.
  • 10Y Treasury Yield Hits 2.40%. (graph)
  • Someone Is Dead Wrong About The Economy.
  • Texas VA Run Like A "Crime Syndicate" Claims Whistleblower.
  • "Pent-Up" Pending Home Sales Demand Missing; Down 9.4% YoY. (graph)
  • US Economy Shrank By 1% In The First Quarter: First Contraction Since 2011. (graph)
  • Initial Claims Drop Near Cycle Low "As Good As It Gets" Levels.
ValueWalk:
  • 500 Largest Hedge Fund Managers Control 90% Of AUM. Preqin Research highlights the 505 hedge fund managers with more than $1bn in AUM currently manage $2.39tn of the industry’s $2.66tn total assets, but account for just 11% of active firms.
  • Derivatives Worldwide Hit 710 Trillion, According To BIS Study. The Bank for International. Settlements (BIS) just published a statistical study on the amount of derivatives worldwide at the end of 2013, and they reach the astronomical amount of $710 Trillions ($710,000,000,000,000). For comparison purposes, the United States GDP in 2013 amounts to $16 Billion, or 44 times less. And this mass of derivatives beats by 20% the preceding record, dating just before the 2008 crisis… We hear a lot about bubbles these days, in the stock market, the bond market or in the commodities market, but this one is without a doubt the greatest one.
Reuters: 
  • Russia tensions to cut emerging market flows -global bank group. Private capital flows to emerging markets are likely to drop to their lowest level in five years in 2014 as money going to Russia dries up due to Moscow's conflict with Ukraine, a global financial industry group forecast on Thursday.
Folha de S.Paulo:
  • Brazil Govt Sees Possibility of 2014 GDP Growth Below 2%. Economic growth has become main concern for govt, citing President Dilma Rousseff's aides it didn't identify. Govt sees possibility of trade deficit this year. Investments may be below 2013 level. Govt sees no room for fiscal expansion to stimulate economy; inflation still high.
0 comments

Bear Radar

Posted by Gary .....at 12:58 PM
Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.05%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Coal -.60% 2) Disk Drives -.51% 3) Restaurants -.45%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • RXN, STON, FN, GNRC, BAH, SC, TOUR, RCAP, REGI, TECD, DG, CPRT, KORS, UNT, CM, ARMK, BOBE, TW, CSTE, MTZ, BWS, ANN, NJR and ENB
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) DG 2) ZTS 3) TWX 4) F 5) ORCL
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) C 2) SLXP 3) DG 4) DLR 5) AWAY
Charts:
  • ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
  • Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume
0 comments

Bull Radar

Posted by Gary .....at 11:47 AM
Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +.23%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Alt Energy +1.26% 2) Gold & Silver +1.19% 3) Tobacco +.96%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • HSH, AMSG, PANW, PLKI, ANIK, ANF, QSII, SZYM, TSN, MELI, CLNE, WB, SUNE, CLVS, SCTY, ANIK and ZOES
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) ACT 2) RSH 3) PANW 4) TSN 5) TLT
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) ANF 2) TSN 3) BIIB 4) AMZN 5) BIIB
Charts:
  • ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume 
  • Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume
0 comments

Thursday Watch

Posted by Gary .....at 12:03 AM
Evening Headlines 
Bloomberg:
  • Russia Urges ‘Emergency Steps’ Over Ukraine After Rebel Losses. Russia called for unspecified “emergency” measures to halt the violence in eastern Ukraine after separatist militias suffered the heaviest casualties of their insurgency. “It’s necessary to take emergency steps to stop the bloodshed and start an inclusive internal Ukrainian dialogue,” Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told his German counterpart Frank-Walter Steinmeier by phone yesterday, according to the ministry’s website. “There’s no excuse” for military action in the southeastern part of the country, Lavrov said. Ukraine stepped up air patrols over the eastern city of Donetsk yesterday as a convoy of pro-Russian rebels moved through the city with an anti-aircraft gun in tow, threatening renewed violence after dozens of militants were killed in a government operation to retake the area’s biggest airport.
  • Free Toasters for China's Depositors? by A. Gary Shilling. In part two of this four-part series, I wrote about China’s shadow banks and the government’s efforts to assert more control over them.
  • Japan Retail Sales Fall at Record Pace After Sales-Tax Rise. Japan’s retail sales dropped at the fastest pace in at least 14 years last month after the first consumption-tax increase since 1997 depressed consumer spending. Sales in April declined 13.7 percent from the previous month, the trade ministry reported today, more than the median forecast of an 11.7 percent decline in a Bloomberg News survey of 11 economists.
  • Thais Say Facebook(FB) Goes Down as Junta Releases Red Shirts. Internet users in Thailand reported temporarily losing access to Facebook Inc. (FB), sparking speculation the social media site had been blocked by the military. At the same time, the junta that seized power a week ago released leaders from the Red Shirt movement opposed to the coup.
  • EU Firms in China Worried About Tech Security, Poll Finds. The European Union Chamber of Commerce in China said its members are concerned about the security of their technology systems in the country, citing a poll conducted after the U.S. indicted five Chinese military officials for allegedly stealing corporate secrets. Eighty of 100 companies responding to a survey are concerned about their information-technology systems in China, while 53 percent are more concerned about security in the country than in other regions, the EU Chamber said in an e-mail. Most members have noticed increased online censorship or slower Internet speeds in China in the past few weeks, according to the survey.
  • Asian Stocks Fall as Japan Retail Sales Slump in April. Asian stocks fell, with the regional benchmark index retreating from a six-month high, as investors weighed a worse-than-estimated drop in Japan’s retail sales before a report that’s expected to show the U.S. economy contracted last quarter. Fast Retailing Co. (9983), Asia’s biggest clothing seller, slipped 1.1 percent in Tokyo. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s No. 1 mining company, dropped 1.6 percent in Sydney as copper futures declined. Samsung Electronics Co., the largest maker of smartphones, climbed 1.5 percent in Seoul after unveiling a prototype health-monitoring wristband. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) lost 0.1 percent to 141.72 as of 9:37 a.m. in Tokyo, after yesterday reaching its highest level since Nov. 29.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • Ziffs Shut Down Hedge Fund, Shift Way Wealth Is Managed. Brothers Had Already Begun Winding Down Other Fund.
  • Lawyers Push to Corral GM Recall Cases. Panel to Rule If Single Court Should Manage Product Liability Suits.
  • Doubling Down on a Muddled Foreign Policy. The president has somehow managed to combine the worst features of isolationism and multilateralism. 
Fox News: 
  • Watchdog finds ‘systemic’ problems at VA, Shinseki faces bipartisan calls to resign. The official watchdog for the Department of Veterans Affairs claimed in a scathing report that the department has a "systemic" problem with clinics lying about patient wait times, as lawmakers on both sides of the aisle joined calls for Secretary Eric Shinseki to resign.
  • Lawmakers and interest groups clash as Obama prepares to announce performance standard for power plants. Lawmakers and Washington interest groups are engaged in a battle over whether looming EPA rules will help or hurt as President Obama prepares to announce a highly anticipated performance standard for power plants June 2.
CNBC:
  • Apple(AAPL) to acquire Beats Electronics for $3 billion. (video) Apple will acquire headphone maker Beats Electronics for $3 billion, Apple said on Wednesday. The deal is expected to close in the fiscal fourth quarter. Apple will pay $2.6 billion in cash and another $400 million in equity. It will also continue to use the Beats brand. 
  • China's millionaire machine slows. (video) China's millionaire machine has slowed, suggesting that the country's economic weakness is reaching the top of the economy.
Zero Hedge:
  • What Happened The Last Time Bonds & Stocks Were So Disconnected? (graph)
  • Chart Of The Day: Global Youth Unemployment.
  • NYPD Prepares To Use Drones As CA License Plate Readers Stir Controversy.
  • Commuters Herded Like Cattle As China Escalates Its Own "War On Terror".
  • Bacon Prices To Soar Even More: The Pig Diarrhea Virus Is Back For Round Two.
Business Insider:
  • A Staggering 2.1 Billion People Worldwide Are Overweight Or Obese.
  • Putin's Invitation To A World War II Ceremony Has Western Leaders Freaking Out.
  • Microsoft's(MSFT) CEO Blew It At The Code Conference, Industry Insiders Whisper.
Reuters:
  • Brazil pauses interest rate hikes despite high inflation. Brazil left its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, pausing one of the world's longest-running tightening cycles to avoid choking its weakening economy despite high inflation. In a unanimous decision, the central bank's monetary policy committee, known as Copom, kept its Selic rate at 11 percent, breaking a streak of nine consecutive hikes as expected by a majority of analysts and market traders.
  • Palo Alto(PANW) revenue rises 49 pct, settles lawsuits with Juniper. Cyber security software maker Palo Alto Networks Inc reported a better-than-expected 49 percent jump in quarterly revenue as it added more customers, and said it settled patent litigation with network gear maker Juniper Networks Inc.
Obama takes on coal with first-ever carbon limits
Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/20130919_ap_0f857b20e0c144a5a1e1b9dddc9f9d72.html#YRThyDOhArykUeYy.99
Telegraph:
  • Europe has an even bigger crisis on its hands than British a exit. British people will vote to leave the EU unless offered a new dispensation, writes Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.
The Australian: 
  • Iron ore price slips further. The iron ore price has fallen further as fears over weakened steel demand in China continue to weigh on the commodity. Benchmark iron ore for immediate delivery to the port of Tianjin in China is trading at $US96.80 a tonne, down from $US98.10 in the previous session. Last week the iron ore price crashed through the $US100 a tonne mark for the first time in nearly two years and it currently sits at its lowest point since September 13, 2012 when it traded at $US96.10 a tonne. Credit Suisse this week warned that even if iron ore manages some stability in the near term -- or even modest gains -- the second half of the year is likely to see the commodity price fall below 2012's low of $US87 a tonne.
Shanghai Securities News:
  • China Asks Banks to Control Worsening Bad Loan. Chinese regulator asked banks to control worsening ratios of outstanding bad loans and conduct stress tests. The regulator said in an internal meeting that banks asset risks are "under control" while spreading to different regions and industries, the report said.
Evening Recommendations
  • None of note
Night Trading
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 110.50 -4.5 basis points.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 80.25 -.75 basis point.
  • FTSE-100 futures +.15%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures  +.03%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

Company/Estimate
  • (TECD)/.92
  • (SAFM)/1.70
  • (BNNY)/.34
  • (PLL)/.83
  • (LGF)/.43
  • (BLOX)/.03
  • (ESL)/1.30
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • 1Q GDP is estimated to fall -.5% versus a prior estimate of a +.1% gain.
  • 1Q Personal Consumption is estimated to rise +3.1% versus a prior estimate of a +3.0% gain.
  • 1Q GDP Price Index is estimated to rise +1.3% versus a prior estimate of a +1.3% increase.
  • 1Q Core PCE is estimated to rise +1.3% versus a prior estimate of a +1.3% increase.
  • Initial Jobless Claims are estimated to fall to 318K versus 326K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 2650K versus 2653K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales for April are estimated to rise +1.0% versus a +3.4% gain in March.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -118,180 barrels versus a -7,226,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by 190,910 barrels versus a 970,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate supplies are estimated to rise by +445,450 barrels versus a +3,399,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.33% versus a -.1% decline the prior week.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Pianalto speaking, Fed's Mester speaking, Japan CPI, $29B 7Y T-Note auction, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the (AKS) annual meeting could impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.
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Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Transport/Energy Sector Strength

Posted by Gary .....at 3:44 PM
Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.65 +1.22%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.57 -.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.07 +.14%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.47 -.04%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 -22.31%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +28.17%
  • NYSE Arms 1.05 -5.41% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.59 +.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.75 -2.47%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 35.05 -1.39%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.43 +.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 252.89 -3.24%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 346.0 -.27%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 -3.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 19.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.5 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 207.0 -10.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $96.80/Metric Tonne -1.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 1.90 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -19.30 +1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -22 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long
0 comments

Today's Headlines

Posted by Gary .....at 2:58 PM
Bloomberg: 
  • Ukrainian Jets Circle Donetsk as Rebels Regroup After Rout. Ukraine stepped up air patrols over Donetsk as a convoy of pro-Russian rebels moved through the city with an anti-aircraft gun in tow, threatening renewed violence after clashes left dozens dead. Mayor Oleksandr Lukyanchenko urged residents of the central part of the city of 1 million people to stay indoors and away from their windows after shots were fired near the local headquarters of the State Security Service. The train of insurgents included two armored personnel carriers, the mayor’s spokesman, Maksym Rovinskyi, said by phone from Donetsk.
  • German Unemployment Unexpectedly Rises as Growth to Slow. German unemployment unexpectedly increased for the first time in six months amid signs of a slowdown in Europe’s largest economy that could weigh on the fragile euro-area recovery. The number of people out of work rose a seasonally adjusted 23,937 to 2.905 million in May, the Nuremberg-based Federal Labor Agency said today. Economists forecast a decline of 15,000, according to the median of 31 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. 
  • Fed’s Junk-Loan Caution Spurs Creative Accounting Alchemy. Lenders are increasingly allowing junk-rated borrowers to adjust their earnings to make them look more creditworthy as U.S. regulators increase pressure on banks to refrain from underwriting too-risky deals. Such tweaks, which are permissible under more and more credit agreements, can help companies stay in compliance with their loan terms or to raise debt. More than half of loans this year for issuers backed by private-equity firms allow them to boost earnings by an unlimited amount through projected cost savings from acquisitions and “any other action contemplated by the borrower,” said Vince Pisano, an analyst at Xtract Research LLC, citing a sample he’s reviewed. Riskier borrowers may have more incentive to show better financial metrics because the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency are increasing pressure on banks to adhere to underwriting criteria they laid out last year amid concern that the market is getting frothy. Issuers such as Thoma Bravo LLC’s TravelClick Inc. have used adjustments, called add-backs, to raise earnings and decrease leverage when seeking funding.
  • Goldman’s Kostin Sees Hedge Funds Playing in Shrinking Sand Box. Here’s the problem facing hedge funds investing in the stock market this year, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief equity strategist David Kostin: the sand box they like to play in has gotten a lot smaller. For example, equity hedge fund managers tend to have about a quarter of their investments in consumer-discretionary stocks, Kostin told Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle on Bloomberg Television’s “Market Makers” program today. The dispersion of returns within that group is too small for managers on the prowl for stocks to buy or short, Kostin said.
Wall Street Journal: 
  • China Urges Local Governments to Spend. Beijing Will Take Back Any Unspent Money. China's Finance Ministry said on Wednesday it has asked local governments to speed up spending on infrastructure and other budgeted investments to give sluggish economic growth a shot in the arm.
    Some spending has been relatively slow this year and budgeted funds must reach all local governments by the end of June, the Ministry of Finance said in a statement on its website. If local governments fail to spend the funds without a good reason by the end of September, Beijing will take the unspent money back, the ministry warned. "Certain difficulties [in the economy] cannot be underestimated," the ministry said, pledging to give fiscal spending a larger role in boosting economic growth. "[Local governments] must speed up spending on infrastructure construction projects and make spending materialize as soon as possible," said the statement dated May 21. Over the first four months of the year, China's fiscal spending was up 9.6% year over year, down from an increase of 13.6% over the same period last year, data from the finance ministry showed.
  • Japan Lower House Staff: Casino Bill Won't Be Discussed This Month. Lawmakers Believe It Will Be Difficult for Casino Bill To Get Passed During Current Session.
  • Iron-Ore Prices Unlikely to Rise Soon, NDRC Says. China's Top Economic Planning Agency Blames Flood of Supply. Iron-ore prices are unlikely to rise over the next three months from their current trough, the lowest in nearly two years, China's top economic planning agency said Wednesday. Prices for the mineral, which is forged into steel, depend almost entirely on demand from China, the world's second-largest economy, which consumes two thirds of global ore supply and makes nearly half the world's steel.
  • 'Serious Conditions' at Phoenix Veterans Affairs Office, Watchdog Says. The Phoenix VA Health Care System failed to properly schedule care for its patients, according to an interim report by the inspector general of the Department of Veterans Affairs. Accusations of delayed or denied care appointments have led to calls for an investigation of the department and the resignation of Veterans Affairs Secretary Eric Shinseki. The interim report cited "substantiated serious conditions" in the Phoenix... 
  • New Global Accounting Rules to Affect How Companies Book Revenue. Change Affects When Firms Record Sales; Software Makers Could Do So Sooner, Auto Makers Later.
MarketWatch.com:
  • 43% call Obamacare ‘mostly negative’ for America. When asked to think about their health insurance situation and their ability to access quality health care, just 12% of Americans felt better about this than they did last year, while 20% felt worse, according to a survey released Wednesday by Bankrate.com . And many think that could be due to Obamacare: Almost two out of three Americans don’t think the Affordable Care Act has had a positive impact on American lives, with 43% saying they think the ACA has had a mostly negative impact and 21% saying they think it hasn’t made much, if any, impact. Fewer than one-third of Americans (28% to be exact) say that the ACA has had a mostly positive impact, according to the survey, which polled a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the U.S., some of whom had Obamacare and others who didn’t. “The administration is saying it’s a big success, but the negative feelings are strong still and entrenched,” says Bankrate.com insurance analyst Doug Whiteman.
  • Looming EPA ‘war on coal’ draws business backlash.
CNBC:
  • BlackRock(BLK) CEO says leveraged ETFs could 'blow up' whole industry. BlackRock Chief Executive Larry Fink said on Wednesday that leveraged exchange-traded funds contain structural problems that could "blow up" the whole industry one day. 
  • Treasury yields dip to new 2014 lows. (video)
ZeroHedge:
  • Thank You Record Stock Buybacks: Median CEO Comp Rises Over $10 Million For First Time.
  • "Euphoria".
  • Mary Meeker Warns "Certainly Some Valuation Excess" In Her Latest 'State Of The Internet' Presentation.
  • The Malinvestment Boom In Coders. (graph)
  • 7Y Treasury Yield Drops Below 2%. (graph)
  • France Hikes Taxes, "Wildly Inaccurate Projections" Hilarity Ensues.
Business Insider:
  • Chechen Militants Are Now Spreading Chaos In Ukraine.
  • Mortgage Rates Fell, Purchase Applications Fell, Refinancings Fell. (graph)
Real Clear Politics:
  • Get Ready For the Subprime Mortgage Crack-Up 2.0. Earlier this month the following headline appeared in the Wall Street Journal: "U.S. Backs Off Tight Mortgage Rules: In Reversal, Administration [HUD/FHA] and Fannie, Freddie Regulator Push to Make More Credit Available to Boost Housing Recovery." Clearly memories as to the causes of the recent housing market collapse are short. Indeed, political pressures are once again increasing on the private sector to degrade sound lending practices.
Reuters:
  • French jobless total hits new high in April. The number of people without a job in France rose by 14,800 in April to a new record, undermining President Francois Hollande's campaign to bring unemployment down. 
  • Russia's Lavrov warns of "fratricidal war" in Ukraine. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on Wednesday accused the West of pushing Ukraine into a "fratricidal war" and repeated Moscow's calls for an end to the interim Ukrainian government's military action against pro-Russian separatists. Lavrov's remarks were in line with frequent Russian statements placing blame on the United States and EU for the turmoil in Ukraine, where government forces killed dozens of rebels in the eastern Donetsk province on Monday and Tuesday.
Telegraph:
  • Investor greed putting financial stability at risk, warns ECB. Search for higher returns on investments creates risk of "sharp and disorderly unwinding", warns European Central Bank.
CCTV:
  • China's Li Says Global Economy Recovery Faces Uncertainty. China Premier Li reiterated China's proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy.
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