Tuesday, September 02, 2025

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value -1.0%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Gold & Silver +2.1% 2) Biotech +1.4% 3) Shipping +.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • MLYS, CYTK, UTHR, IONS, MUX, ARWR, JOYY, DK, IREN, DRD, HMY, ONC, ULTA, QXO, DOOO, INSM, UPB, PTCT, BEKE, AGI, PRCH, LI, CROX, VERA, GMAB, BIIB, AU, LQDA, SKE, GFI and SBH
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) BAX 2) MANU 3) VLY 4) CYTK 5) ETHZ
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) MLYS 2) IONS 3) CYTK 4) KWM 5) HUM
Sector ETFs With Most Positive Money Flow:
  • 1) FDN 2) SMH 3) EUAD 4) IYW 5) PSI
Charts:

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (CPB)/.56
  • (DLTR)/.42
  • (M)/.19
  • (REVG)/.63 
  • (PLAY)/.94
  • (VRNT)/.26 
After the Close: 
  • (AEO)/.20
  • (ASAN)/.05
  • (AI)/-.21
  • (CRDO)/.36
  • (DSGX)/.43
  • (GTLB)/.16
  • (HPE)/.42
  • (PD)/.20
  • (CRM)/2.78 
Economic Releases 

10:00 am EST

  • JOLTS Job Openings for July is estimated to fall to 7392K versus 7437K in June. 
  • Factory Orders for July is estimated to fall -1.3% versus a -4.8% decline in June.
  • Final Durable Goods Orders readings for July. 

2:00 pm EST

  • Fed's Beige Book report release.

Afternoon

  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Aug. is estimated to fall to 16.1M versus 16.41M in July. 

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Musalem speaking, Fed's Kashkari speaking, weekly US retail sales reports, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, Cit TMT Conference, Goldman Retailing Conference, Keefe Bruyette Woods Insurance Conference and the UBS Business Services/Leisure/Transport Conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +1.2% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.5 -6.7
  • 10 Sectors Declining, 1 Sector Rising
  • 26.8% of Issues Advancing, 70.9% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms .68 -10.5% 
  • Non-Block Money Flow -$250.1M
  • 62 New 52-Week Highs, 15 New Lows
  • 59.1% (-2.3%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 56.6 -2.9
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 78.3 -2.5%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 253.5 -.7%
  • Morgan Stanley Growth vs Value Index 158.47 -.5%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 60.0 (GREED) -4.0
  • 1-Day Vix 10.9 -5.5%
  • Vix 18.6 +15.5%
  • Total Put/Call .94 -58.6%

Monday, September 01, 2025

Tuesday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business 
  • @Zerohedge  
  • @CNBC
  • @FoxNews  
  • @chrisbrunet
  • @ElectionWiz
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @jjauthor
  • President Trump urges us to tag @LeaderJohnThune and demand the Senate pass: A. Watermarked paper ballots. B. Same-day voting. C. Voter photo ID. D. Proof of citizenship. E. Election Day holiday. F. Hand counting. G. All of the above. Now or we are doomed. Pass it on - until it is law! Why do democrats hate an honest election? No more mail in ballots!!
  • @newstart_2024
  • @Inevitablewest
  • @GenFlynn
  • @TaraBull808
  • @KobeissiLetter
  • @TheChiefNerd
  • @EricLDaugh
  • HOLY CRAP: A scandal is erupting in MICHIGAN after state Republican lawmakers found that 4,277 phantom jobs were created and "funded" by Democrat leaders - "You guys realize what a scandal this is?" $5 BILLION in fraud or abuse found. "People should be prosecuted for taking money that was appropriated to higher employees and using that money for another purpose entirely. There are programs in there that DONT EVEN EXIST, and they're funding them!" (video)
  • @toobaffled
  • Pfizer’s Experimental Hendra mRNA Vaccine Sparks Wave of Sudden, Agonizing Horse Deaths. Horse owners across Australia are raising the alarm after a disturbing pattern of sudden deaths in animals recently injected with the Hendra vaccine. Despite repeated assurances from regulators and drug giant Zoetis—the former animal health arm of Pfizer—the equine community says the truth can no longer be ignored. Healthy horses are collapsing and dying in agony within days of the shot.
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.25 -.75 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 43.75 +.25 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 101.85 USD/Metric Tonne +.2%.
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.90 -.1% 
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.46 -.04%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 80.2 -.04%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.25% +2.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 19.3 -1.3%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.15%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.10%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly  higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

Sunday, August 31, 2025

Today's Headlines

Around X:

  • @Business
  • @Zerohedge 
  • @MarioNawful
  • WOKE ISN’T DEAD: HARVARD STUDY KILLED FOR BEING FACTUAL. A Harvard grad student did what nobody else had... ran the first data-driven study on the rise in gender dysphoria. The response? A top journal rejected it. Not for flawed methods or bad data, but for using the term "natal sex" instead of "sex assigned at birth." Apparently, the language police now outrank peer reviewers. This isn’t just political correctness. It’s science bowing to ideology instead of fixing its own broken culture. Woke isn't dead after all.
  • @BarronsOnline
  • Had bullish commentary on (VRT) and (APTV).
  • @CNBC
  • @GatewayPundit 
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @amuse
  • @newstart_2024
  • @C_3C_3
  • @FirstSquawk
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • This is demonic… HOMESCHOOL! Governor JB Pritzker just signed a bill into law, making Illinois the first state to MANDATE universal mental health screenings for public school students in grades 3 through 12. The screenings aim to identify signs of anxiety, depression, or trauma… and they promote something called the BEACON portal, developed with the Google Public Sector to send families to behavioral health services. What will happen, they will scare the hell out of parents, where they will be told their children will commit suicide if they don’t get their anxiety or depression taken care of. It’s not about helping these children, it’s about creating lifelong customers at an early age.. (video)
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