Friday, September 06, 2019

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Diminshed Global Growth Fears, Fed Rate-Cut Hopes, Oil Gain, Medical/Gaming Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.1 -7.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 122.46 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.26 -3.05%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.36 -5.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 72.0 -15.3%
  • Total Put/Call .89 +8.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.38 +112.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.99 -2.98%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 417.0 -1.56%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.80 -2.83%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 151.5 -2.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.64 -1.61%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 197.82 -1.25%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 165.21 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 3.75 +5.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 15.25 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.5 +3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.78 +.35%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.95% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .04 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 85.35 USD/Metric Tonne -1.41%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.4 -2.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -36.90 -2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.8 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.55 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Oct. 30th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at Dec. 11th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +41 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +64 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial/tech/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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