Friday, December 13, 2019

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 3,169.01 +.76%

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 28,127.75 +.42%
  • NASDAQ 8,736.80 +.95%
  • Russell 2000 1,635.09 +.24%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 45.40 +2.66%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 155.36 -.10%
  • Wilshire 5000 32,393.24 +.62%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,729.53 +.72%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,326.48 +.62%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 641.93 +.23%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,1120.49 +.45%
  • NYSE Technology 2,085.61 +2.27%
  • Transports 10,773.10 +.68%
  • Utilities 856.97 +.18%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 77.94 +3.57%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 44.43 +2.86%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,266.04 +.32%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 961.23 -.1%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 387,290 +1.06%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,042 +1,004
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 42.9 +1.78%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 428,035 -9.11%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,163,757 -1.07%
  • Total Put/Call 1.01 +12.5%
  • OEX Put/Call .34 -12.82%
  • ISE Sentiment 96.0 -23.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.33 +61.64%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.09 -3.45%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.61 -.05%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 5.65 -2.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.69 -1.62%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 15,092.93 +.74%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $3.619 Trillion +1.1%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$3.255 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 37.6 +18.6%
  • AAII % Bears 26.1 -10.6%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 183.80 +1.37%
  • Crude Oil 60.07 +1.35%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 166.23 +.7%
  • Natural Gas 2.32 -2.47%
  • Heating Oil 198.72 +1.46%
  • Gold 1,482.0 +1.13%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 176.11 +3.26%
  • Copper 278.20 +1.31%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 294.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.38%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.24%
  • Lumber 403.40 -1.70%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 882.91 +1.78%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +1.95% -1.0 basis point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +2.2% -20.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 30.0% -9.1%
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.2755 -1.92%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 797.49 +297.31%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 176.52 +.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.5 -17.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -9.0 +14.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.60 +.4 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate cut on 1/29
  • US Dollar Index 97.19 -.48%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,643.15 +.51%
  • Bitcoin/USD 7,251.84 -2.68%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.22 +1.21%
  • Yield Curve 22.0 unch.
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.82% -2.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.057 Trillion +.74%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 13.73 +.70%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 158.775 +.99%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 154.75 -9.0 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.90 -8.47%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 101.04 -14.5%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.18 -8.47%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.79 -2.98%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.99 -18.1%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 166.59 -.77%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72% +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.25 -3.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 2.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.75 -.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 48.09 -3.51%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 613.0 -5.88%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.16 -4.52%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 185.69 -7.37%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.972 Trillion -.06%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,139.4 +.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 214,000 -3,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.73% +5.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 532.10 +3.84%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 62.1 +.4 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +5.0% -30.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.59/gallon unch.
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,388 -10.9%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 825.57 -1.25%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 60.0 +9.09%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 268,956 +21.3%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +.7%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -.1%
Leading Sectors
  • Gaming +4.8%
  • Oil Service +4.6%
  • Gold & Silver +4.6%
  • Semis +4.4%
  • Computer Hardware +3.6%
Lagging Sectors
  • Foods -.8% 
  • Healthcare Providers -1.0%
  • Tobacco -1.6%
  • Telecom -1.6%
  • REITs -3.5%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (15)
  • TGTX, SYNA, TTMI, ACA, BLUE, PSNL, PFNX, ADBE, LEVI, MAT, TTD, ENPH, RCKT, CNP and XPER
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (8)
  • COTY, PLCE, OPI and NXGN
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on China Trade Deal Announcement, UK Election Outcome, Global Growth Optimism, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.3 -4.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.21 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.69 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.68 -1.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 +4
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 +42.86%
  • NYSE Arms 1.23 +112.0%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 47.92 -.42%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 613.0 -3.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.84 -3.42%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 154.75 +4.5 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 60.70 -3.4%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 185.54 -1.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 166.59 -.25%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 2.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.25 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.75 +6.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.13 +.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .23 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.53%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.5 -5.5 basis points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 9.0 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.6 -1.4 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72 -1.0 basis point
  • 9.2% chance of Fed rate cut at March 18th meeting, 22.6% chance of cut at April 29th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -113 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -56 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +33 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Small-Cap Value -.5%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Homebuilders -1.7% 2) REITs -1.2% 3) Utilities -.5%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • PLCE, OPI, FTSV, PHR, NXGN, ASMB and ATNX
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) EXPR 2) MAS 3) SPPI 4) GIS 5) PPL
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) OIS 2) TREE 3) VCTR 4) HBI 5) PTEN
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Construction +.9% 2) Software +.9% 3) Homebuilding +.8%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • SRPT, TGTX, SATS, PFNX, CYTK, SYNA, TTMI, DDOG, ACA, RPD, MAXR, PPL, ADBE, PSNL, CARA, BLUE, MAT, RCKT, SNAP, RUBY, CHWY, ENPH, XPER, APPN and EVOP
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) SRPT 2) ADM 3) REGI 4) EWW 5) ADBE
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) ADBE 2) SRPT 3) SNAP 4) BIIB 5) MRTX
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index: