Monday, September 08, 2025

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Value -.4%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Telecom -1.5% 2) Airlines -1.4% 3) Oil Service -1.4%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • JACK, SBAC, CMG, KDP, AMT, CCI, KGS, PHR, SION, BHVN, ASTS, ALKS, NEGG, GLNG, VIST, SKYW, NAMS, BNTX, NX, BRBR, IRDM, PRAX, IDYA, YPF, PAM, IGS, GGAL, BMA and SMMT
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) AES 2) GGAL 3) PL 4) RBRK 5) YPF
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) NFE 2) DOW 3) REPL 4) BHVN 5) SLQT
Sector ETFs With Most Negative Money Flow:
  • 1) XLF 2) SOXX 3) XLE 4) KIE 5) FDN

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Growth +.6%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Video Gaming +2.5% 2) AI/Innovation +2.1% 3) Shipping +1.9%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • DNTH, GSAT, CNTA, SATS, GOOS, ALAB, HOOD, HL, HIPO, STNG, APP, LIF, ASX, CTNM, BBNX, HROW, CPNG, OPRA, WAY, ADUR, INOD, BBW, NTNX, HSAI, STOK, FTAI, ROOT, ETSY, QTWO, SUPX, TRML, PINC, NTES, CRWV, JANX, STVN, RBRK, BIDU, JANX, BTSG, BBBY, VG, APPN, NE, MLYS, CGON, SOUN, MDGL, CLDX, XPEV, GCT, BRZE, SPHR, GTLB, TRU, CRDO, GILT, U, BMNR, GFI, PAAS, JD, HMY, BABA, DOOO, ASC and VEEV
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) LDI 2) GSAT 3) PL 4) RR 5) ETHZ
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) PL 2) HOOD 3) APP 4) QS 5) SWVL
Sector ETFs With Most Positive Money Flow:
  • 1) IGV 2) IBB 3) XLP 4) XLV 5) IXP
Charts:

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (MOMO)/1.94
  • (KFY)/1.24 
  • (CNM)/.78
  • (SAIL)/.04 
After the Close: 
  • (AVAV)/.33
  • (CVGW)/.54
  • (GME)/.19
  • (ORCL)/1.48
  • (RBRK)/-.34
  • (SNPS)/3.8 
Economic Releases 

6:00 am EST

  • The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Aug. is estimated to rise to 100.5 versus 100.3 in July. 

10:00 am EST

  • The preliminary benchmark payrolls revision for 2025 is estimated at -700K versus -818K in 2024. 

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The 3Y T-Note auction, weekly US retail sales reports, BofA Real Estate Conference, Morgan Stanley Healthcare Conference, B. Riley Consumer/TMT Conference, Piper Growth Frontiers Conference, UBS Financials Conference, Wolf TMT Conference, (NKE) annual meeting and the Goldman Communacopia/Tech Conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +11.3% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.8 -.5
  • 7 Sectors Declining, 4 Sectors Rising
  • 47.1% of Issues Advancing, 51.0% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms 1.32 -2.2% 
  • Non-Block Money Flow -$53.6M
  • 120 New 52-Week Highs, 26 New Lows
  • 59.9% (-1.7%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 60.8 +1.2
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 79.9 -.9%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 257.9 +.94%
  • Morgan Stanley Growth vs Value Index 162.9 +1.7%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 52.0 (NEUTRAL) -1.0
  • 1-Day Vix 8.0 -20.4%
  • Vix 15.3 +.9%
  • Total Put/Call .72 unch.

Sunday, September 07, 2025

Monday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business 
  • @Zerohedge  
  • @CNBC
  • @MarioNawful
  • BREAKING: UNDERSEA CABLE CUTS DISRUPT INTERNET IN SOUTH ASIA. Several international fiber-optic cables in the Red Sea have been severed, triggering major internet outages across parts of Pakistan and India. The Red Sea is a critical choke point for global data traffic, carrying much of South Asia’s international connectivity.
  • @RodDMartin
  • @Defence_Index
  • @newstart_2024
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @DrAseemMalhotra
  • @MDBreathe
  • @EYakoby
  • @pulte
  • @disclosetv
  • NOW - MAHA Chief Medical Advisor claims evidence based medicine has become "hijacked by powerful commercial interests," causing an "epidemic of misinformed doctors and misinformed, unwittingly harmed patients, this is the root cause of the health crisis." (video)
  • @WarRoomGeorgia
  • @RenzTom
  • @CJbakerMD
  • @DrBenTapper1
  • @stillgray
  • IIryna Zarutska was 23 years old. She left Ukraine to escape a war, believing she had found safety in America. On August 22 she boarded a train in Charlotte like anyone would — expecting nothing more than to get home. Minutes later she was stabbed again and again in her seat, her throat slashed under the harsh glow of fluorescent lights. What makes her death even more unbearable is how public it was. Passengers sat only a few feet away. Some were unaware, others froze, others turned their eyes elsewhere. The train kept moving, and Iryna bled out in plain view. Surrounded by people, she died as if she were alone. The man who killed her, Decarlos Dejuan Brown Jr., was not some hidden danger. He had been arrested fourteen times before. Robbery, larceny, false alarms, erratic behavior, even documented mental illness. Each arrest ended with the same outcome: release. He was processed, excused, and sent back out. (pic)
  • @JasonJournoDC
  • @P_McCulloughMD
  • @SteveHiltonx
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.0 -1.5 basis point.s
  • China Sovereign CDS 41.5 +.75 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 104.8 USD/Metric Tonne -.09%.
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.94 +.12% 
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.5 +.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 81.2 +.7%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.10% +2.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 18.8 -.5%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.47%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.14%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.32%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

Saturday, September 06, 2025

Today's Headlines

Around X:

  • @Business
  • @Zerohedge 
  • @BarronsOnline
  • Had bullish commentary on (ELF), (INOD) and (UHAL).
  • @LauraLoomer
  • @EricLDaugh
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @FBIDirectorKash
  • @IanJaeger29
  • @DC_Draino  
  • @wideawake_media
  • @SaiKate108
  • @GenFlynn
  • @LivePDDave1
  • @SenRonJohnson 
  • @TheChiefNerd
  • @ExxAlerts
  • @Libsoftiktok 
  • @newstart_2024
  • @MDBreathe
  • @LeadingReport
  • @gc22gc
  • @WarClandestine
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