Thursday, September 12, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 55.5 -1.0 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 37.75 -1.0 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.11 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.21%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.15%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Import Price Index MoM for August is estimated to fall -.5% versus a +.2% gain in July.
  • The Import Price Index ex Petro for August is estimated to fall -.1% versus unch. in July.
  • The Export Price Index MoM for August is estimated to fall -.3% versus a +.2% gain in July.
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for August is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.7% gain in July.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for August is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +1.0% gain in July.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for August is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.9% gain in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment for Sept. is estimated to rise to 90.8 versus 89.8 in August. 
  • Business Inventories for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus unch. in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Japan Industrial Production report and Bloomberg US Economic Survey for Sept. could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by financial and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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