Friday, December 15, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 Index 2,678.28 +1.0%
















   
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 24,675.40 +1.42%
  • NASDAQ 6,939.70 +1.44%
  • Russell 2000 1,535.73 +.88%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 42.07 +.41%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 140.86 +1.32%
  • Wilshire 5000 27,688.90 +.94%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,357.86 +1.18%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,219.40 +.69%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 588.61 +1.31%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.4194 +1.20%
  • NYSE Technology 1,717.68 +1.73%
  • Transports 10,421.45 +.24%
  • Utilities 755.18 -.30%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 99.86 -.79%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 46.08 +.74%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,252.57 -.22%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,005.20 -.47%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 310,124 -.04%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 155 +164
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 37.8 +31.0%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 611,128 +.21%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,554,224 +2.62%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 +15.79%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.66 -32.65%
  • ISE Sentiment 69.0 -33.33%
  • NYSE Arms .70 +26.92%
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.44 -1.25%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.42 +2.37%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.04 -6.17% 
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.59 -3.77%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 20,224.15 -.24%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.841 Trillion +1.20%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$9.284 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 45.0 +22.0%
  • AAII % Bears 28.1 -17.8%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 184.50 -.35%
  • Crude Oil 57.29 -.16%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 166.44 -2.68%
  • Natural Gas 2.59 -6.38%
  • Heating Oil 191.0 -1.30%
  • Gold 1,257.40 +.58%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 198.85 +2.51%
  • Copper 313.25 +4.98%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 264.66 USD/Metric Tonne -2.45%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 515.50 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes +4.99%
  • Lumber 432.0 +.84%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 986.69 -1.69%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.3% +40.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.5% +60.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .2959 -3.36% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 80.45 -10.44%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 145.03 +.28%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 72.2 +7.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 70.30 +10.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .5 -8.2 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 86.0% chance of no change, 14.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 1/31
  • US Dollar Index 93.94 -.08%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,648.13 +.28%
  • Bitcoin/USD 17,667.40 +12.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.04 -.71%
  • Yield Curve 52.25 -6.25 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.37% -1.0 basis point
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.413 Trillion +.36%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 23.76 unch.
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 252.13 -25.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 3.34 -3.05%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 13.65 -4.08%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 39.83 -7.49%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 58.84 +1.08%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 55.0 -4.08%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 125.45 -4.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.60 -.20%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89% -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.75 +2.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -60.75  -13.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.43 -1.31%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 379.0 +1.41%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 46.95 +2.20%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 126.12 -28.41%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 161.0 +1.0 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.659 Trillion +.56%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,049.80 -.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 234,750 -6,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% -10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.93% -1.0 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 398.80 -2.33%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 51.3 -1.0 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.20% +20.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.45/gallon -.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,668.0 -2.0%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 764.43 +.17%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 292,793 +.12%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +1.0%
Worst Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Value -.1%
Leading Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +4.3%
  • Social Media +1.9%
  • Software +1.7%
  • Computer Hardware +1.7%
  • Internet +1.6%
Lagging Sectors
  • Utilities -.5% 
  • Homebuilders -.8%
  • Robotics -.8%
  • Road & Rail -.9%
  • Retail -1.3%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (21)
  • SIEB, FNSR, CLXT, LNCE, KMG, CUTR, NX, NDSN, GLYC, VRX, GHDX, GNK, PRO, EGOV, BLUE, CLDR, ATNX, ATRA, MDB, BPMC and RPXC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (16)
  • IRM, MCB, COO, UTL, CGBD, GBT, AOBC, OKTA, PRTY, ABM, CASY, BRS, JOUT, JUNO, LJPC and ONCE
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Tax Reform Hopes, Economic Optimism, Earnings Outlooks, Retail/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.37 -10.68%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.03 +.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.59 -.91%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.56 -1.62%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 69.0 -34.91%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 +32.50%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -51.96%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.30 -.85%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 378.0 -.06%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 47.06 +.2%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.33 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.60 -1.73%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 125.76 -.36%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.60 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 -1.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.75 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -99.0 -21.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.20 +.26%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.31% unch.
  • Yield Curve 52.0 -1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 515.50 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes +5.96%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 72.20 -2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 70.30 -1.7 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .5 -1.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 unch.
  • 70.8% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 73.3% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +192 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +39 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long