Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Energy/Hospital Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.48 -2.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 120.26 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.91 +2.73%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.75 -2.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 +80.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +5.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.44 -51.51
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.66 +.82%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 682.0 +1.89%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 91.18 -1.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.97 -.32%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 38.45 -2.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 254.12 +2.34%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.62 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 50.5 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.22 +.20%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .33% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 93.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.97/Metric Tonne -.21%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -6.0 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -20.5 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.4 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.50% -1.0 basis point
  • 28.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 2 meeting, 52.3% chance at Dec. 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -190 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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