Friday, September 30, 2016

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Bounce, Short-Covering, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.79 -8.77%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 118.90 +.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.46 +.58%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.78 -5.57%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 82.0 +15.49%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -6.8%
  • NYSE Arms .68 -6.31
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.0 -4.11%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 644.0 -3.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 101.0 -.98%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.83 +1.55%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.76 +.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 234.33 -3.08%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.20 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 58.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -55.5 -6.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.02 +.25%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .27% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 84.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.86/Metric Tonne -1.45%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.10 -1.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 2.60 -2.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.0 -.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60% +4.0 basis points
  • 57.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 14 meeting, 60.3% chance at Feb. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +174 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +42 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: