Friday, January 27, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*


Indices
  • S&P 500 2,293.31 +.97%
  • DJIA 20,085.97 +1.32%
  • NASDAQ 5,657.77 +1.84%
  • Russell 2000 1,370.79 +1.37%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 37.89 +1.75%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 121.27 +.43%
  • Wilshire 5000 23,848.0 +1.04%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,094.83 +1.23%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,115.87 +.73%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 537.45 -.38%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.3113 +1.34%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 1,306.08 +2.73%
  • Transports 9,437.37 +2.29%
  • Utilities 656.63 -.25%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 96.24 +2.38%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 37.28 +2.25%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,173.35 +.71%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 995.47 +.49%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 279,272 +1.15%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 756 +522
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 21.21 -44.53%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 464,678 +7.18%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,179,122 +3.05%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -2.02%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.55 +91.46%
  • ISE Sentiment 74.0 -2.60%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 +26.58%
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.53 -10.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.24 -7.86%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.20 -2.11%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.78 -2.18%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,375.34 +.62%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.686 Trillion +.74%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$1.237 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 31.6 -14.7%
  • AAII % Bears 33.5 +2.5%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 193.14 -.59%
  • Crude Oil 52.89 +.99%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 152.40 -2.67%
  • Natural Gas 3.42 +3.84%
  • Heating Oil 161.01 -2.47%
  • Gold 1,189.0 -1.93%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 176.55 +.94%
  • Copper 268.80 +2.73%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 279.33 USD/Ton +.6%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 83.34 USD/Ton +3.64%
  • Lumber 329.0 +.77%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,185.79 -.84%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.9% +10.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +11.9% -10.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1108 -13.71%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 132.37 +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.80 -8.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 51.0 -12.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.50 +1.0 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 85.5% chance of no change 14.5% chance of 25 basis point hike on 2/1
  • US Dollar Index 100.61 -.17%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,534.23 +.46%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.56 +.36%
  • Yield Curve 127.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.48% +1.0 basis point
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.414 Trillion -.18%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.55 -11.46%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 405.0 -.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 21.82 +5.01%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 32.46 -5.64%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 76.25 -3.14%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.0 +1.5%
  • Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 703.42 unch.
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 183.75 +.13%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.41 +.26%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.07% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 53.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.75 -2.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -37.5 +3.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 64.36 -2.26%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 404.0 -5.86%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 86.81 +1.29%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 235.03 -1.17%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 133.50 +.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.411 Trillion +.63%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 963.20 -.4%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 245,500 -1,250
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.5% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.19% +10.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 397.40 +3.98%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 45.2 unch.
  • Weekly Retail Sales +.5% -10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.29/gallon -.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 840.0 -9.2%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 876.10 +4.25%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 -10.0%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 267,803 +1.82%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +1.4%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +.8%
Leading Sectors
  • Homebuilders +6.9%
  • Computer Hardware +5.4%
  • Construction +3.9%
  • Semis +3.1%
  • Road & Rail +3.1%
Lagging Sectors
  • Energy -.6% 
  • REITs -.7%
  • Airlines -1.7%
  • Retail -1.7%
  • Oil Service -2.6%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (30)
  • ATI, CRR, CDZI, MPSX, STX, IIVI, AVHI, SWKS, OLED, XXIA, RCL, BNCN, NEWR, VIRT, HZO, EXP, PNFP, ROK, SYNA, MSA, CHTR, RMD, FLW, PSTB, MGI, MDP, SHW, MRCY, CARO and MGEE
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (14)
  • PETS, DISH, WHR, ENLC, VRTS, WU, CVLT, TDG, HZN, ENTL, WRLD, BMY, QCOM and VIVO
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on US Economic Data, Oil Decline, Profit-Taking, Energy/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.52 -1.03%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.54 +.58%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.78 +1.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.15 +2.97%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 -21.28%
  • Total Put/Call .97 +11.49%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 -25.41%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.17 +.29%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 404.0 +.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.13 +1.72%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.81 +2.54%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.29 -1.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 234.76 -.82%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.41 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 53.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -37.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.37 +.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 127.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $83.34/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.80 n/a
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 51.0 n/a
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.50 n/a
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.07 unch.
  • 36.3% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 50.4% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +33 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +124 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Small-Cap Value -.6%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Oil Service -1.9% 2) Airlines -1.7% 3) Homebuilders -1.4%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • KEYW, EEP, CL, KTWO, PFPT, APD, SYNA, SYNA, SBUX, PYPL, UIS, JBLU, CAFD, MIC, AAL, EMN, MTZ, TCB and RHI
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) JBLU 2) SBUX 3) APD 4) ESRX 5) LUV
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) CAFD 2) SHOR 3) JBLU 4) WHR 5) ISCA
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth unch.
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Gaming +2.6% 2) Software +1.1% 3) Medical Equipment +1.1%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • HZN, MRCY, CLS, LRN, MXIM, OSIS, VMW, WYNN, CRR, BCR, FLEX, ISBC, ABAX, TWI, KLAC, PRIM, MAT, GD, USLV, RYAM, DVMT, OSIS, ISBC, POL, WTW, RRC, ASH, RTN and TKR
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) APD 2) TXT 3) JNPR 4) MXIM 5) FTNT
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) KLAC 2) VMW 3) MXIM 4) WYNN 5) CAT
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index: