Monday, September 19, 2016

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Terrorism Fears, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Gaming/Hospital Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.95 +3.64%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 118.73 -.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.80 -.74%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.46 +8.05%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 -19.15%
  • Total Put/Call .68 -32.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.54 +19.82
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.93 -1.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 683.0 +2.73%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.49 -3.66%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.20 -1.22%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 38.05 -1.30%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 252.48 -2.97%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.60 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 57.25 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.35 +.32%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .25% -3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 92.0 -.5 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.68/Metric Tonne -.52%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.30 +6.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -24.40 -2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.1 -.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.52% unch.
  • 26.8% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 2 meeting, 55.5% chance at Dec. 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -200 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +13 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -42 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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