Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:     
  • Asia Stock Futures Drop Amid U.S. Political Risk. Stocks in Asia looked set to fall after U.S. equities dropped and Treasuries rose on political turmoil in Washington. Futures pointed to losses in Tokyo, Sydney and Hong Kong after the S&P 500 fell the most in a month. Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the House is opening a formal impeachment inquiry of President Donald Trump. The benchmark cut losses earlier in the day after Trump said he would release a complete transcript on Wednesday of his phone call with the Ukrainian president, which is the subject of a congressional investigation and a whistle-blower complaint from an unidentified intelligence official. The 10-year Treasury yield hit a two-week low, while the dollar fell to session lows and yen strengthened. Futures on the S&P 500 Index added 0.1% as of 7:52 a.m. in Tokyo. The underlying gauge fell 0.8% on Tuesday. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 slid 1%. Hang Seng futures earlier lost 0.6%. Futures on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 1.1%
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.0% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 74.75 +1.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 48.25 +2.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.59 unch.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.56%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.18%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.20%.
Morning Preview Links 

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (WOR)/.75
After the Close:
  • (AIR)/.51
  • (FUL)/.90
  • (KBH)/.66
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • New Home Sales for August are estimated to rise to 658K versus 635K in July.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +37,360 barrels versus a +1,058,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -192,700 barrels versus a +781,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -622,7000 barrels versus a +437,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.63% versus a -3.9% decline prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The GfK Consumer Confidence report, $41B 5Y T-Note auction, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, Sidoti Investor Conference, Wells Fargo Consumer/Beauty Conference, (VFC) investor day and the (BBY) investor meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by energy and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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