Thursday, September 22, 2016

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Yen Weakness, Telecom/REIT Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.87%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 117.98 +.63%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.36 -2.17%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.77 -7.85%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +58.73%
  • Total Put/Call .92 -8.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.43 +122.77
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 76.22 -3.92%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 684.0 -2.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 97.67 -2.34%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.60 +.51%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.82 -.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 227.07 -1.34%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.90 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.50 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 65.25 +8.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -34.25 -3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.12 +.33%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .16% -6.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 85.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.34/Metric Tonne +.84%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.90 -4.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -25.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.7 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.56% +3.0 basis points
  • 58.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 14 meeting, 61.2% chance at Feb. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +33 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +13 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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