Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.0 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 40.0 +.75 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.76 -.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.13%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.11%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (OXM)/1.86
  • (TLRD)/.79
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • PPI Final Demand MoM for August is estimated unch. versus a +.2% gain in July.
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for August is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.1% decline in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Wholesale Trade Sales MoM for July is estimated to rise +.5% versus a -.3% decline in June.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil  inventory decline of -2,655,170 barrels versus a -4,771,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -857,090 barrels versus a -2,538,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -509,360 barrels versus a -2,538,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.55% versus a -.4% decline prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The $24B 10Y T-Note auction, Japan Machine Orders report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the BofA Merrill Media/Communications/Entertainment Conference  could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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